GREECE SUPER LEAGUE 1
22.04.2026 14:00
AEL FC Arena
Referee: A. Papapetrou
Larisa
Match Timeline
Kifisia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
J. Pombo
Kifisia
🟨
24'
Yasser Larouci
Kifisia
🟨
31'
Goni Naor
Larisa
🟨
36'
Apostolos Christopoulos
Kifisia
🔄
45'
K. Apostolakis ↔ L. Garate
Larisa
🔄
46'
Z. Chatzistravos ↔ G. Kakuta
Larisa
🔄
46'
E. Ferigra ↔ D. Olafsson
Larisa
🔄
46'
C. Nunnely ↔ Miguel Tavares
Kifisia
57'
A. Sagal · Assist: G. Naor
Larisa
🔄
67'
G. Naor ↔ V. Sourlis
Larisa
🔄
75'
J. Pombo ↔ Bernardo
Kifisia
🔄
75'
J. Antonisse ↔ P. Mijic
Kifisia
🔄
75'
A. Christopoulos ↔ G. Sousa
Kifisia
🔄
81'
A. Sagal ↔ J. Ngoy
Larisa
🔄
90+4'
↔ A. Botia
Kifisia

Larisa vs Kifisia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 77.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 75.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 54.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
77.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
75.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
54.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Larisa Win 42.4%
Draw 35.3%
Kifisia Win 22.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Larisa1.15
Kifisia1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Larisa Larisa
WWDLW
26 GF / 47 GA
Kifisia Kifisia
WLDWL
33 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
16
BTTS Yes
18
12
Over 2.5
16
3.9
Shots on Goal
4.69

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Larisa Larisa 29 matches
Kifisia Kifisia 29 matches
Larisa Statistic Kifisia
4 Wins 6
11 Draws 11
14 Losses 12
26 Goals For 33
47 Goals Against 44
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
16 BTTS Yes 18
23 Over 1.5 23
12 Over 2.5 16
6 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 8
3.9 Shots On Goal 4.69
11.28 Total Shots 13.34
3.72 Corners 4.21
44.2% Ball Possession 47.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Larisa expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Kifisia in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kifisia having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Larisa have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Kifisia.

Larisa Analysis

Larisa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 23 points from 29 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 11 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 24:44 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Ángelo Sagal (5 goals), G. Pasas (4 goals), L. Garate (4 goals), with creative support from Ľubomír Tupta (2 assists), Savvas Mourgos (2 assists), L. Garate (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kifisia Analysis

Placed 3 with 29 points from 29 outings, Kifisia continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 11 draws, and 12 losses, while the 33:44 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Tetteh (8 goals), J. Pombo (7 goals), P. Pantelidis (7 goals), with creative support from A. Tetteh (6 assists), J. Pombo (3 assists), Yasser Larouci (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Larisa won 0 times, Kifisia won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:7 from Larisa's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (77.7%)
Predicted formations: Larisa 5-4-1 / Kifisia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Larisa wins 0, draws 4, Kifisia wins 1

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 6 2 49:17 32 60
D D W D W
2 26 17 7 2 45:11 34 58
D W D L W
3 26 17 6 3 52:17 35 57
D D D W L
4 26 14 7 5 44:26 18 49
D L L D L
5 26 12 6 8 51:37 14 42
L W W W L
6 26 10 2 14 34:45 -11 32
W L L L W
7 26 9 4 13 26:38 -12 31
L L L L L
8 26 6 12 8 20:27 -7 30
W W W W W
9 26 7 8 11 26:30 -4 29
W L W L L
10 26 6 9 11 32:42 -10 27
W D L W W
11 26 7 5 14 24:38 -14 26
L D D W L
12 26 4 11 11 22:39 -17 23
L W D D D
13 26 4 5 17 16:55 -39 17
L D L L D
14 26 3 8 15 22:41 -19 17
W D W D W
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round