Larisa vs Atromitos Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
62.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
9.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Larisa
Atromitos
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Larisa
34 matches
Atromitos
34 matches
| Larisa | Statistic | Atromitos |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 11 |
| 15 | Draws | 10 |
| 15 | Losses | 13 |
| 30 | Goals For | 42 |
| 52 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 3.76 | Shots On Goal | 3.29 |
| 11.21 | Total Shots | 10.62 |
| 3.79 | Corners | 4.26 |
| 45.8% | Ball Possession | 52.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atromitos. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Larisa expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Atromitos in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atromitos having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Larisa sit 6 with 26 points after 33 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 14 draws, and 15 defeats, together with a 29:51 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ángelo Sagal (6 goals), G. Pasas (5 goals), Ľubomír Tupta (5 goals), with creative support from Ľubomír Tupta (2 assists), Savvas Mourgos (2 assists), Ángelo Sagal (1 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Atromitos come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 40 points after 33 matches. With 10 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats plus a goal balance of 39:40, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Makana Baku (7 goals), D. Jubitana (5 goals), Ognjen Ožegović (3 goals), with creative support from P. Michorl (6 assists), Makana Baku (5 assists), Jere Uronen (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Larisa won 2 times, Atromitos won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:21 from Larisa's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 49:17 | 32 | 60 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 45:11 | 34 | 58 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 52:17 | 35 | 57 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 44:26 | 18 | 49 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 51:37 | 14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 32 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:38 | -12 | 31 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 20:27 | -7 | 30 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 |
Atromitos
Away
|
26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 29 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 10 | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 32:42 | -10 | 27 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 24:38 | -14 | 26 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 |
Larisa
Home
|
26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 22:39 | -17 | 23 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
| 13 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16:55 | -39 | 17 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
W
D
W
D
W
|