Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw |
38.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
13.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
81.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Draw |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-1 |
-
|
- |
Larisa
Asteras Tripolis
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Larisa
32 matches
Asteras Tripolis
32 matches
| Larisa | Statistic | Asteras Tripolis |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 6 |
| 13 | Draws | 10 |
| 15 | Losses | 16 |
| 28 | Goals For | 32 |
| 50 | Goals Against | 47 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 3.78 | Shots On Goal | 3.28 |
| 11.16 | Total Shots | 9.53 |
| 3.81 | Corners | 4.44 |
| 45.8% | Ball Possession | 44.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Asteras Tripolis. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Larisa have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Larisa expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Asteras Tripolis in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Asteras Tripolis having the stronger overall control.
Larisa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 25 points from 32 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 13 draws, and 15 defeats with a 28:50 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Ángelo Sagal (6 goals), Ľubomír Tupta (5 goals), G. Pasas (4 goals), with creative support from Ľubomír Tupta (2 assists), Savvas Mourgos (2 assists), L. Garate (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 5 with 28 points from 32 outings, Asteras Tripolis continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 6 wins, 10 draws, and 16 losses with goals at 32:47 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Bartolo (11 goals), F. Macheda (6 goals), K. Ketu (3 goals), with creative support from K. Ketu (5 assists), F. Macheda (2 assists), J. Bartolo (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Larisa won 3 times, Asteras Tripolis won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:28 from Larisa's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
Larisa
4
3
4
4
9
2
Lineups
Larisa
Kifisia
Larisa
Atromitos
Larisa
Panetolikos
Larisa
Panserraikos
Larisa
Panserraikos
Larisa
Kifisia
Larisa
Atromitos
Larisa
Panetolikos
Larisa
Asteras Tripolis
Larisa
Olympiakos Piraeus
Larisa
Asteras Tripolis
Larisa
AEK Athens FC
Larisa
OFI
Larisa
PAOK
Larisa
Panathinaikos
Larisa
Panetolikos
Larisa
Volos NFC
Larisa
Panserraikos
Larisa
Aris Thessalonikis
Larisa
Kifisia
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
Kifisia
Asteras Tripolis
Panserraikos
Asteras Tripolis
Atromitos
Asteras Tripolis
Atromitos
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
Kifisia
Asteras Tripolis
Panserraikos
Asteras Tripolis
Larisa
Asteras Tripolis
Panathinaikos
Asteras Tripolis
Larisa
Asteras Tripolis
Panserraikos
Asteras Tripolis
PAOK
Asteras Tripolis
Atromitos
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
Volos NFC
Asteras Tripolis
Olympiakos Piraeus
Asteras Tripolis
Levadiakos
Asteras Tripolis
AEK Athens FC
Asteras Tripolis
OFI
Larisa
Atromitos
Larisa
Panserraikos
Larisa
Kifisia
Larisa
Panetolikos
Larisa
Asteras Tripolis
Larisa
PAOK
Larisa
Panetolikos
Larisa
Panserraikos
Larisa
Aris Thessalonikis
Larisa
Atromitos
Larisa
Panathinaikos
Larisa
OFI
Larisa
Levadiakos
Larisa
Olympiakos Piraeus
Larisa
Volos NFC
Larisa
AEK Athens FC
Larisa
Kifisia
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
Atromitos
Asteras Tripolis
Kifisia
Asteras Tripolis
Panserraikos
Asteras Tripolis
Larisa
Asteras Tripolis
PAOK
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
Levadiakos
Asteras Tripolis
OFI
Asteras Tripolis
Kifisia
Asteras Tripolis
Atromitos
Asteras Tripolis
Aris Thessalonikis
Asteras Tripolis
Panathinaikos
Asteras Tripolis
Panserraikos
Asteras Tripolis
Volos NFC
Asteras Tripolis
AEK Athens FC
Asteras Tripolis
Olympiakos Piraeus
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 49:17 | 32 | 60 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 45:11 | 34 | 58 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 52:17 | 35 | 57 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 44:26 | 18 | 49 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 51:37 | 14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 32 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:38 | -12 | 31 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 20:27 | -7 | 30 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 29 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 32:42 | -10 | 27 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 24:38 | -14 | 26 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 |
Larisa
Home
|
26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 22:39 | -17 | 23 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
| 13 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16:55 | -39 | 17 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 |
Asteras Tripolis
Away
|
26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
W
D
W
D
W
|