06.09.2026 20:00
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus
Referee: Andres Merlos, Argentina
Lanus
Match Timeline
Defensa Y Justicia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
33'
Juan Manuel Gutiérrez
Defensa Y Justicia
🟨
51'
Lucas Besozzi
Lanus
🔄
59'
L. Besozzi ↔ M. Sepulveda
Lanus
🔄
63'
D. Barbona ↔ M. Porcel
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
63'
A. Hausch ↔ J. Lucco
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
63'
T. Perrotta ↔ L. Fernandez
Defensa Y Justicia
🔄
69'
F. N. Watson ↔ R. Carrera
Lanus
🔄
69'
F. Pena Biafore ↔ A. Medina
Lanus
🔄
69'
A. Wlk ↔ Y. Valois
Lanus
🟨
83'
José Canale
Lanus
🔄
84'
E. Salvio ↔ G. Lobos
Lanus
🔄
89'
J. Gutierrez ↔ D. Blanco
Defensa Y Justicia
🟨
90+5'
Agustín Medina
Lanus
🔄
90+1'
C. Perez ↔ T. Perez
Defensa Y Justicia
90'
C. Izquierdoz
Lanus

Lanus vs Defensa Y Justicia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.2%
Odds 1.83
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.8%
Odds 2.42
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.2%
1.83
BTTS Yes
82.5%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.8%
2.42
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.44
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Lanus Win 60.2%
Draw 12.3%
Defensa Y Justicia Win 27.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lanus1.14
Defensa Y Justicia1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lanus Lanus
WWDLW
33 GF / 35 GA
Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia
WLDWL
31 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
11
BTTS Yes
16
12
Over 2.5
12
4.23
Shots on Goal
4.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lanus Lanus 32 matches
Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia 26 matches
Lanus Statistic Defensa Y Justicia
12 Wins 10
7 Draws 9
13 Losses 7
33 Goals For 31
35 Goals Against 34
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
11 BTTS Yes 16
18 Over 1.5 20
12 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 5
12 Clean Sheets 7
12 Failed To Score 6
4.23 Shots On Goal 4.17
12.87 Total Shots 11.3
4.8 Corners 4.39
51.6% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Lanus's more proactive style and Defensa Y Justicia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Defensa Y Justicia. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Lanus have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Lanus Analysis

Lanus approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 24 points from 16 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 18:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Yoshan Valois (4 goals), Felipe Peña Biafore (2 goals), Dylan Aquino (1 goals), with creative support from Yoshan Valois (1 assists), Dylan Aquino (1 assists), Sasha Marcich (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Defensa Y Justicia Analysis

From their first 16 matches, Defensa Y Justicia have collected 19 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, while the 18:21 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Juan Manuel Gutiérrez (2 goals), Ayrton Portillo (2 goals), David Barbona (2 goals), with creative support from Juan Manuel Gutiérrez (2 assists), Aaron Molinas (1 assists), César Pérez (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Lanus won 2 times, Defensa Y Justicia won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:21 from Lanus's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.7%)
Predicted formations: Lanus 4-2-3-1 / Defensa Y Justicia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Lanus wins 2, draws 6, Defensa Y Justicia wins 6

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
W L D L W
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
W W D W D
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
W D W D D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L W L D D
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
W D W L D
6
Lanus Home
16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
W W L D L
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
L D W L D
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L L W W W
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
W W L W D
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
D W L W W
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
D L D W W
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
L L D L W
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
D L L D L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
W D D D W
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
D L D D D
Knockout Phase