Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
86.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
48.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
88.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Lahti
VPS
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lahti
10 matches
VPS
10 matches
| Lahti | Statistic | VPS |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 3 | Losses | 3 |
| 12 | Goals For | 9 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 9 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.9 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.9 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 2.17 | Shots On Goal | 0.83 |
| 6.83 | Total Shots | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 2.83 |
| 34.8% | Ball Possession | 21% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features VPS's more proactive style and Lahti's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors VPS. Lahti have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lahti expected to line up in 4-3-3 and VPS in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward VPS having the stronger overall control.
Lahti approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 7 points from 6 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 5:7 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Sarr (2 goals), Martim Ferreira (2 goals), Neemias Barbosa (1 goals), with creative support from R. Sans (2 assists), Tòfol Montiel (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, VPS have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 9 points from 6 matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 5:4 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Muzinga (1 goals), Luka Smyth (1 goals), P. Lima (1 goals), with creative support from Jayden Turfkruier (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lahti won 2 times, VPS won 5 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:24 from Lahti's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Lahti
2
4
3
2
3
0
Lineups
Lahti
Ilves
Lahti
KuPS
Lahti
Mariehamn
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Inter Turku
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
FF Jaro
Lahti
JIPPO
Lahti
SJK Akatemia
Lahti
GrIFK
Lahti
Haka
VPS
Turku PS
VPS
HJK Helsinki
VPS
Gnistan
VPS
Mariehamn
VPS
Ilves
VPS
AC Oulu
VPS
FF Jaro
VPS
Inter Turku
VPS
Haka
VPS
GIF Sundsvall
VPS
Turku PS
VPS
Umeå FC
Lahti
Ilves
Lahti
Mariehamn
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Inter Turku
Lahti
JIPPO
Lahti
SJK Akatemia
Lahti
GrIFK
Lahti
Haka
VPS
Turku PS
VPS
Mariehamn
VPS
AC Oulu
VPS
Inter Turku
VPS
Turku PS
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 16:8 | 8 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 15 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
?
|
|
| 6 |
VPS
Away
|
9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 13 |
?
|
| 7 |
Lahti
Home
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
?
|
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 11 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:21 | -8 | 9 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 7 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 6 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5:14 | -9 | 4 |
?
|
