FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
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Lahden Stadion

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.86
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.79
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.97
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.5%
1.86
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.79
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.97
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
1.60
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.77
Correct Score 2-1
-
6.50
Probability Distribution
Lahti Win 65.5%
Draw 6.6%
Turku PS Win 27.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lahti1.24
Turku PS1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lahti Lahti
WWDLW
21 GF / 19 GA
Turku PS Turku PS
WLDWL
16 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1
10
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
5
1.91
Shots on Goal
1.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lahti Lahti 15 matches
Turku PS Turku PS 16 matches
Lahti Statistic Turku PS
4 Wins 6
5 Draws 4
6 Losses 6
21 Goals For 16
19 Goals Against 16
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1
10 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 3
1.91 Shots On Goal 1.73
5.91 Total Shots 4.73
2.73 Corners 2.45
30% Ball Possession 17.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Turku PS. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lahti expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Turku PS in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Turku PS having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Turku PS arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Lahti Analysis

So far, Lahti have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 11 points from 10 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 14:13 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Belabid (2 goals), A. Lindholm (2 goals), Erik Andersson (2 goals), with creative support from Tòfol Montiel (3 assists), R. Sans (2 assists), A. Belabid (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Turku PS Analysis

Turku PS sit 5 with 15 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats with a 11:9 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Muzaci (3 goals), T. Tsirigotis (3 goals), Lasse Ikonen (1 goals), with creative support from E. Turkki (4 assists), T. Tsirigotis (1 assists), Elmer Vauhkonen (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lahti won 7 times, Turku PS won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:25 from Lahti's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
Predicted formations: Lahti 4-3-3 / Turku PS 3-4-3
H2H summary: Lahti wins 7, draws 5, Turku PS wins 3
Last matches: Lahti
17.06.26
Vei
Lahti
Gnistan
0
1
L
13.06.26
Vei
Lahti
SJK
2
3
L
30.05.26
Vei
Lahti
Ilves
5
0
W
23.05.26
Vei
Lahti
KuPS
1
2
L
18.05.26
Vei
Lahti
VPS
1
1
D
10.05.26
Vei
Lahti
Mariehamn
1
1
D
04.05.26
Vei
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
25.04.26
Vei
Lahti
AC Oulu
2
1
W
18.04.26
Vei
Lahti
Inter Turku
0
2
L
10.04.26
Vei
Lahti
Turku PS
1
2
L
04.04.26
Vei
Lahti
FF Jaro
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Lahti
JIPPO
1
1
D
14.03.26
Fri
Lahti
SJK Akatemia
3
1
W
25.02.26
Fri
Lahti
GrIFK
2
2
D
17.01.26
Fri
Lahti
Haka
1
1
D
Last matches: Turku PS
17.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
KuPS
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
Ilves
0
1
L
30.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
23.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
Inter Turku
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
AC Oulu
0
1
L
08.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
1
0
W
02.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
FF Jaro
2
2
D
24.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Gnistan
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
SJK
2
0
W
10.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Lahti
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Mariehamn
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
PK-35
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
EIF
0
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
SJK
1
1
D
23.01.26
Fri
Turku PS
Haka
1
2
L
H2H: Lahti vs Turku PS
10.04.26
H2H
Turku PS
Lahti
2
1
L
31.01.26
H2H
Lahti
Turku PS
5
1
W
18.10.25
H2H
Turku PS
Lahti
3
3
D
14.07.25
H2H
Lahti
Turku PS
2
2
D
21.05.25
H2H
Turku PS
Lahti
2
2
D
29.03.25
H2H
Turku PS
Lahti
3
2
L
17.09.20
H2H
Lahti
Turku PS
1
1
D
25.07.20
H2H
Turku PS
Lahti
1
3
W
30.09.18
H2H
Lahti
Turku PS
2
5
L
15.06.18
H2H
Turku PS
Lahti
1
1
D
08.04.18
H2H
Lahti
Turku PS
3
2
W
18.10.14
H2H
Turku PS
Lahti
0
1
W
04.06.14
H2H
Lahti
Turku PS
2
0
W
23.05.14
H2H
Lahti
Turku PS
2
0
W
26.10.13
H2H
Lahti
Turku PS
3
2
W
Last matches: Lahti
13.06.26
Vei
Lahti
SJK
2
3
L
30.05.26
Vei
Lahti
Ilves
5
0
W
18.05.26
Vei
Lahti
VPS
1
1
D
10.05.26
Vei
Lahti
Mariehamn
1
1
D
25.04.26
Vei
Lahti
AC Oulu
2
1
W
18.04.26
Vei
Lahti
Inter Turku
0
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
Lahti
JIPPO
1
1
D
14.03.26
Fri
Lahti
SJK Akatemia
3
1
W
25.02.26
Fri
Lahti
GrIFK
2
2
D
17.01.26
Fri
Lahti
Haka
1
1
D
H2H at home: Lahti
31.01.26
H2H
Lahti
Turku PS
5
1
W
14.07.25
H2H
Lahti
Turku PS
2
2
D
17.09.20
H2H
Lahti
Turku PS
1
1
D
30.09.18
H2H
Lahti
Turku PS
2
5
L
08.04.18
H2H
Lahti
Turku PS
3
2
W
04.06.14
H2H
Lahti
Turku PS
2
0
W
23.05.14
H2H
Lahti
Turku PS
2
0
W
26.10.13
H2H
Lahti
Turku PS
3
2
W
Last matches: Turku PS
13.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
Ilves
0
1
L
23.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
Inter Turku
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
AC Oulu
0
1
L
02.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
FF Jaro
2
2
D
04.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Mariehamn
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
EIF
0
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
SJK
1
1
D
H2H away: Turku PS
31.01.26
H2H
Lahti
Turku PS
5
1
L
14.07.25
H2H
Lahti
Turku PS
2
2
D
17.09.20
H2H
Lahti
Turku PS
1
1
D
30.09.18
H2H
Lahti
Turku PS
2
5
W
08.04.18
H2H
Lahti
Turku PS
3
2
L
04.06.14
H2H
Lahti
Turku PS
2
0
L
23.05.14
H2H
Lahti
Turku PS
2
0
L
26.10.13
H2H
Lahti
Turku PS
3
2
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.29
Draw 3.55
Home 1.86
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.81
Draw 2.28
Home 2.44
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.30
Over 2.0 1.47
Over 2.25 1.72
Over 2.5 1.97
Over 2.75 2.23
Over 3.0 2.69
Over 3.5 3.34
Over 4.5 6.54
Under 1.5 3.50
Under 2.0 2.69
Under 2.25 2.15
Under 2.5 1.87
Under 2.75 1.67
Under 3.0 1.47
Under 3.5 1.32
Under 4.5 1.11
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.18
Draw 3.48
Home 1.85
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.90
Draw 2.08
Home 2.44
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.30
Draw 2.49
Home 2.17
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.14
Over 1.5 1.26
Over 1.75 1.34
Over 2.0 1.43
Over 2.25 1.70
Over 2.5 1.93
Over 2.75 2.20
Over 3.0 2.55
Over 3.25 2.87
Over 3.5 3.18
Over 3.75 3.90
Over 4.0 5.30
Over 4.25 5.69
Over 4.5 6.05
Over 5.0 9.90
Over 5.5 13.00
Under 0.5 8.90
Under 0.75 8.25
Under 1.0 7.60
Under 1.25 4.41
Under 1.5 3.24
Under 1.75 2.91
Under 2.0 2.55
Under 2.25 2.11
Under 2.5 1.84
Under 2.75 1.65
Under 3.0 1.43
Under 3.25 1.33
Under 3.5 1.27
Under 3.75 1.18
Under 4.0 1.09
Under 4.25 1.08
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.03
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.10
Draw 3.40
Home 1.81
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.30
Draw 2.17
Home 2.38
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.55
Home 2.18
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.0 1.45
Over 2.25 1.68
Over 2.5 1.92
Over 2.75 2.18
Over 3.0 2.65
Over 3.25 2.95
Over 3.5 3.25
Over 3.75 4.00
Over 4.0 5.40
Over 4.25 5.60
Over 4.5 6.00
Under 1.5 3.25
Under 2.0 2.50
Under 2.25 2.02
Under 2.5 1.77
Under 2.75 1.58
Under 3.0 1.41
Under 3.25 1.33
Under 3.5 1.28
Under 3.75 1.20
Under 4.0 1.11
Under 4.25 1.10
Under 4.5 1.09

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 5 1 20:11 9 26
D D D W W
2 12 8 1 3 18:9 9 25
W D W W W
3 13 6 6 1 19:12 7 24
W D D W W
4 12 5 4 3 21:13 8 19
D W W L D
5 11 5 2 4 17:15 2 17
W W W L W
6 11 4 5 2 11:9 2 17
W D L W D
7 11 4 3 4 12:11 1 15
L L W L L
8 12 4 3 5 19:21 -2 15
W W L W L
9
Lahti Home
11 3 2 6 14:14 0 11
L L W L D
10 11 2 3 6 12:18 -6 9
L W L L L
11 12 1 4 7 10:27 -17 7
L L L W L
12 11 0 4 7 6:19 -13 4
L L L L D
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)