FINLAND › VEIKKAUSLIIGA
23.06.2026 15:00
Lahden Stadion
Referee: Oliver Reitala, Finland
Lahti
Match Timeline
Turku PS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Romain Sans
Lahti
🟨
27'
José Müller
Lahti
🟨
51'
Oscar Haggstrom
Turku PS
🔄
61'
E. Vauhkonen ↔ S. Anini
Turku PS
🟨
69'
Romaric Yapi
Lahti
🔄
70'
J. Ojanen ↔ E. Andersson
Lahti
🔄
70'
O. Koskinen ↔ Martim Augusto
Lahti
🟨
71'
Yohan Cassubie
Lahti
🔄
72'
L. Ivanovic ↔ M. Kauppila
Turku PS
🔄
72'
P. Juvanteny ↔ T. Vakiparta
Turku PS
🔄
78'
Neemias ↔ A. Lindholm
Lahti
🔄
85'
C. Montiel ↔ D. Heikkinen
Lahti

Lahti vs Turku PS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Lahti Win 65.5%
Draw 6.6%
Turku PS Win 27.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lahti1.24
Turku PS1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lahti Lahti
WWDLW
21 GF / 19 GA
Turku PS Turku PS
WLDWL
16 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1
10
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
5
2.36
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lahti Lahti 15 matches
Turku PS Turku PS 16 matches
Lahti Statistic Turku PS
4 Wins 6
5 Draws 4
6 Losses 6
21 Goals For 16
19 Goals Against 16
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1
10 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 3
2.36 Shots On Goal 2
7.73 Total Shots 5.64
3.27 Corners 3
34.6% Ball Possession 22.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Turku PS. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lahti expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Turku PS in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Turku PS having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Turku PS arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Lahti Analysis

So far, Lahti have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 11 points from 10 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 14:13 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Belabid (2 goals), A. Lindholm (2 goals), Erik Andersson (2 goals), with creative support from Tòfol Montiel (3 assists), R. Sans (2 assists), A. Belabid (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Turku PS Analysis

Turku PS sit 5 with 15 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats with a 11:9 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Muzaci (3 goals), T. Tsirigotis (3 goals), Lasse Ikonen (1 goals), with creative support from E. Turkki (4 assists), T. Tsirigotis (1 assists), Elmer Vauhkonen (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lahti won 6 times, Turku PS won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:23 from Lahti's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
Predicted formations: Lahti 4-3-3 / Turku PS 3-4-3
H2H summary: Lahti wins 6, draws 6, Turku PS wins 3

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
W D D L L
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W W L W D
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
D D W W L
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D W D D W
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
L L L D W
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L L W L W
7
Lahti Home
22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
D L W W W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L D D D
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
W W W L L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
W D D D L
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
D D L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
L W L W W
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs