Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
100%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
45.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 10.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Lahti
Mariehamn
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lahti
9 matches
Mariehamn
9 matches
| Lahti | Statistic | Mariehamn |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 1 |
| 3 | Draws | 4 |
| 3 | Losses | 4 |
| 11 | Goals For | 8 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.89 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 1.6 | Shots On Goal | 1.8 |
| 5.4 | Total Shots | 4.6 |
| 2.4 | Corners | 1 |
| 29.8% | Ball Possession | 19.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Mariehamn. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Lahti arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 6 points compared to Mariehamn in 12 on 2, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lahti expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Mariehamn in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mariehamn having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Lahti sit 7 with 6 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 4:6, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Sarr (2 goals), Martim Ferreira (1 goals), Neemias Barbosa (1 goals), with creative support from R. Sans (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Mariehamn approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 2 points from 5 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 3:8 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Larsson (1 goals), Emmanuel Patut (1 goals), S. Dahlstrom (1 goals), with creative support from Emmanuel Patut (1 assists), T. Koivisto (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lahti won 6 times, Mariehamn won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:19 from Lahti's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Lahti
5
1
5
1
4
0
Lineups
Lahti
Gnistan
Lahti
SJK
Lahti
Ilves
Lahti
KuPS
Lahti
VPS
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Inter Turku
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
FF Jaro
Lahti
JIPPO
Lahti
SJK Akatemia
Lahti
GrIFK
Lahti
Haka
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
KuPS
Mariehamn
VPS
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
Ilves
Mariehamn
SJK
Mariehamn
Turku PS
Mariehamn
EIF
Mariehamn
Sandviken
Mariehamn
KuPS
Mariehamn
Sleipner
Lahti
SJK
Lahti
Ilves
Lahti
VPS
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Inter Turku
Lahti
JIPPO
Lahti
SJK Akatemia
Lahti
GrIFK
Lahti
Haka
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
SJK
Mariehamn
Sandviken
Mariehamn
KuPS
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 20:11 | 9 | 26 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 25 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 19 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 17 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 17 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:21 | -2 | 15 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
Lahti
Home
|
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:14 | 0 | 11 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
| 10 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 9 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10:27 | -17 | 7 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 |
Mariehamn
Away
|
11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6:19 | -13 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
D
|