FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Lahden Stadion
Referee: P. Simani
Lahti
Match Timeline
KuPS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
O. Koskinen · Assist: M. Sarr
Lahti
11'
T. Jyry · Assist: B. Armah
KuPS
17'
J. Luyeye-Lutumba · Assist: B. Armah
KuPS
🟨
45+1'
G. Pereira
Lahti
🟨
51'
J. Muller
Lahti
🔄
66'
C. Antwi ↔ G. Engvall
KuPS
🔄
66'
B. Armah ↔ S. Touray
KuPS
🔄
69'
O. Koskinen ↔ D. Heikkinen
Lahti
🔄
69'
Martim Augusto ↔ A. Belabid
Lahti
🔄
69'
J. Muller ↔ V. Vehkonen
Lahti
🔄
70'
P. Parzyszek ↔ J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
KuPS
🔄
70'
T. Jyry ↔ P. Pennanen
KuPS
🟨
72'
V. R. Gasc
KuPS
🟨
80'
R. Sans
Lahti
🔄
81'
R. Yapi ↔ J. Ojanen
Lahti
🔄
81'
Neemias ↔ A. Lindholm
Lahti
🔄
87'
S. Heiskanen ↔ B. Magassa
KuPS

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.9%
Odds 2.64
BTTS
Yes
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 19.6%
Odds 1.98
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.9%
2.64
BTTS Yes
53.4%
1.70
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
19.6%
1.98
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
1.67
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Lahti Win 35%
Draw 11.1%
KuPS Win 53.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lahti1.13
KuPS1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lahti Lahti
WWDLW
29 GF / 21 GA
KuPS KuPS
WLDWL
43 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.54
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
11
BTTS Yes
15
7
Over 2.5
10
2.16
Shots on Goal
2.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lahti Lahti 23 matches
KuPS KuPS 28 matches
Lahti Statistic KuPS
8 Wins 14
8 Draws 9
7 Losses 5
29 Goals For 43
21 Goals Against 26
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
11 BTTS Yes 15
16 Over 1.5 22
7 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 6
8 Clean Sheets 10
6 Failed To Score 5
2.16 Shots On Goal 2.2
6.47 Total Shots 5.24
2.68 Corners 2.12
29.6% Ball Possession 22.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring KuPS. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. KuPS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 39 points while Lahti sit 7 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lahti expected to line up in 4-3-3 and KuPS in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward KuPS having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Lahti Analysis

Lahti sit 7 with 25 points after 18 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 22:16 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by Martim Ferreira (1 goals), Tòfol Montiel (1 goals), Y. Cassubie (1 goals), with creative support from Martim Ferreira (1 assists), Tòfol Montiel (1 assists), R. Sans (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

KuPS Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 39 points from 18 games, KuPS bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 11 wins, 6 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 33:16, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Luyeye-Lutumba (2 goals), G. Engvall (1 goals), with creative support from J. Luyeye-Lutumba (1 assists), G. Engvall (1 assists), C. Antwi (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lahti won 0 times, KuPS won 14 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:35 from Lahti's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.9%)
Predicted formations: Lahti 4-3-3 / KuPS 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Lahti wins 0, draws 1, KuPS wins 14

Lineups

Lahti
Formation
KuPS
Aatu Hakala
Aatu Hakala
Romaric Yapi
Romaric Yapi
Nicolas Gianini Dantas
Nicolas Gianini Dantas
José Müller
José Müller
Romain Sans
Romain Sans
Tòfol Montiel
Tòfol Montiel
Yohan Cassubie
Yohan Cassubie
Otso Koskinen
Otso Koskinen
Momodou Sarr
🎯
Momodou Sarr
Neemias Barbosa
Neemias Barbosa
Martim Ferreira
Martim Ferreira
Johannes Kreidl
Johannes Kreidl
Saku Savolainen
Saku Savolainen
Arttu Lötjönen
Arttu Lötjönen
Taneli Hämäläinen
Taneli Hämäläinen
Clinton Antwi
Clinton Antwi
Valentín Gasc
Valentín Gasc
Saku Heiskanen
Saku Heiskanen
Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba
Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba
Tommi Jyry
Tommi Jyry
Bob Nii Armah
🎯
Bob Nii Armah
Piotr Parzyszek
Piotr Parzyszek
Lahti 4-3-3
Starting XI
12
Aatu Hakala
G
27
Romaric Yapi
↓ 81'
D
5
Nicolas Gianini Dantas
D
4
José Müller
↓ 69' 🟨 51'
D
3
Romain Sans
🟨 80'
D
8
Tòfol Montiel
M
18
Yohan Cassubie
M
10
Otso Koskinen
⚽ 2' ↓ 69'
M
77
Momodou Sarr
🎯 2'
F
19
Neemias Barbosa
↓ 81'
F
11
Martim Ferreira
↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
7
Daniel Heikkinen
↑ 69'
M
17
Amir Belabid
↑ 69'
F
6
Väinö Vehkonen
↑ 69'
D
9
Aaron Lindholm
↑ 81'
F
20
Justus Ojanen
↑ 81'
M
31
Osku Maukonen
G
25
Topias Inkinen
D
28
Armend Kabashi
M
14
Erik Andersson
M
KuPS 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Johannes Kreidl
G
6
Saku Savolainen
D
23
Arttu Lötjönen
D
33
Taneli Hämäläinen
D
25
Clinton Antwi
↓ 66'
D
10
Valentín Gasc
🟨 72'
M
3
Saku Heiskanen
↓ 87'
M
21
Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba
⚽ 17'
M
16
Tommi Jyry
⚽ 11' ↓ 70'
M
24
Bob Nii Armah
🎯 11' 🎯 17' ↓ 66'
D
20
Piotr Parzyszek
↓ 70'
F
Substitutes
22
Saikou Touray
↑ 66'
M
9
Gustav Engvall
↑ 66'
F
8
Petteri Pennanen
↑ 70'
M
11
Jaime Moreno
↑ 70'
F
28
Brahima Magassa
↑ 87'
D
12
Hemmo Riihimäki
G
29
Akseli Puukko
D
17
Arttu Heinonen
M
19
Calvin Kabuye
F
Last matches: Lahti
09.08.26
Vei
Lahti
Inter Turku
0
0
D
01.08.26
Vei
Lahti
FF Jaro
2
0
W
26.07.26
Vei
Lahti
Ilves
0
1
L
20.07.26
Vei
Lahti
Mariehamn
2
0
W
11.07.26
Vei
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
2
0
W
04.07.26
Vei
Lahti
Gnistan
1
0
W
27.06.26
Vei
Lahti
AC Oulu
1
1
D
23.06.26
Vei
Lahti
Turku PS
0
0
D
17.06.26
Vei
Lahti
Gnistan
0
1
L
13.06.26
Vei
Lahti
SJK
2
3
L
30.05.26
Vei
Lahti
Ilves
5
0
W
23.05.26
Vei
Lahti
KuPS
1
2
L
18.05.26
Vei
Lahti
VPS
1
1
D
10.05.26
Vei
Lahti
Mariehamn
1
1
D
04.05.26
Vei
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
25.04.26
Vei
Lahti
AC Oulu
2
1
W
18.04.26
Vei
Lahti
Inter Turku
0
2
L
10.04.26
Vei
Lahti
Turku PS
1
2
L
04.04.26
Vei
Lahti
FF Jaro
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Lahti
JIPPO
1
1
D
Last matches: KuPS
13.08.26
UEF
KuPS
Universitatea Craiova
1
2
L
09.08.26
Vei
KuPS
Turku PS
1
1
D
06.08.26
UEF
KuPS
Universitatea Craiova
1
1
D
01.08.26
Vei
KuPS
Gnistan
1
0
W
28.07.26
UEF
KuPS
Sabah FA
0
2
L
25.07.26
Vei
KuPS
VPS
3
1
W
21.07.26
UEF
KuPS
Sabah FA
0
1
L
18.07.26
Vei
KuPS
SJK
2
0
W
14.07.26
UEF
KuPS
Vardar Skopje
2
3
L
07.07.26
UEF
KuPS
Vardar Skopje
2
0
W
27.06.26
Vei
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
4
0
W
23.06.26
Vei
KuPS
Ilves
4
3
W
17.06.26
Vei
KuPS
Turku PS
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vei
KuPS
VPS
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Inter Turku
1
1
D
23.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Lahti
2
1
W
20.05.26
Vei
KuPS
FF Jaro
3
0
W
16.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Mariehamn
1
1
D
08.05.26
Vei
KuPS
SJK
0
0
D
02.05.26
Vei
KuPS
AC Oulu
0
2
L
H2H: Lahti vs KuPS
23.05.26
H2H
KuPS
Lahti
2
1
L
21.07.24
H2H
KuPS
Lahti
1
0
L
27.04.24
H2H
Lahti
KuPS
0
1
L
16.03.24
H2H
Lahti
KuPS
0
2
L
01.07.23
H2H
Lahti
KuPS
3
4
L
20.05.23
H2H
KuPS
Lahti
2
0
L
31.08.22
H2H
Lahti
KuPS
0
1
L
10.07.22
H2H
KuPS
Lahti
4
0
L
22.04.22
H2H
Lahti
KuPS
0
1
L
08.08.21
H2H
KuPS
Lahti
2
2
D
11.05.21
H2H
Lahti
KuPS
2
4
L
14.09.20
H2H
Lahti
KuPS
1
2
L
22.07.20
H2H
KuPS
Lahti
3
0
L
31.01.20
H2H
KuPS
Lahti
1
0
L
25.06.19
H2H
KuPS
Lahti
5
1
L
Last matches: Lahti
01.08.26
Vei
Lahti
FF Jaro
2
0
W
11.07.26
Vei
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
2
0
W
04.07.26
Vei
Lahti
Gnistan
1
0
W
23.06.26
Vei
Lahti
Turku PS
0
0
D
13.06.26
Vei
Lahti
SJK
2
3
L
30.05.26
Vei
Lahti
Ilves
5
0
W
18.05.26
Vei
Lahti
VPS
1
1
D
10.05.26
Vei
Lahti
Mariehamn
1
1
D
25.04.26
Vei
Lahti
AC Oulu
2
1
W
18.04.26
Vei
Lahti
Inter Turku
0
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
Lahti
JIPPO
1
1
D
14.03.26
Fri
Lahti
SJK Akatemia
3
1
W
25.02.26
Fri
Lahti
GrIFK
2
2
D
17.01.26
Fri
Lahti
Haka
1
1
D
H2H at home: Lahti
27.04.24
H2H
Lahti
KuPS
0
1
L
16.03.24
H2H
Lahti
KuPS
0
2
L
01.07.23
H2H
Lahti
KuPS
3
4
L
31.08.22
H2H
Lahti
KuPS
0
1
L
22.04.22
H2H
Lahti
KuPS
0
1
L
11.05.21
H2H
Lahti
KuPS
2
4
L
14.09.20
H2H
Lahti
KuPS
1
2
L
Last matches: KuPS
13.08.26
UEF
KuPS
Universitatea Craiova
1
2
L
01.08.26
Vei
KuPS
Gnistan
1
0
W
21.07.26
UEF
KuPS
Sabah FA
0
1
L
18.07.26
Vei
KuPS
SJK
2
0
W
07.07.26
UEF
KuPS
Vardar Skopje
2
0
W
27.06.26
Vei
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
4
0
W
17.06.26
Vei
KuPS
Turku PS
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vei
KuPS
VPS
1
1
D
16.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Mariehamn
1
1
D
02.05.26
Vei
KuPS
AC Oulu
0
2
L
18.04.26
Vei
KuPS
FF Jaro
1
1
D
04.04.26
Vei
KuPS
Ilves
3
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
KuPS
SJK
0
0
D
26.02.26
UEF
KuPS
Lech Poznan
0
1
L
18.12.25
UEF
KuPS
Crystal Palace
2
2
D
27.11.25
UEF
KuPS
Jagiellonia
0
1
L
23.10.25
UEF
KuPS
Breidablik
0
0
D
21.08.25
UEF
KuPS
FC Midtjylland
0
4
L
06.08.25
UEF
KuPS
Rīgas FS
2
1
W
29.07.25
UEF
KuPS
Kairat Almaty
0
3
L
H2H away: KuPS
27.04.24
H2H
Lahti
KuPS
0
1
W
16.03.24
H2H
Lahti
KuPS
0
2
W
01.07.23
H2H
Lahti
KuPS
3
4
W
31.08.22
H2H
Lahti
KuPS
0
1
W
22.04.22
H2H
Lahti
KuPS
0
1
W
11.05.21
H2H
Lahti
KuPS
2
4
W
14.09.20
H2H
Lahti
KuPS
1
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.64
Draw 3.54
Home 2.57
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.35
Draw 2.23
Home 3.24
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.30
Over 2.0 1.48
Over 2.25 1.73
Over 2.5 1.98
Over 2.75 2.25
Over 3.0 2.72
Over 3.5 3.38
Over 4.5 6.44
Under 1.5 3.53
Under 2.0 2.70
Under 2.25 2.15
Under 2.5 1.87
Under 2.75 1.67
Under 3.0 1.47
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 4.5 1.12
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.50
Draw 3.40
Home 2.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 2.20
Home 3.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 2.50
Home 2.88
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 1.90
Over 3.5 3.25
Over 4.5 6.50
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 11.00
Under 1.5 3.50
Under 2.5 1.90
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.60
Draw 3.38
Home 2.55
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.24
Draw 2.10
Home 3.14
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.92
Draw 2.44
Home 2.84
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.25 1.13
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 1.75 1.33
Over 2.0 1.42
Over 2.25 1.70
Over 2.5 1.91
Over 2.75 2.19
Over 3.0 2.59
Over 3.25 2.89
Over 3.5 3.18
Over 3.75 4.00
Over 4.0 5.55
Over 4.25 5.95
Over 4.5 6.40
Over 4.75 9.40
Over 5.0 10.00
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 9.35
Under 0.75 8.60
Under 1.0 8.70
Under 1.25 4.66
Under 1.5 3.30
Under 1.75 2.97
Under 2.0 2.59
Under 2.25 2.12
Under 2.5 1.86
Under 2.75 1.66
Under 3.0 1.42
Under 3.25 1.32
Under 3.5 1.27
Under 3.75 1.17
Under 4.0 1.08
Under 4.25 1.07
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 4.75 1.02
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.55
Draw 3.35
Home 2.63
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.95
Draw 2.14
Home 3.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.55
Home 2.85
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.0 1.38
Over 2.5 1.79
Over 3.0 2.38
Over 3.25 2.65
Over 3.5 2.95
Over 4.0 4.70
Over 4.25 5.00
Over 4.5 5.25
Over 5.0 10.00
Under 1.5 3.50
Under 2.0 2.75
Under 2.5 1.88
Under 3.0 1.50
Under 3.25 1.40
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 4.0 1.14
Under 4.25 1.12
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 5.0 1.04

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
KuPS Away
20 12 7 1 36:18 18 43
W D W W W
2 20 10 8 2 28:16 12 38
W D W L D
3 20 10 4 6 32:23 9 34
W W L W W
4 20 9 5 6 32:26 6 32
W D L W W
5 20 8 6 6 28:21 7 30
L W L L L
6 20 9 3 8 24:25 -1 30
L L W D L
7 20 8 5 7 27:22 5 29
W D W L L
8
Lahti Home
20 7 5 8 23:18 5 26
L D W L W
9 20 7 4 9 33:34 -1 25
L W L W W
10 20 4 6 10 24:31 -7 18
L D W L L
11 20 3 6 11 18:41 -23 15
L L L W D
12 20 1 5 14 11:41 -30 8
W L L D L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)