Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
85.1%
|
1.25 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71%
|
1.57 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.66 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 8.5 Corners |
92%
|
2.77 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
5.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
11.00 |
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lahti
18 matches
HJK Helsinki
18 matches
| Lahti | Statistic | HJK Helsinki |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 8 |
| 7 | Draws | 4 |
| 6 | Losses | 6 |
| 23 | Goals For | 32 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.78 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 1.5 | Shots On Goal | 1.79 |
| 4.71 | Total Shots | 5 |
| 2.14 | Corners | 1.71 |
| 27.5% | Ball Possession | 23.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by HJK Helsinki's more proactive style and Lahti's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. HJK Helsinki carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 22 points while Lahti sit 9 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors HJK Helsinki. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lahti expected to line up in 4-3-3 and HJK Helsinki in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward HJK Helsinki having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
So far, Lahti have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 13 points from 13 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, while the 15:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Tòfol Montiel (1 goals), Martim Ferreira (1 goals), with creative support from Tòfol Montiel (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
HJK Helsinki approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 22 points after 14 outings. The return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 25:17, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Brooklyn Lyons-Foster (1 goals), M. Borchers (1 goals), with creative support from T. Pukki (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lahti won 6 times, HJK Helsinki won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:22 from Lahti's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Lineups
Lahti
Gnistan
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
Gnistan
Lahti
SJK
Lahti
Ilves
Lahti
KuPS
Lahti
VPS
Lahti
Mariehamn
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Inter Turku
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
FF Jaro
Lahti
JIPPO
Lahti
SJK Akatemia
Lahti
GrIFK
Lahti
Haka
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
VPS
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
Djurgardens IF
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Hammarby FF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
Lahti
Gnistan
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
SJK
Lahti
Ilves
Lahti
VPS
Lahti
Mariehamn
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Inter Turku
Lahti
JIPPO
Lahti
SJK Akatemia
Lahti
GrIFK
Lahti
Haka
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
VPS
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Djurgardens IF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
HJK Helsinki
NSI Runavik
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 27:15 | 12 | 30 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 30 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 22:11 | 11 | 27 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 26 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
HJK Helsinki
Away
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:19 | 6 | 22 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 22 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Lahti
Home
|
15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
| 9 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 25:29 | -4 | 16 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 14 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15:32 | -17 | 11 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8:33 | -25 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|