Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
82.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Lahti
Gnistan
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lahti
17 matches
Gnistan
19 matches
| Lahti | Statistic | Gnistan |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 6 |
| 7 | Draws | 5 |
| 6 | Losses | 8 |
| 22 | Goals For | 24 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.42 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 2 | Shots On Goal | 4.08 |
| 6.62 | Total Shots | 11.46 |
| 2.77 | Corners | 3.46 |
| 33.5% | Ball Possession | 44.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Gnistan's more proactive style and Lahti's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Gnistan. Lahti have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lahti expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Gnistan in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gnistan having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Lahti sit 9 with 12 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats with a 14:14 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Tòfol Montiel (1 goals), Martim Ferreira (1 goals), with creative support from Tòfol Montiel (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Gnistan sit 6 with 18 points after 12 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 18:16 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Lahti won 4 times, Gnistan won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:18 from Lahti's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.64 goals per game.
Lahti
6
1
7
4
8
3
Lineups
Lahti
Mariehamn
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
Gnistan
Lahti
SJK
Lahti
Ilves
Lahti
KuPS
Lahti
VPS
Lahti
Mariehamn
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Inter Turku
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
FF Jaro
Lahti
JIPPO
Lahti
SJK Akatemia
Lahti
GrIFK
Lahti
Haka
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
Lahti
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
SJK
Gnistan
Ilves
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan
Inter Turku
Gnistan
Turku PS
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
KuPS
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Gnistan
Kooteepee
Gnistan
PK-35
Gnistan
SJK
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
JäPS
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
Turku PS
Lahti
SJK
Lahti
Ilves
Lahti
VPS
Lahti
Mariehamn
Lahti
AC Oulu
Lahti
Inter Turku
Lahti
JIPPO
Lahti
SJK Akatemia
Lahti
GrIFK
Lahti
Haka
Gnistan
AC Oulu
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Gnistan
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Ilves
Gnistan
VPS
Gnistan
Turku PS
Gnistan
KuPS
Gnistan
Kooteepee
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
JäPS
Gnistan
Ilves
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 29:15 | 14 | 33 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 31 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 27 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 26 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 27:20 | 7 | 25 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
Gnistan
Away
|
16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 25 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
| 7 |
Lahti
Home
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20:15 | 5 | 22 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
| 8 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20:19 | 1 | 22 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 14 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15:32 | -17 | 12 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8:35 | -27 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|