FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
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Lahden Stadion

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.5%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
78.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Lahti Win 87.5%
Draw 6.3%
FF Jaro Win 6.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lahti1.55
FF Jaro1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lahti Lahti
WWDLW
27 GF / 20 GA
FF Jaro FF Jaro
WLDWL
23 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.86
11
BTTS Yes
13
7
Over 2.5
13
2.56
Shots on Goal
2.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lahti Lahti 20 matches
FF Jaro FF Jaro 22 matches
Lahti Statistic FF Jaro
7 Wins 4
7 Draws 7
6 Losses 11
27 Goals For 23
20 Goals Against 41
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.86
11 BTTS Yes 13
15 Over 1.5 18
7 Over 2.5 13
4 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 7
2.56 Shots On Goal 2.29
7.69 Total Shots 5.94
3.19 Corners 2.35
35.1% Ball Possession 27.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Lahti's more proactive style and FF Jaro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FF Jaro. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Lahti Analysis

So far, Lahti have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 22 points from 16 matches. The record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 20:15 goal balance, points toward good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through Martim Ferreira (1 goals), Tòfol Montiel (1 goals), Y. Cassubie (1 goals), with creative support from Martim Ferreira (1 assists), Tòfol Montiel (1 assists), R. Sans (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

FF Jaro Analysis

FF Jaro sit 10 with 15 points after 17 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 17:33 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by H. Sjögrell (3 goals), R. Vikström (1 goals), with creative support from F. Østigård Ness (2 assists), H. Sjögrell (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lahti won 6 times, FF Jaro won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:22 from Lahti's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.7%)
Predicted formations: Lahti 4-3-3 / FF Jaro 4-3-3
H2H summary: Lahti wins 6, draws 3, FF Jaro wins 6
Last matches: Lahti
20.07.26
Vei
Lahti
Mariehamn
2
0
W
11.07.26
Vei
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
2
0
W
04.07.26
Vei
Lahti
Gnistan
1
0
W
27.06.26
Vei
Lahti
AC Oulu
1
1
D
23.06.26
Vei
Lahti
Turku PS
0
0
D
17.06.26
Vei
Lahti
Gnistan
0
1
L
13.06.26
Vei
Lahti
SJK
2
3
L
30.05.26
Vei
Lahti
Ilves
5
0
W
23.05.26
Vei
Lahti
KuPS
1
2
L
18.05.26
Vei
Lahti
VPS
1
1
D
10.05.26
Vei
Lahti
Mariehamn
1
1
D
04.05.26
Vei
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
0
1
L
25.04.26
Vei
Lahti
AC Oulu
2
1
W
18.04.26
Vei
Lahti
Inter Turku
0
2
L
10.04.26
Vei
Lahti
Turku PS
1
2
L
04.04.26
Vei
Lahti
FF Jaro
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Lahti
JIPPO
1
1
D
14.03.26
Fri
Lahti
SJK Akatemia
3
1
W
25.02.26
Fri
Lahti
GrIFK
2
2
D
17.01.26
Fri
Lahti
Haka
1
1
D
Last matches: FF Jaro
24.07.26
Vei
FF Jaro
SJK
2
1
W
19.07.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
0
0
D
04.07.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Ilves
2
1
W
27.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Turku PS
2
3
L
23.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Gnistan
1
1
D
17.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Ilves
0
5
L
13.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
2
5
L
31.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
1
2
L
23.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
3
0
W
20.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
0
3
L
16.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Gnistan
0
5
L
09.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
0
2
L
02.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Turku PS
2
2
D
24.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
SJK
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
1
1
D
10.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
VPS
0
0
D
04.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Lahti
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
3
L
18.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
SJK
1
2
L
12.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
Haka
1
1
D
H2H: Lahti vs FF Jaro
04.04.26
H2H
FF Jaro
Lahti
0
1
W
27.10.24
H2H
Lahti
FF Jaro
1
0
W
23.10.24
H2H
FF Jaro
Lahti
2
0
L
18.10.15
H2H
FF Jaro
Lahti
1
1
D
02.08.15
H2H
Lahti
FF Jaro
1
1
D
14.05.15
H2H
FF Jaro
Lahti
1
1
D
28.09.14
H2H
FF Jaro
Lahti
0
4
W
24.06.14
H2H
Lahti
FF Jaro
1
0
W
23.04.14
H2H
FF Jaro
Lahti
2
1
L
27.09.13
H2H
Lahti
FF Jaro
5
2
W
13.07.13
H2H
FF Jaro
Lahti
7
1
L
23.05.13
H2H
Lahti
FF Jaro
1
2
L
07.10.12
H2H
FF Jaro
Lahti
2
1
L
29.07.12
H2H
Lahti
FF Jaro
0
2
L
21.05.12
H2H
FF Jaro
Lahti
0
2
W
Last matches: Lahti
11.07.26
Vei
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
2
0
W
04.07.26
Vei
Lahti
Gnistan
1
0
W
23.06.26
Vei
Lahti
Turku PS
0
0
D
13.06.26
Vei
Lahti
SJK
2
3
L
30.05.26
Vei
Lahti
Ilves
5
0
W
18.05.26
Vei
Lahti
VPS
1
1
D
10.05.26
Vei
Lahti
Mariehamn
1
1
D
25.04.26
Vei
Lahti
AC Oulu
2
1
W
18.04.26
Vei
Lahti
Inter Turku
0
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
Lahti
JIPPO
1
1
D
14.03.26
Fri
Lahti
SJK Akatemia
3
1
W
25.02.26
Fri
Lahti
GrIFK
2
2
D
17.01.26
Fri
Lahti
Haka
1
1
D
H2H at home: Lahti
27.10.24
H2H
Lahti
FF Jaro
1
0
W
02.08.15
H2H
Lahti
FF Jaro
1
1
D
24.06.14
H2H
Lahti
FF Jaro
1
0
W
27.09.13
H2H
Lahti
FF Jaro
5
2
W
23.05.13
H2H
Lahti
FF Jaro
1
2
L
29.07.12
H2H
Lahti
FF Jaro
0
2
L
Last matches: FF Jaro
27.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Turku PS
2
3
L
17.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Ilves
0
5
L
31.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
1
2
L
20.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
0
3
L
16.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Gnistan
0
5
L
09.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
0
2
L
24.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
SJK
1
1
D
10.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
VPS
0
0
D
18.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
SJK
1
2
L
28.02.26
Fri
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
FF Jaro
JBK
1
0
W
H2H away: FF Jaro
27.10.24
H2H
Lahti
FF Jaro
1
0
L
02.08.15
H2H
Lahti
FF Jaro
1
1
D
24.06.14
H2H
Lahti
FF Jaro
1
0
L
27.09.13
H2H
Lahti
FF Jaro
5
2
L
23.05.13
H2H
Lahti
FF Jaro
1
2
W
29.07.12
H2H
Lahti
FF Jaro
0
2
W

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 6 1 29:15 14 33
W W W W D
2 16 8 7 1 23:12 11 31
D W D D D
3 16 7 6 3 23:13 10 27
L W W D W
4 16 8 2 6 20:20 0 26
L L D L W
5 16 7 4 5 27:20 7 25
W L L W D
6 16 7 4 5 25:20 5 25
W W L D D
7
Lahti Home
16 6 4 6 20:15 5 22
W W W D D
8 16 6 4 6 20:19 1 22
L W L W D
9 16 5 4 7 28:30 -2 19
W L D L W
10 17 3 6 8 17:33 -16 15
W D W L D
11 17 3 5 9 19:27 -8 14
L L L W D
12 16 0 4 12 8:35 -27 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)