BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Lagarto
Match Timeline
Retrô
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
46'
Erik Gabriel
Lagarto
57'
Radsley
Retrô
86'
Radsley
Retrô

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 73.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
73.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Lagarto Win 100%
Draw 0%
Retrô Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lagarto2.8
Retrô1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lagarto Lagarto
WWDLW
6 GF / 5 GA
Retrô Retrô
WLDWL
2 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
3
Average Goals Scored
1
2.5
Average Goals Conceded
2.5
2
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lagarto Lagarto 2 matches
Retrô Retrô 2 matches
Lagarto Statistic Retrô
1 Wins 0
1 Draws 1
0 Losses 1
6 Goals For 2
5 Goals Against 5
3 Avg Goals Scored 1
2.5 Avg Goals Conceded 2.5
2 BTTS Yes 1
2 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Lagarto's more proactive style and Retrô's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Retrô. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Retrô having the stronger overall control. Lagarto arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 4 points compared to Retrô in 6 on 1, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Lagarto Analysis

Lagarto come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 4 points from 2 matches. The record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 6:5 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Rhuann (3 goals), Erik Gabriel (2 goals), Bruninho (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Retrô Analysis

Retrô are currently 6 in the standings with 1 points from 2 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, while the 2:5 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Ericson (1 goals), Kadi Silva (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Lagarto won 0 times, Retrô won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Lagarto's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
H2H summary: Lagarto wins 0, draws 1, Retrô wins 1
Last matches: Lagarto
27.06.26
Ser
Lagarto
CSA
0
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Lagarto
CSA
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Lagarto
Decisão
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Lagarto
Treze
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Lagarto
Retrô
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Lagarto
Sergipe
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Lagarto
Serra Branca
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Lagarto
Serra Branca
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Lagarto
Sergipe
1
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Lagarto
Treze
5
4
W
05.04.26
Ser
Lagarto
Decisão
1
1
D
10.08.25
Ser
Lagarto
Central SC
2
2
D
03.08.25
Ser
Lagarto
Central SC
0
1
L
27.07.25
Ser
Lagarto
União Carmolandense
0
1
L
19.07.25
Ser
Lagarto
Barcelona BA
2
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Lagarto
Sergipe
2
1
W
06.07.25
Ser
Lagarto
Penedense
4
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Lagarto
ASA
0
1
L
16.06.25
Ser
Lagarto
Jequié
2
1
W
11.06.25
Ser
Lagarto
Juazeirense
1
2
L
Last matches: Retrô
14.06.26
Ser
Retrô
Treze
3
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Retrô
Serra Branca
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Retrô
Lagarto
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Retrô
Decisão
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Retrô
Sergipe
0
1
L
04.05.26
Ser
Retrô
Sergipe
1
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Retrô
Decisão
2
3
L
12.04.26
Ser
Retrô
Serra Branca
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
Retrô
Treze
0
3
L
H2H: Lagarto vs Retrô
24.05.26
H2H
Retrô
Lagarto
1
1
D
18.04.26
H2H
Lagarto
Retrô
1
2
L
Last matches: Lagarto
21.06.26
Ser
Lagarto
CSA
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Lagarto
Decisão
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Lagarto
Sergipe
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Lagarto
Serra Branca
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Lagarto
Treze
5
4
W
10.08.25
Ser
Lagarto
Central SC
2
2
D
19.07.25
Ser
Lagarto
Barcelona BA
2
0
W
06.07.25
Ser
Lagarto
Penedense
4
0
W
16.06.25
Ser
Lagarto
Jequié
2
1
W
31.05.25
Ser
Lagarto
Juazeirense
3
1
W
17.05.25
Ser
Lagarto
ASA
0
0
D
03.05.25
Ser
Lagarto
Sergipe
0
3
L
19.04.25
Ser
Lagarto
União Carmolandense
2
1
W
H2H at home: Lagarto
18.04.26
H2H
Lagarto
Retrô
1
2
L
Last matches: Retrô
31.05.26
Ser
Retrô
Serra Branca
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Retrô
Sergipe
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Retrô
Decisão
2
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Retrô
Treze
0
3
L
H2H away: Retrô
18.04.26
H2H
Lagarto
Retrô
1
2
W

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)