ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
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Laagri kunstmurustaadion
Referee: K. Kulljastinen

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63%
Odds 2.11
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.56
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63%
2.11
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.56
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.36
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.25
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Laagri Win 63%
Draw 6.5%
Kuressaare Win 30.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Laagri1.84
Kuressaare1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Laagri Laagri
WWDLW
34 GF / 32 GA
Kuressaare Kuressaare
WLDWL
25 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
2.16
11
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Laagri Laagri 21 matches
Kuressaare Kuressaare 19 matches
Laagri Statistic Kuressaare
10 Wins 5
3 Draws 3
8 Losses 11
34 Goals For 25
32 Goals Against 41
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 2.16
11 BTTS Yes 12
19 Over 1.5 16
14 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kuressaare. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kuressaare having the stronger overall control.

Laagri Analysis

Laagri arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 19 points after 14 matches. The record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 18:23 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Eerme (5 goals), K. Kriis (3 goals), A. Binate (2 goals), with creative support from Rudenko Daniil (6 assists), A. Binate (2 assists), K. Eerme (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kuressaare Analysis

So far, Kuressaare have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 13 points from 14 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, while the 14:24 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on A. Kivi (4 goals), E. Demidov (2 goals), J. Vahermagi (2 goals), with creative support from R. Talu (3 assists), R. Piil (2 assists), E. Demidov (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Laagri won 4 times, Kuressaare won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:11 from Laagri's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.7 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.5%)
H2H summary: Laagri wins 4, draws 5, Kuressaare wins 1
Last matches: Laagri
30.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
3
0
W
20.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
16.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Vaprus
1
2
L
09.05.26
Mei
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
L
30.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
0
5
L
25.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Tammeka
1
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
2
2
D
18.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Nõmme United
2
1
W
11.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
3
L
08.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
04.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Vaprus
2
0
W
22.03.26
Mei
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
2
0
W
15.03.26
Mei
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
07.03.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
2
1
W
28.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Metta / LU
1
5
L
20.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Mārupe
4
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Riga Mariners
4
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Valmiera / BSS
2
1
W
01.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Džiugas Telšiai
1
1
D
24.01.26
Fri
Laagri
Tartu Welco
3
0
W
Last matches: Kuressaare
31.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
1
1
D
20.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
2
1
W
17.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
08.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Tammeka
0
1
L
02.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
25.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
1
2
L
21.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Vaprus
0
1
L
18.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
2
1
W
11.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
W
07.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
03.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
0
1
L
21.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
4
L
14.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Tammeka
3
2
W
08.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
2
L
21.02.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Tallinna Kalev
2
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
3
3
D
31.01.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Vaprus
2
9
L
24.01.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Viimsi
2
3
L
H2H: Laagri vs Kuressaare
11.04.26
H2H
Kuressaare
Laagri
3
2
L
17.09.25
H2H
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
1
W
09.08.25
H2H
Kuressaare
Laagri
1
3
W
29.06.25
H2H
Laagri
Kuressaare
1
1
D
16.03.25
H2H
Kuressaare
Laagri
1
2
W
25.01.25
H2H
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
0
W
04.11.23
H2H
Kuressaare
Laagri
1
1
D
01.07.23
H2H
Laagri
Kuressaare
1
1
D
23.05.23
H2H
Laagri
Kuressaare
1
1
D
07.03.23
H2H
Kuressaare
Laagri
1
1
D
Last matches: Laagri
30.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Trans Narva
3
0
W
16.05.26
Mei
Laagri
Vaprus
1
2
L
25.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Tammeka
1
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Paide
2
2
D
08.04.26
Mei
Laagri
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
22.03.26
Mei
Laagri
Flora Tallinn
2
0
W
15.03.26
Mei
Laagri
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
20.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Mārupe
4
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Riga Mariners
4
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Laagri
Valmiera / BSS
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Laagri
Tartu Welco
3
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Laagri
PK-35
1
1
D
H2H at home: Laagri
17.09.25
H2H
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
1
W
29.06.25
H2H
Laagri
Kuressaare
1
1
D
25.01.25
H2H
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
0
W
01.07.23
H2H
Laagri
Kuressaare
1
1
D
23.05.23
H2H
Laagri
Kuressaare
1
1
D
Last matches: Kuressaare
31.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Paide
1
1
D
08.05.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Tammeka
0
1
L
25.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
1
2
L
18.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
2
1
W
07.04.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
21.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
0
4
L
08.03.26
Mei
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
2
L
31.01.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Vaprus
2
9
L
24.01.26
Fri
Kuressaare
Viimsi
2
3
L
H2H away: Kuressaare
17.09.25
H2H
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
1
L
29.06.25
H2H
Laagri
Kuressaare
1
1
D
25.01.25
H2H
Laagri
Kuressaare
2
0
L
01.07.23
H2H
Laagri
Kuressaare
1
1
D
23.05.23
H2H
Laagri
Kuressaare
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.11
Draw 3.63
Away 3.05
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.56
Draw 2.42
Away 3.48
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.0 1.32
Under 2.0 3.20
Over 2.25 1.40
Under 2.25 2.83
Over 2.5 1.56
Under 2.5 2.33
Over 2.75 1.70
Under 2.75 2.11
Over 3.5 2.40
Under 3.5 1.53
Over 3.0 1.93
Under 3.0 1.88
Over 3.25 2.17
Under 3.25 1.67
Over 3.75 2.79
Under 3.75 1.40
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.05
Draw 3.60
Away 2.90
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.62
Draw 2.25
Away 3.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.38
Draw 2.75
Away 3.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.17
Under 1.5 4.50
Over 2.5 1.57
Under 2.5 2.35
Over 3.5 2.38
Under 3.5 1.53
Over 0.5 1.00
Under 0.5 17.00
Over 4.5 4.00
Under 4.5 1.22
Over 7.5 17.00
Under 7.5 1.00
Over 5.5 7.00
Under 5.5 1.08
Over 6.5 10.50
Under 6.5 1.02
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.07
Draw 3.34
Away 3.16
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.68
Draw 2.13
Away 3.81
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.40
Draw 2.56
Away 3.36
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.17
Under 1.5 3.98
Over 1.75 1.22
Under 1.75 3.50
Over 2.0 1.28
Under 2.0 3.08
Over 2.25 1.50
Under 2.25 2.40
Over 2.5 1.69
Under 2.5 2.04
Over 2.75 1.86
Under 2.75 1.84
Over 3.5 2.66
Under 3.5 1.37
Over 0.5 1.03
Under 0.5 11.30
Over 1.0 1.03
Under 1.0 8.40
Over 1.25 1.08
Under 1.25 5.50
Over 3.0 2.10
Under 3.0 1.59
Over 4.5 4.95
Under 4.5 1.11
Over 3.25 2.38
Under 3.25 1.46
Over 3.75 3.20
Under 3.75 1.26
Over 4.0 4.25
Under 4.0 1.15
Over 4.25 4.60
Under 4.25 1.12
Over 4.75 6.29
Under 4.75 1.06
Over 5.0 9.00
Under 5.0 1.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 7.5 1.00
Over 5.5 10.00
Under 5.5 1.05
Over 6.5 12.00
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.97
Draw 3.50
Away 3.30
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.50
Draw 2.40
Away 3.65
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.33
Draw 2.70
Away 3.30
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.16
Under 1.5 4.20
Over 2.0 1.27
Under 2.0 3.35
Over 2.25 1.44
Under 2.25 2.55
Over 2.5 1.60
Under 2.5 2.10
Over 2.75 1.77
Under 2.75 1.91
Over 3.5 2.55
Under 3.5 1.44
Over 3.0 2.02
Under 3.0 1.68
Over 4.5 4.50
Under 4.5 1.14
Over 3.25 2.28
Under 3.25 1.54
Over 3.75 3.00
Under 3.75 1.33
Over 4.0 3.90
Under 4.0 1.21
Over 4.25 4.20
Under 4.25 1.18
Over 4.75 5.50
Under 4.75 1.10
Over 5.0 7.50
Under 5.0 1.06

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 11 3 0 39:10 29 36
?
2 14 9 1 4 26:10 16 28
?
3 13 9 0 4 29:12 17 27
?
4 14 6 3 5 22:19 3 21
?
5 14 6 1 7 18:23 -5 19
?
6 14 6 1 7 19:29 -10 19
?
7 13 5 1 7 15:19 -4 16
?
8 14 4 1 9 27:36 -9 13
?
9 14 4 1 9 14:24 -10 13
?
10 14 3 0 11 10:37 -27 9
?