ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
16.08.2026 16:00
Laagri kunstmurustaadion
Referee: J. Jaanovits
Laagri
Match Timeline
FC Levadia Tallinn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
M. Ainsalu · Assist: M. Skvortsov
FC Levadia Tallinn
39'
A. Binate
Laagri
🔄
63'
M. Seck ↔ A. Kose
Laagri
🔄
67'
K. Roomussaar ↔ M. Kelement
Laagri
🔄
67'
H. Palutaja ↔ E. Kajari
Laagri
🟨
73'
A. Binate
Laagri
🔄
77'
Wendell ↔ N. Kutateladze
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
77'
M. Skvortsov ↔ M. Bessala
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
79'
A. Kaevats ↔ S. Salei
Laagri
🔄
79'
M. Kesa ↔ S. Suppi
Laagri
83'
K. Laur
FC Levadia Tallinn

Laagri vs FC Levadia Tallinn Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.5%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Laagri Win 34.1%
Draw 5.4%
FC Levadia Tallinn Win 60.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Laagri1.4
FC Levadia Tallinn2.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Laagri Laagri
WWDLW
48 GF / 47 GA
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn
WLDWL
77 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.66
Average Goals Scored
2.57
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
1
16
BTTS Yes
20
20
Over 2.5
22
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Laagri Laagri 29 matches
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 30 matches
Laagri Statistic FC Levadia Tallinn
12 Wins 20
3 Draws 6
14 Losses 4
48 Goals For 77
47 Goals Against 30
1.66 Avg Goals Scored 2.57
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1
16 BTTS Yes 20
25 Over 1.5 27
20 Over 2.5 22
11 Over 3.5 15
7 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by FC Levadia Tallinn's more proactive style and Laagri's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FC Levadia Tallinn having the stronger overall control. Laagri have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward FC Levadia Tallinn. FC Levadia Tallinn carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 47 points while Laagri sit 8 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Laagri Analysis

With 25 points from 22 games and a place of 8, Laagri still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 32:38, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Levadia Tallinn Analysis

Placed 1 with 47 points from 20 outings, FC Levadia Tallinn continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, while the 50:17 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Laagri won 1 times, FC Levadia Tallinn won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:28 from Laagri's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
Predicted formations: Laagri 4-2-3-1 / FC Levadia Tallinn 4-1-3-2
H2H summary: Laagri wins 1, draws 2, FC Levadia Tallinn wins 8

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 21 5 1 74:20 54 68
W W W W W
2 28 17 1 10 56:37 19 52
W D W W L
3 28 14 5 9 49:26 23 47
W L L L L
4 27 13 6 8 43:35 8 45
L W L W W
5 27 14 2 11 36:38 -2 44
W L W L W
6 28 11 1 16 40:47 -7 34
W L L W W
7 27 10 4 13 37:52 -15 34
L W W D L
8 28 9 1 18 46:65 -19 28
L W L L L
9 28 8 4 16 31:49 -18 28
L L W D L
10 28 5 3 20 21:64 -43 18
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga