Login Register
FRANCE › LIGUE 3
03.10.2026 18:45
Stade Henri-Desgranges
La Roche VF
Match Timeline
Aubagne
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
14'
B. Tafni · Assist: S. Ahamada
Aubagne
🟨
17'
A. Araujo
La Roche VF
🟨
45+3'
M. Ndiaye
La Roche VF
🟨
45+3'
A. Tafni
Aubagne
🟨
45+3'
Aubagne
Aubagne
⚽
52'
D. Bangoura
La Roche VF
🟨
55'
M. Rabuel
La Roche VF
⚽
56'
T. Allemand · Assist: D. Bangoura
La Roche VF
🔄
59'
A. Oudjani ↔ A. Faiz
Aubagne
🟨
61'
D. Bangoura
La Roche VF
🔄
66'
H. Lamy ↔ M. Jacob
La Roche VF
🔄
67'
D. Bangoura ↔ K. Bensoula
La Roche VF
🔄
70'
B. Tafni ↔ Y. Zemoura
Aubagne
⚽
71'
M. Samb · Assist: A. Araujo
La Roche VF
🔄
77'
A. Araujo ↔ E. Morel
La Roche VF
🔄
77'
M. Ndiaye ↔ M. Vrignon
La Roche VF
🟨
90'
S. Ahamada
Aubagne
🟥
90+4'
K. Cisse
Aubagne
🔄
90+3'
M. Samb ↔ M. Villette
La Roche VF

La Roche VF vs Aubagne Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.4%
- ▥
BTTS No
55%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
La Roche VF Win 79.4%
Draw 5.7%
Aubagne Win 14.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
La Roche VF1.48
Aubagne0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
La Roche VF La Roche VF
WWDLW
16 GF / 10 GA
Aubagne Aubagne
WLDWL
8 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
0.8
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
7
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

La Roche VF La Roche VF 10 matches
Aubagne Aubagne 10 matches
La Roche VF Statistic Aubagne
6 Wins 2
4 Draws 2
0 Losses 6
16 Goals For 8
10 Goals Against 13
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
7 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by La Roche VF's more proactive style and Aubagne's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Aubagne arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Aubagne. La Roche VF arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 15 points compared to Aubagne in 16 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Aubagne having the stronger overall control.

La Roche VF Analysis

Placed 3 with 15 points from 7 outings, La Roche VF continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, while the 10:6 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Aubagne Analysis

With 4 points from 7 games and a place of 16, Aubagne still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 3:8 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 3 0 15:8 7 21
W W W D D
2 9 6 2 1 17:5 12 20
W L W W D
3 9 4 4 1 12:8 4 16
W D W W D
4 9 5 1 3 13:12 1 16
W W D W L
5 9 4 3 2 12:3 9 15
W D W D W
6 9 3 6 0 11:4 7 15
W D D D W
7 9 5 0 4 17:12 5 15
L W L W W
8 9 4 1 4 11:9 2 13
W L W L D
9 9 3 3 3 14:14 0 12
L L D L D
10 9 3 3 3 15:12 3 12
W L D W W
11 9 3 3 3 7:9 -2 12
L W D L D
12 9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
D L D W L
13 9 2 4 3 8:12 -4 10
L D D W D
14 9 2 3 4 7:11 -4 9
D D L L D
15 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
L W L L D
16 9 2 1 6 6:12 -6 7
L W L L D
17 9 1 2 6 5:15 -10 5
L D D L L
18 9 1 1 7 7:22 -15 4
L L L D L
Promotion - Ligue 2
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion)
Relegation