Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
52.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
48.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
La Luz
Oriental
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
La Luz
20 matches
Oriental
21 matches
| La Luz | Statistic | Oriental |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 7 |
| 9 | Draws | 8 |
| 6 | Losses | 6 |
| 17 | Goals For | 26 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Oriental's more proactive style and La Luz's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Oriental. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Oriental having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Oriental carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 13 points while La Luz sit 9 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
La Luz are currently 9 in the standings with 7 points from 6 matches. The record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 5:6 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Oriental approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 13 points after 6 outings. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 8:5, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, La Luz won 1 times, Oriental won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:7 from La Luz's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.86 goals per game.
La Luz
Colón
La Luz
Fenix
La Luz
Rentistas
La Luz
Miramar
La Luz
Tacuarembo
La Luz
Plaza Colonia
La Luz
CA River Plate
La Luz
Cerrito
La Luz
Atenas
La Luz
Paysandu
La Luz
Sportivo Huracan
La Luz
Uruguay Montevideo
La Luz
Oriental
La Luz
Colón
La Luz
Cerrito
La Luz
Uruguay Montevideo
La Luz
Atenas
La Luz
Sportivo Huracan
La Luz
Fenix
La Luz
Tacuarembo
Oriental
Cerrito
Oriental
Atenas
Oriental
Paysandu
Oriental
Sportivo Huracan
Oriental
Uruguay Montevideo
Oriental
CA River Plate
Oriental
Colón
Oriental
Fenix
Oriental
Rentistas
Oriental
Miramar
Oriental
Tacuarembo
Oriental
Plaza Colonia
Oriental
La Luz
Oriental
Cerrito
Oriental
Fenix
Oriental
Plaza Colonia
Oriental
Rentistas
Oriental
Miramar
Oriental
Paysandu
Oriental
Colón
La Luz
Rentistas
La Luz
Tacuarembo
La Luz
Cerrito
La Luz
Paysandu
La Luz
Uruguay Montevideo
La Luz
Colón
La Luz
Uruguay Montevideo
La Luz
Atenas
La Luz
Sportivo Huracan
La Luz
Oriental
La Luz
Albion FC
La Luz
Rampla Juniors
La Luz
Central Espanol
La Luz
Rentistas
La Luz
Colón
La Luz
Deportivo Maldonado
La Luz
Uruguay Montevideo
La Luz
Fenix
La Luz
Atenas
La Luz
Tacuarembo
Oriental
Cerrito
Oriental
Paysandu
Oriental
Uruguay Montevideo
Oriental
Fenix
Oriental
Miramar
Oriental
Plaza Colonia
Oriental
Fenix
Oriental
Plaza Colonia
Oriental
Rentistas
Oriental
CA River Plate
Oriental
La Luz
Oriental
Cerrito
Oriental
Colón
Oriental
Uruguay Montevideo
Oriental
Fenix
Oriental
Atenas
Oriental
Tacuarembo
Oriental
Rentistas
Oriental
Deportivo Maldonado
Oriental
Artigas
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Oriental
Away
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 13 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
| 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 12 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 11 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 |
La Luz
Home
|
6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
| 10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
D
L
L
L
D
|