Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
75.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
21.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
12.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Kyoto Sanga
V-varen Nagasaki
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Kyoto Sanga
19 matches
V-varen Nagasaki
18 matches
| Kyoto Sanga | Statistic | V-varen Nagasaki |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 7 |
| 5 | Draws | 2 |
| 9 | Losses | 9 |
| 25 | Goals For | 22 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.22 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.18 | Shots On Goal | 3.76 |
| 12.53 | Total Shots | 11.18 |
| 4.88 | Corners | 4 |
| 53.2% | Ball Possession | 47.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Kyoto Sanga have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward V-varen Nagasaki. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Kyoto Sanga expected to line up in 4-3-3 and V-varen Nagasaki in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward V-varen Nagasaki having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
With 20 points from 17 games and a place of 10, Kyoto Sanga still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 0 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 21:28 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Marco Tulio (5 goals), Rafael Elias (4 goals), Henrique Trevisan (3 goals), with creative support from F. Honda (3 assists), Rafael Elias (2 assists), Henrique Trevisan (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 17 matches, V-varen Nagasaki have collected 21 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, while the 21:28 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Matheus Jesus (6 goals), Thiago (6 goals), N. Campbell (2 goals), with creative support from Matheus Jesus (4 assists), N. Campbell (2 assists), Motoki Hasegawa (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kyoto Sanga won 6 times, V-varen Nagasaki won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:15 from Kyoto Sanga's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.
Kyoto Sanga
8
0
7
4
7
6
Lineups
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
Kyoto Sanga
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
Vissel Kobe
Kyoto Sanga
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
Avispa Fukuoka
Kyoto Sanga
Shimizu S-pulse
Kyoto Sanga
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Fagiano Okayama
Kyoto Sanga
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Fagiano Okayama
Kyoto Sanga
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
Avispa Fukuoka
Kyoto Sanga
Shimizu S-pulse
Kyoto Sanga
Vissel Kobe
Kyoto Sanga
Urawa
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
Omiya Ardija
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
Kyoto Sanga
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto Sanga
Shimizu S-pulse
Kyoto Sanga
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Fagiano Okayama
Kyoto Sanga
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
Avispa Fukuoka
Kyoto Sanga
Vissel Kobe
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
V-varen Nagasaki
Omiya Ardija
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
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|
|
| 2 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 31 |
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|
|
| 3 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
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|
|
| 4 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 8 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 28 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 26 |
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|
| 7 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 24 |
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|
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| 8 |
Kyoto Sanga
Home
|
18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 23 |
?
|
| 9 |
V-varen Nagasaki
Away
|
18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | -8 | 21 |
?
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
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