JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
02.05.2026 05:00
Sanga Stadium by Kyocera
Referee: H. Kasahara
Kyoto Sanga
Match Timeline
Shimizu S-pulse
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
1'
Hisashi Appiah Tawiah
Kyoto Sanga
🟨
8'
Barreto
Kyoto Sanga
⚽
16'
Marco Tulio · Assist: H. Sugai
Kyoto Sanga
🔄
31'
Marco Tulio ↔ H. Arai
Kyoto Sanga
🟨
44'
Toshiki Takahashi
Shimizu S-pulse
🟨
45+2'
Barreto
Kyoto Sanga
🟥
45+2'
Barreto
Kyoto Sanga
🔄
46'
M. Yumiba ↔ Matheus Bueno
Shimizu S-pulse
🟨
48'
Haruki Arai
Kyoto Sanga
⚽
64'
Z. Uno · Assist: Y. Yoshida
Shimizu S-pulse
🔄
65'
T. Matsuda ↔ T. Yonemoto
Kyoto Sanga
🔄
65'
R. Nakano ↔ S. Fukuda
Kyoto Sanga
⚽
68'
Y. Shimamoto · Assist: Y. Yoshida
Shimizu S-pulse
🔄
69'
Y. Honda ↔ M. Brunetti
Shimizu S-pulse
🔄
70'
K. Sato ↔ M. Okugawa
Kyoto Sanga
🔄
70'
S. Yoon ↔ Rafael Elias
Kyoto Sanga
🔄
70'
Capixaba ↔ H. Nakahara
Shimizu S-pulse
🔄
82'
Y. Shimamoto ↔ K. Kozuka
Shimizu S-pulse
🔄
87'
T. Takahashi ↔ R. Ohata
Shimizu S-pulse
🟨
90+8'
João Pedro
Kyoto Sanga
🟨
90+6'
Rafael Elias
Kyoto Sanga

Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-pulse Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 36.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
36.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
85.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Kyoto Sanga Win 50.9%
Draw 18.9%
Shimizu S-pulse Win 30.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kyoto Sanga1.38
Shimizu S-pulse1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga
WWDLW
23 GF / 18 GA
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse
WLDWL
18 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1
10
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
5
4.42
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 14 matches
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 15 matches
Kyoto Sanga Statistic Shimizu S-pulse
5 Wins 5
4 Draws 6
5 Losses 4
23 Goals For 18
18 Goals Against 15
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1
10 BTTS Yes 8
13 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 4
4.42 Shots On Goal 3
13.42 Total Shots 9.92
5.08 Corners 4.38
52.6% Ball Possession 47.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Kyoto Sanga's more proactive style and Shimizu S-pulse's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Shimizu S-pulse arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Shimizu S-pulse. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Kyoto Sanga expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Shimizu S-pulse in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shimizu S-pulse having the stronger overall control.

Kyoto Sanga Analysis

Kyoto Sanga come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 19 points after 12 matches. With 7 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 19:16, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Marco Tulio (4 goals), Rafael Elias (3 goals), Henrique Trevisan (2 goals), with creative support from F. Honda (3 assists), Rafael Elias (2 assists), Marco Tulio (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Shimizu S-pulse Analysis

With 17 points from 13 games and a place of 7, Shimizu S-pulse still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 8 defeats with a 16:18 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Oh Se-Hun (6 goals), K. Kitagawa (2 goals), Y. Shimamoto (2 goals), with creative support from Z. Uno (2 assists), Oh Se-Hun (1 assists), K. Kitagawa (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Kyoto Sanga won 4 times, Shimizu S-pulse won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:12 from Kyoto Sanga's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.1%)
Predicted formations: Kyoto Sanga 4-3-3 / Shimizu S-pulse 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Kyoto Sanga wins 4, draws 2, Shimizu S-pulse wins 4

Standings

West
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 11 0 7 29:25 4 35
?
2 18 11 0 7 30:21 9 31
?
3 18 10 0 8 33:31 2 31
?
4 18 10 0 8 31:23 8 30
?
5 18 10 0 8 31:25 6 28
?
6 18 8 0 10 26:29 -3 26
?
7 18 8 0 10 23:25 -2 24
?
8 18 8 0 10 22:28 -6 23
?
9 18 7 0 11 21:29 -8 21
?
10 18 7 0 11 21:31 -10 21
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)