JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Sanga Stadium by Kyocera
Referee: A. Kamimura
Kyoto Sanga
Match Timeline
Kashiwa Reysol
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
Y. Koizumi · Assist: Y. Kakita
Kashiwa Reysol
2'
H. Arai · Assist: Rafael Elias
Kyoto Sanga
VAR
12'
Ryuma Nakano
Kyoto Sanga
🟨
14'
Ryuma Nakano
Kyoto Sanga
🟨
29'
Hinata Yamauchi
Kashiwa Reysol
39'
Y. Kakita · Assist: Y. Koizumi
Kashiwa Reysol
45'
D. Sugioka · Assist: Y. Koizumi
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
46'
R. Nakano ↔ Joao Pedro
Kyoto Sanga
🔄
46'
H. Yamauchi ↔ Y. Segawa
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
61'
T. Matsuda ↔ T. Hiraoka
Kyoto Sanga
🔄
61'
H. Arai ↔ F. Honda
Kyoto Sanga
🔄
61'
Y. Kakita ↔ M. Hosoya
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
66'
Henrique Trevisan ↔ H. Appiah Tawiah
Kyoto Sanga
67'
Rafael Elias · Assist: F. Honda
Kyoto Sanga
🟨
71'
João Pedro
Kyoto Sanga
🔄
77'
Y. Konishi ↔ R. Harakawa
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
83'
M. Okugawa ↔ Souza Alex
Kyoto Sanga
🔄
83'
Y. Koizumi ↔ S. Baba
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
83'
H. Mitsumaru ↔ Y. Komi
Kashiwa Reysol
87'
Y. Komi
Kashiwa Reysol
90'
T. Kubo · Assist: M. Hosoya
Kashiwa Reysol
90'
Y. Komi · Assist: S. Baba
Kashiwa Reysol

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
56.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kyoto Sanga Win 61.8%
Draw 10.4%
Kashiwa Reysol Win 27.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kyoto Sanga1.31
Kashiwa Reysol1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga
WWDLW
26 GF / 29 GA
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
WLDWL
23 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
12
BTTS Yes
7
10
Over 2.5
8
4.39
Shots on Goal
3.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 20 matches
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 19 matches
Kyoto Sanga Statistic Kashiwa Reysol
6 Wins 7
5 Draws 1
9 Losses 11
26 Goals For 23
29 Goals Against 25
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
12 BTTS Yes 7
17 Over 1.5 12
10 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 7
4.39 Shots On Goal 3.89
13.06 Total Shots 12.67
5 Corners 5.33
53.3% Ball Possession 56.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Kashiwa Reysol. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Kyoto Sanga have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Kyoto Sanga expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Kashiwa Reysol in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kashiwa Reysol having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Kyoto Sanga Analysis

With 23 points from 18 games and a place of 8, Kyoto Sanga still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 8 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 22:28, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Marco Tulio (5 goals), Rafael Elias (5 goals), Henrique Trevisan (3 goals), with creative support from F. Honda (3 assists), Rafael Elias (2 assists), Henrique Trevisan (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kashiwa Reysol Analysis

So far, Kashiwa Reysol have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 20 points from 18 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 22:24 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by Y. Segawa (4 goals), M. Hosoya (3 goals), Nobuteru Nakagawa (2 goals), with creative support from Y. Koizumi (2 assists), H. Mitsumaru (2 assists), Y. Segawa (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Kyoto Sanga won 3 times, Kashiwa Reysol won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:33 from Kyoto Sanga's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.64 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.6%)
Predicted formations: Kyoto Sanga 4-3-3 / Kashiwa Reysol 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Kyoto Sanga wins 3, draws 6, Kashiwa Reysol wins 5
Stats
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
10
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
4
2 Corner Kicks 4
4 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 3
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Goal 10
3 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 4
5 Shots insidebox 10
5 Shots outsidebox 8
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
472 Total passes 410
379 Passes accurate 318
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Kyoto Sanga
Formation
Kashiwa Reysol
G. Ota
G. Ota
H. Sugai
H. Sugai
Y. Suzuki
Y. Suzuki
Henrique Trevisan
Henrique Trevisan
K. Sato
K. Sato
R. Nakano
R. Nakano
S. Yoon
S. Yoon
T. Matsuda
T. Matsuda
M. Okugawa
M. Okugawa
Rafael Elias
🎯
Rafael Elias
H. Arai
H. Arai
R. Kojima
R. Kojima
W. Harada
W. Harada
T. Koga
T. Koga
D. Sugioka
D. Sugioka
T. Kubo
T. Kubo
Y. Konishi
Y. Konishi
N. Nakagawa
N. Nakagawa
H. Mitsumaru
H. Mitsumaru
Y. Koizumi
🎯
Y. Koizumi
H. Yamauchi
H. Yamauchi
Y. Kakita
🎯
Y. Kakita
Kyoto Sanga 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
G. Ota
G
22
H. Sugai
D
50
Y. Suzuki
D
34
Henrique Trevisan
↓ 66'
D
44
K. Sato
D
48
R. Nakano
↓ 46' 🟨 14'
M
25
S. Yoon
M
18
T. Matsuda
↓ 61'
M
7
M. Okugawa
↓ 83'
F
9
Rafael Elias
⚽ 67' 🎯 2'
F
77
H. Arai
⚽ 2' ↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
21
K. Kakoi
G
93
S. Nagasawa
F
10
S. Fukuoka
M
5
H. Appiah Tawiah
↑ 66'
D
6
Joao Pedro
↑ 46' 🟨 71'
M
16
T. Hiraoka
↑ 61'
M
3
S. Asada
D
99
F. Honda
🎯 67' ↑ 61'
M
17
Souza Alex
↑ 83'
F
Kashiwa Reysol 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
25
R. Kojima
G
42
W. Harada
D
4
T. Koga
D
26
D. Sugioka
⚽ 45'
D
24
T. Kubo
⚽ 90'
M
21
Y. Konishi
↓ 77'
M
39
N. Nakagawa
M
2
H. Mitsumaru
↓ 83'
M
8
Y. Koizumi
⚽ 1' 🎯 39' 🎯 45' ↓ 83'
F
87
H. Yamauchi
↓ 46' 🟨 29'
F
18
Y. Kakita
⚽ 39' 🎯 1' ↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
29
K. Nagai
G
40
R. Harakawa
↑ 77'
M
20
Y. Segawa
↑ 46'
M
28
S. Toshima
M
88
S. Baba
🎯 90' ↑ 83'
D
9
M. Hosoya
🎯 90' ↑ 61'
F
22
H. Noda
D
15
Y. Komi
⚽ 87' ⚽ 90' ↑ 83'
F
32
Y. Yamanouchi
D
Last matches: Kyoto Sanga
23.05.26
J1
Kyoto Sanga
V-varen Nagasaki
1
0
W
17.05.26
J1
Kyoto Sanga
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
4
L
13.05.26
J1
Kyoto Sanga
Vissel Kobe
0
1
L
10.05.26
J1
Kyoto Sanga
Nagoya Grampus
0
3
L
06.05.26
J1
Kyoto Sanga
Avispa Fukuoka
1
1
D
02.05.26
J1
Kyoto Sanga
Shimizu S-pulse
1
2
L
29.04.26
J1
Kyoto Sanga
Gamba Osaka
1
1
D
18.04.26
J1
Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo Osaka
0
3
L
11.04.26
J1
Kyoto Sanga
Fagiano Okayama
5
1
W
04.04.26
J1
Kyoto Sanga
Gamba Osaka
0
2
L
22.03.26
J1
Kyoto Sanga
Nagoya Grampus
1
1
D
18.03.26
J1
Kyoto Sanga
V-varen Nagasaki
2
1
W
14.03.26
J1
Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo Osaka
1
2
L
08.03.26
J1
Kyoto Sanga
Fagiano Okayama
0
1
L
27.02.26
J1
Kyoto Sanga
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
1
W
22.02.26
J1
Kyoto Sanga
Avispa Fukuoka
2
0
W
14.02.26
J1
Kyoto Sanga
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
06.02.26
J1
Kyoto Sanga
Vissel Kobe
1
1
D
20.01.26
Fri
Kyoto Sanga
Urawa
1
2
L
16.01.26
Fri
Kyoto Sanga
Okinawa SV
6
1
W
Last matches: Kashiwa Reysol
23.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
4
2
W
16.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
0
W
10.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kawasaki Frontale
1
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Urawa
0
1
L
03.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
29.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
FC Tokyo
1
3
L
24.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
0
1
L
19.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Mito Hollyhock
0
2
L
11.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Machida Zelvia
0
1
L
05.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
0
W
22.03.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Mito Hollyhock
3
0
W
18.03.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Urawa
1
1
D
14.03.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Machida Zelvia
0
1
L
07.03.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
1
2
L
28.02.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
FC Tokyo
2
0
W
21.02.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
0
2
L
15.02.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Tokyo Verdy
1
2
L
08.02.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kawasaki Frontale
3
5
L
31.01.26
Fri
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
H2H: Kyoto Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol
30.05.26
H2H
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
2
6
L
21.06.25
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
Kyoto Sanga
3
3
D
02.04.25
H2H
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
1
1
D
26.06.24
H2H
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
2
2
D
25.02.24
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
06.08.23
H2H
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
0
1
L
29.04.23
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
06.08.22
H2H
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
1
2
L
18.05.22
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
Kyoto Sanga
0
1
W
17.04.22
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
Kyoto Sanga
0
2
W
23.02.22
H2H
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
1
1
D
07.07.21
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
Kyoto Sanga
1
2
W
24.11.19
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
Kyoto Sanga
13
1
L
17.03.19
H2H
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
0
1
L
Last matches: Kyoto Sanga
23.05.26
J1
Kyoto Sanga
V-varen Nagasaki
1
0
W
17.05.26
J1
Kyoto Sanga
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
4
L
02.05.26
J1
Kyoto Sanga
Shimizu S-pulse
1
2
L
29.04.26
J1
Kyoto Sanga
Gamba Osaka
1
1
D
11.04.26
J1
Kyoto Sanga
Fagiano Okayama
5
1
W
22.03.26
J1
Kyoto Sanga
Nagoya Grampus
1
1
D
14.03.26
J1
Kyoto Sanga
Cerezo Osaka
1
2
L
22.02.26
J1
Kyoto Sanga
Avispa Fukuoka
2
0
W
06.02.26
J1
Kyoto Sanga
Vissel Kobe
1
1
D
H2H at home: Kyoto Sanga
30.05.26
H2H
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
2
6
L
02.04.25
H2H
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
1
1
D
26.06.24
H2H
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
2
2
D
06.08.23
H2H
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
0
1
L
06.08.22
H2H
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
1
2
L
23.02.22
H2H
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
1
1
D
17.03.19
H2H
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
0
1
L
Last matches: Kashiwa Reysol
16.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
0
W
03.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Tokyo Verdy
0
1
L
19.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Mito Hollyhock
0
2
L
11.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Machida Zelvia
0
1
L
18.03.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Urawa
1
1
D
07.03.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
1
2
L
28.02.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
FC Tokyo
2
0
W
21.02.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
0
2
L
08.02.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kawasaki Frontale
3
5
L
H2H away: Kashiwa Reysol
30.05.26
H2H
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
2
6
W
02.04.25
H2H
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
1
1
D
26.06.24
H2H
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
2
2
D
06.08.23
H2H
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
0
1
W
06.08.22
H2H
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
1
2
W
23.02.22
H2H
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
1
1
D
17.03.19
H2H
Kyoto Sanga
Kashiwa Reysol
0
1
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
W W W W W
1 18 11 0 7 29:25 4 35
W L W L W
2 18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
L W W L W
2 18 11 0 7 30:21 9 31
W W W L W
3 18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
W L W W W
3 18 10 0 8 33:31 2 31
L L W W W
4 18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
W W L W L
4 18 10 0 8 31:23 8 30
W W W L L
5 18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
L W L L L
5 18 10 0 8 31:25 6 28
W L L W L
6 18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
L L W W W
6 18 8 0 10 26:29 -3 26
L W W L W
7 18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
W L L L L
7 18 8 0 10 23:25 -2 24
L L W W W
8 18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
W W W L L
8 18 8 0 10 22:28 -6 23
W L L L L
9 18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
L L L L W
9 18 7 0 11 21:29 -8 21
L W L W L
10 18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
L L L W L
10 18 7 0 11 21:31 -10 21
L L W L W