NIGERIA NPFL
--.--.---- --:--
Kwara Sports Stadium
Kwara United
Match Timeline
Barau FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
T. Gidado
Kwara United
45'
O. Saheed
Kwara United
66'
J. Atule
Barau FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 62.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 53%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
62.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
53%
-
Probability Distribution
Kwara United Win 62.9%
Draw 0%
Barau FC Win 37.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kwara United0.83
Barau FC0.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kwara United Kwara United
WWDLW
29 GF / 29 GA
Barau FC Barau FC
WLDWL
27 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
0.85
Average Goals Scored
0.79
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
11
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kwara United Kwara United 34 matches
Barau FC Barau FC 34 matches
Kwara United Statistic Barau FC
11 Wins 11
10 Draws 13
13 Losses 10
29 Goals For 27
29 Goals Against 27
0.85 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
11 BTTS Yes 10
17 Over 1.5 18
8 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 3
13 Clean Sheets 14
16 Failed To Score 20
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Barau FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Barau FC having the stronger overall control.

Kwara United Analysis

Kwara United approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 40 points from 34 matches. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 26:29 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Aule (6 goals), J. Aimufua (4 goals), B. Bright (3 goals), with creative support from Y. Ibrahim (1 assists), P. Ozor (1 assists), V. Adeoye (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 10 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Barau FC Analysis

So far, Barau FC have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 46 points from 34 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 13 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 27:27 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Umar (5 goals), Y. Ibrahim (4 goals), S. Chukwudi Oganbor (3 goals), with creative support from I. Nura (2 assists), M. Umar (1 assists), Y. Ibrahim (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Kwara United won 1 times, Barau FC won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Kwara United's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Kwara United wins 1, draws 0, Barau FC wins 1

Lineups

Barau FC
Formation
Kwara United
C. Chiaha
C. Chiaha
A. Sugau
A. Sugau
B. Duah
B. Duah
I. Nura
I. Nura
O. K. Okagube
O. K. Okagube
E. Nwokorie
E. Nwokorie
E. Okoko
E. Okoko
S. Anthony
S. Anthony
J. Kemin
J. Kemin
M. Umar
M. Umar
I. Y. Sulaiman
I. Y. Sulaiman
S. Ayeleso
S. Ayeleso
Y. Ibrahim
Y. Ibrahim
A. Ogbonna
A. Ogbonna
O. Saheed
O. Saheed
M. Kabiru
M. Kabiru
G. Abutu
G. Abutu
A. Shola
A. Shola
A. Akanni
A. Akanni
T. Gidado
T. Gidado
B. Bright
B. Bright
J. Aimufua
J. Aimufua
Barau FC 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
C. Chiaha
22
A. Sugau
3
B. Duah
33
I. Nura
2
O. K. Okagube
4
E. Nwokorie
14
E. Okoko
11
S. Anthony
16
J. Kemin
12
M. Umar
34
I. Y. Sulaiman
Substitutes
24
E. Nwabulu
5
M. Tsehuan
13
S. Dapma
20
S. Tijjani
8
U. Maidubuji
25
H. Ekawu
19
H. Ezeonye
7
J. Atule
⚽ 66'
39
A. Hussain
Kwara United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
S. Ayeleso
25
Y. Ibrahim
34
A. Ogbonna
26
O. Saheed
⚽ 45'
12
M. Kabiru
6
G. Abutu
8
A. Shola
3
A. Akanni
20
T. Gidado
⚽ 15'
2
B. Bright
14
J. Aimufua
Substitutes
33
B. Nurudeen
A. Bankole
19
J. Hannafin
4
P. Ozor
27
M. Salisu
7
S. Mohammed
18
A. Gata
5
J. Gbadamosi
17
A. Abdulsalam
Last matches: Kwara United
24.05.26
NPF
Kwara United
Bayelsa United
0
4
L
10.05.26
NPF
Kwara United
Enyimba
2
0
W
03.05.26
NPF
Kwara United
Niger Tornadoes
2
2
D
12.04.26
NPF
Kwara United
Shooting Stars
0
0
D
05.04.26
NPF
Kwara United
El Kanemi Warriors
3
0
W
28.03.26
NPF
Kwara United
Nasarawa United
1
0
W
22.03.26
NPF
Kwara United
Remo Stars
1
3
L
15.03.26
NPF
Kwara United
Enugu Rangers
0
0
D
08.03.26
NPF
Kwara United
Katsina United
2
1
W
28.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Wikki Tourist
1
0
W
22.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Abia Warriors
0
1
L
18.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Rivers United
1
1
D
15.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Kano Pillars
1
1
D
08.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Plateau United
0
1
L
02.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Warri Wolves
2
1
W
29.01.26
NPF
Kwara United
Kun Khalifat FC
0
1
L
18.01.26
NPF
Kwara United
Ikorodu City
0
1
L
14.01.26
NPF
Kwara United
Bendel Insurance
0
1
L
27.12.25
NPF
Kwara United
Bendel Insurance
0
2
L
21.12.25
NPF
Kwara United
Bayelsa United
2
0
W
Last matches: Barau FC
24.05.26
NPF
Barau FC
Nasarawa United
3
0
W
10.05.26
NPF
Barau FC
Shooting Stars
0
1
L
03.05.26
NPF
Barau FC
El Kanemi Warriors
3
0
W
12.04.26
NPF
Barau FC
Remo Stars
2
1
W
05.04.26
NPF
Barau FC
Enugu Rangers
0
0
D
29.03.26
NPF
Barau FC
Katsina United
0
0
D
21.03.26
NPF
Barau FC
Wikki Tourist
0
0
D
15.03.26
NPF
Barau FC
Abia Warriors
2
0
W
08.03.26
NPF
Barau FC
Kano Pillars
0
1
L
02.03.26
NPF
Barau FC
Plateau United
2
1
W
25.02.26
NPF
Barau FC
Rivers United
0
1
L
21.02.26
NPF
Barau FC
Warri Wolves
0
0
D
14.02.26
NPF
Barau FC
Kun Khalifat FC
1
0
W
02.02.26
NPF
Barau FC
Ikorodu City
1
0
W
29.01.26
NPF
Barau FC
Bendel Insurance
0
0
D
25.01.26
NPF
Barau FC
Bayelsa United
1
1
D
18.01.26
NPF
Barau FC
Enyimba
0
0
D
14.01.26
NPF
Barau FC
Niger Tornadoes
2
1
W
28.12.25
NPF
Barau FC
Niger Tornadoes
0
2
L
23.12.25
NPF
Barau FC
Nasarawa United
0
0
D
H2H: Kwara United vs Barau FC
19.04.26
H2H
Kwara United
Barau FC
2
1
W
30.11.25
H2H
Barau FC
Kwara United
3
2
L
Last matches: Kwara United
10.05.26
NPF
Kwara United
Enyimba
2
0
W
05.04.26
NPF
Kwara United
El Kanemi Warriors
3
0
W
28.03.26
NPF
Kwara United
Nasarawa United
1
0
W
15.03.26
NPF
Kwara United
Enugu Rangers
0
0
D
28.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Wikki Tourist
1
0
W
18.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Rivers United
1
1
D
15.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Kano Pillars
1
1
D
02.02.26
NPF
Kwara United
Warri Wolves
2
1
W
14.01.26
NPF
Kwara United
Bendel Insurance
0
1
L
21.12.25
NPF
Kwara United
Bayelsa United
2
0
W
07.12.25
NPF
Kwara United
Niger Tornadoes
2
0
W
23.11.25
NPF
Kwara United
Shooting Stars
0
0
D
01.11.25
NPF
Kwara United
Remo Stars
3
1
W
19.10.25
NPF
Kwara United
Katsina United
1
0
W
05.10.25
NPF
Kwara United
Abia Warriors
0
1
L
02.10.25
NPF
Kwara United
Plateau United
2
1
W
07.09.25
NPF
Kwara United
Kun Khalifat FC
2
0
W
24.08.25
NPF
Kwara United
Ikorodu City
0
0
D
H2H at home: Kwara United
19.04.26
H2H
Kwara United
Barau FC
2
1
W
Last matches: Barau FC
10.05.26
NPF
Barau FC
Shooting Stars
0
1
L
05.04.26
NPF
Barau FC
Enugu Rangers
0
0
D
21.03.26
NPF
Barau FC
Wikki Tourist
0
0
D
08.03.26
NPF
Barau FC
Kano Pillars
0
1
L
25.02.26
NPF
Barau FC
Rivers United
0
1
L
21.02.26
NPF
Barau FC
Warri Wolves
0
0
D
29.01.26
NPF
Barau FC
Bendel Insurance
0
0
D
18.01.26
NPF
Barau FC
Enyimba
0
0
D
28.12.25
NPF
Barau FC
Niger Tornadoes
0
2
L
23.12.25
NPF
Barau FC
Nasarawa United
0
0
D
07.12.25
NPF
Barau FC
El Kanemi Warriors
0
0
D
23.11.25
NPF
Barau FC
Remo Stars
0
2
L
08.11.25
NPF
Barau FC
Katsina United
1
1
D
26.10.25
NPF
Barau FC
Abia Warriors
0
2
L
12.10.25
NPF
Barau FC
Plateau United
0
2
L
28.09.25
NPF
Barau FC
Kun Khalifat FC
3
1
W
14.09.25
NPF
Barau FC
Ikorodu City
0
2
L
31.08.25
NPF
Barau FC
Bayelsa United
0
2
L
H2H away: Barau FC
19.04.26
H2H
Kwara United
Barau FC
2
1
L