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18.10.2026 12:00
FT
2 - 0
Savon Sanomat Areena
Referee: Antti Munukka
KuPS
Match Timeline
VPS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
Arttu Lötjönen
KuPS
⚽
11'
Jaime Moreno
KuPS
🟨
24'
Casper Holmelund
VPS
⚽
34'
Bob Nii Armah · Assist: Jaime Moreno
KuPS
🔄
45'
Xavier Odhiambo ↔ Wilson Samake
VPS
🔄
45'
Casper Holmelund ↔ Henri Salomaa
VPS
🟨
49'
Jayden Turfkruier
VPS
🔄
66'
Petteri Pennanen ↔ Saikou Touray
KuPS
🔄
66'
Antti-Ville Raisanen ↔ Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi
VPS
🔄
66'
Samuel Pasanen ↔ Gustav Engvall
KuPS
🔄
66'
Joonas Vahtera ↔ Simon Lindholm
VPS
🔄
72'
Bob Nii Armah ↔ Julius Eskesen
KuPS
🔄
72'
Jaime Moreno ↔ Piotr Parzyszek
KuPS
🟨
77'
Valentin Gasc
KuPS
🔄
83'
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan ↔ Dren terrnava
VPS
🔄
84'
Saku Savolainen ↔ Akseli Puukko
KuPS
🟨
88'
Dren terrnava
VPS

KuPS vs VPS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 68.1%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 71.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
68.1%
- ▥
BTTS No
71.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
KuPS Win 44.3%
Draw 23.8%
VPS Win 31.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
KuPS1.29
VPS1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
KuPS KuPS
L L L W D
4 GF / 6 GA
VPS VPS
W L L L W
2 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
20
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
12
2.67
Shots on Goal
1.52

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KuPS KuPS 39 matches
VPS VPS 31 matches
KuPS Statistic VPS
17 Wins 12
12 Draws 7
10 Losses 12
54 Goals For 35
40 Goals Against 36
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16
20 BTTS Yes 15
28 Over 1.5 18
13 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 7
13 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 10
2.67 Shots On Goal 1.52
6.75 Total Shots 4.7
3.31 Corners 2.11
32.7% Ball Possession 27.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward VPS. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with KuPS expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and VPS in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward VPS having the stronger overall control. VPS arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

KuPS Analysis

KuPS come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 43 points from 22 matches. The record of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 38:23 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Luyeye-Lutumba (3 goals), G. Engvall (1 goals), T. Jyry (1 goals), with creative support from P. Pennanen (2 assists), J. Luyeye-Lutumba (1 assists), G. Engvall (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

VPS Analysis

With 33 points from 22 games and a place of 6, VPS still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 29:22, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through L. Smyth (3 goals), K. Kouassivi-Benissan (1 goals), Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi (1 goals), with creative support from K. Kouassivi-Benissan (1 assists), J. Turfkruier (1 assists), J. Muzinga (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, KuPS won 3 times, VPS won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:3 from KuPS's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.2%)
Predicted formations: KuPS 4-2-3-1 / VPS 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: KuPS wins 3, draws 2, VPS wins 0

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
KuPS Home
22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
D W L L W
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W L W D W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
D W W W D
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
L L L D D
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
W W L W L
6
VPS Away
22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L L W L L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
W L D L W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L L L D
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
W D W W W
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
L W W D D
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
W D D W D
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
D D L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs