Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
67%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 9.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
KuPS
VPS
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
KuPS
22 matches
VPS
20 matches
| KuPS | Statistic | VPS |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 8 |
| 7 | Draws | 7 |
| 3 | Losses | 5 |
| 36 | Goals For | 27 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.35 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.9 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 2.67 | Shots On Goal | 1.87 |
| 6.5 | Total Shots | 4.2 |
| 2.56 | Corners | 1.87 |
| 26.5% | Ball Possession | 27.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward VPS. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with KuPS expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and VPS in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward VPS having the stronger overall control. VPS look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Operating from 1 place with 30 points from 15 games, KuPS bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 27:15, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Luyeye-Lutumba (1 goals), with creative support from C. Antwi (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
VPS come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 27 points after 15 matches. With 7 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 22:11, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by L. Smyth (3 goals), with creative support from J. Muzinga (1 assists), K. Kouassivi-Benissan (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, KuPS won 8 times, VPS won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:13 from KuPS's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
KuPS
Gnistan
KuPS
Sabah FA
KuPS
Sabah FA
KuPS
SJK
KuPS
Vardar Skopje
KuPS
Vardar Skopje
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
Ilves
KuPS
Turku PS
KuPS
VPS
KuPS
Inter Turku
KuPS
Lahti
KuPS
FF Jaro
KuPS
Mariehamn
KuPS
SJK
KuPS
AC Oulu
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
AC Oulu
KuPS
FF Jaro
KuPS
Gnistan
VPS
Inter Turku
VPS
HJK Helsinki
VPS
SJK
VPS
Mariehamn
VPS
Gnistan
VPS
AC Oulu
VPS
SJK
VPS
KuPS
VPS
Turku PS
VPS
HJK Helsinki
VPS
Lahti
VPS
Gnistan
VPS
Mariehamn
VPS
Ilves
VPS
AC Oulu
VPS
FF Jaro
VPS
Inter Turku
VPS
Haka
VPS
GIF Sundsvall
VPS
Turku PS
KuPS
Sabah FA
KuPS
Vardar Skopje
KuPS
Ilves
KuPS
Inter Turku
KuPS
Lahti
KuPS
FF Jaro
KuPS
SJK
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
AC Oulu
KuPS
Gnistan
KuPS
JIPPO
KuPS
Mariehamn
KuPS
Lech Poznan
KuPS
Lausanne
KuPS
Slovan Bratislava
KuPS
Drita
KuPS
FC Midtjylland
KuPS
Rīgas FS
KuPS
Kairat Almaty
KuPS
Milsami Orhei
VPS
HJK Helsinki
VPS
Gnistan
VPS
SJK
VPS
Turku PS
VPS
Lahti
VPS
Mariehamn
VPS
AC Oulu
VPS
Inter Turku
VPS
Turku PS
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
KuPS
Home
|
18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 33:16 | 17 | 39 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 25:14 | 11 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 22:21 | 1 | 30 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 28:23 | 5 | 28 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 28 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 |
VPS
Away
|
18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:17 | 7 | 27 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:16 | 6 | 25 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 29:31 | -2 | 22 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 22:27 | -5 | 17 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17:35 | -18 | 15 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 9:39 | -30 | 5 |
L
D
L
L
L
|