Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
86.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
41.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 10.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
KuPS
Mariehamn
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
KuPS
30 matches
Mariehamn
24 matches
| KuPS | Statistic | Mariehamn |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 2 |
| 10 | Draws | 7 |
| 5 | Losses | 15 |
| 46 | Goals For | 16 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 47 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 0.93 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.96 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 2.11 | Shots On Goal | 1.4 |
| 4.85 | Total Shots | 4.3 |
| 2.07 | Corners | 2.2 |
| 22.9% | Ball Possession | 24.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around KuPS's more proactive style and Mariehamn's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. KuPS come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. KuPS arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 40 points compared to Mariehamn in 12 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Mariehamn.
KuPS come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 40 points after 19 matches. They have recorded 11 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses, with a 34:17 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on J. Luyeye-Lutumba (2 goals), G. Engvall (1 goals), with creative support from J. Luyeye-Lutumba (1 assists), G. Engvall (1 assists), C. Antwi (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Mariehamn approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 8 points from 20 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 14 defeats with a 11:41 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Huttunen (1 goals), S. Dahlström (1 goals), A. Larsson (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Amankwah (1 assists), A. Stroud (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, KuPS won 9 times, Mariehamn won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:9 from KuPS's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
KuPS
Shamrock Rovers
KuPS
Lahti
KuPS
Universitatea Craiova
KuPS
Turku PS
KuPS
Universitatea Craiova
KuPS
Gnistan
KuPS
Sabah FA
KuPS
VPS
KuPS
Sabah FA
KuPS
SJK
KuPS
Vardar Skopje
KuPS
Vardar Skopje
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
Ilves
KuPS
Turku PS
KuPS
VPS
KuPS
Inter Turku
KuPS
Lahti
KuPS
FF Jaro
KuPS
Mariehamn
Mariehamn
SJK
Mariehamn
Ilves
Mariehamn
Turku PS
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
Lahti
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Mariehamn
VPS
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
KuPS
Mariehamn
Lahti
Mariehamn
VPS
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
Ilves
Mariehamn
SJK
Mariehamn
Turku PS
KuPS
Turku PS
KuPS
Universitatea Craiova
KuPS
Sabah FA
KuPS
VPS
KuPS
Vardar Skopje
KuPS
Ilves
KuPS
Inter Turku
KuPS
Lahti
KuPS
FF Jaro
KuPS
SJK
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
AC Oulu
KuPS
Gnistan
KuPS
JIPPO
KuPS
Mariehamn
KuPS
Lech Poznan
KuPS
Lausanne
KuPS
Slovan Bratislava
KuPS
Drita
KuPS
FC Midtjylland
Mariehamn
Ilves
Mariehamn
Turku PS
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Mariehamn
VPS
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
Lahti
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
SJK
Mariehamn
Sandviken
Mariehamn
KuPS
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
KuPS
Home
|
20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 36:18 | 18 | 43 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 28:16 | 12 | 38 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 32:23 | 9 | 34 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 32 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 28:21 | 7 | 30 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 24:25 | -1 | 30 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:34 | -1 | 25 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 18 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18:41 | -23 | 15 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 |
Mariehamn
Away
|
20 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 11:41 | -30 | 8 |
W
L
L
D
L
|