FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Vare Areena
Referee: Dennis Antamo, Finland
KuPS
Match Timeline
Inter Turku
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
J. Luyeye-Lutumba ↔ J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
KuPS
54'
A. Conteh · Assist: C. Jephta
Inter Turku
🟨
57'
Antoin Loic Essomba
Inter Turku
🔄
57'
L. Essomba ↔ V. Ulundu
Inter Turku
🔄
59'
T. Hamalainen ↔ S. Savolainen
KuPS
61'
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari · Assist: S. Savolainen
KuPS
🟨
66'
Bob Nii Armah
KuPS
🟨
68'
Valentín Gasc
KuPS
🔄
74'
G. Engvall ↔ S. Heiskanen
KuPS
🔄
74'
J. Yli-Kokko ↔ J. Laine
Inter Turku
🟨
76'
Clinton Jephta
Inter Turku
🔄
85'
A. Lotjonen ↔ K. Adams
KuPS
🔄
86'
A. Granlund ↔ S. Saarinen
Inter Turku
🔄
86'
A. Conteh ↔ J. Botue
Inter Turku
🔄
86'
J. Tuominen ↔ I. Jarvinen
Inter Turku
🟨
90+2'
Juuso Hämäläinen
Inter Turku

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
KuPS Win 40.8%
Draw 12%
Inter Turku Win 47.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
KuPS1.17
Inter Turku1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
KuPS KuPS
WWDLW
18 GF / 9 GA
Inter Turku Inter Turku
WLDWL
19 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.36
0.69
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
6
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
6
3.7
Shots on Goal
2.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KuPS KuPS 13 matches
Inter Turku Inter Turku 14 matches
KuPS Statistic Inter Turku
7 Wins 9
5 Draws 2
1 Losses 3
18 Goals For 19
9 Goals Against 12
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
0.69 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
6 BTTS Yes 6
9 Over 1.5 10
4 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 4
3.7 Shots On Goal 2.4
8.1 Total Shots 6.7
3.1 Corners 3.7
31.2% Ball Possession 34.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with KuPS expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Inter Turku in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Inter Turku having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Inter Turku.

KuPS Analysis

Placed 2 with 16 points from 9 outings, KuPS continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, while the 13:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on B. Armah (4 goals), J. J. Moreno Ciorciari (4 goals), O. Ruoppi (2 goals), with creative support from O. Ruoppi (3 assists), J. J. Moreno Ciorciari (1 assists), J. Luyeye-Lutumba (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Inter Turku Analysis

Inter Turku approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 20 points after 9 outings. They have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 14:6 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on A. Conteh (3 goals), C. Jephta (2 goals), Johannes Yli-Kokko (2 goals), with creative support from Johannes Yli-Kokko (2 assists), C. Jephta (1 assists), J. Niska (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, KuPS won 8 times, Inter Turku won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:15 from KuPS's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88%)
Predicted formations: KuPS 4-2-3-1 / Inter Turku 4-3-3
H2H summary: KuPS wins 8, draws 5, Inter Turku wins 2

Lineups

KuPS
Formation
Inter Turku
J. Kreidl
J. Kreidl
T. Hamalainen
T. Hamalainen
B. Magassa
B. Magassa
A. Lotjonen
A. Lotjonen
C. Antwi
C. Antwi
V. R. Gasc
V. R. Gasc
P. Pennanen
P. Pennanen
J. Luyeye-Lutumba
J. Luyeye-Lutumba
O. Ruoppi
O. Ruoppi
B. Armah
B. Armah
G. Engvall
G. Engvall
E. Huuhtanen
E. Huuhtanen
A. Granlund
A. Granlund
J. Hamalainen
J. Hamalainen
I. Kangasniemi
I. Kangasniemi
J. Niska
J. Niska
C. Jephta
🎯
C. Jephta
J. Yli-Kokko
J. Yli-Kokko
P. Ahiabu
P. Ahiabu
A. Conteh
A. Conteh
L. Essomba
L. Essomba
J. Tuominen
J. Tuominen
KuPS 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Kreidl
G
33
T. Hamalainen
↓ 59'
D
28
B. Magassa
D
23
A. Lotjonen
↓ 85'
D
25
C. Antwi
D
10
V. R. Gasc
🟨 68'
M
8
P. Pennanen
M
21
J. Luyeye-Lutumba
↓ 46'
F
34
O. Ruoppi
M
24
B. Armah
🟨 66'
D
9
G. Engvall
↓ 74'
F
Substitutes
12
H. Riihimaki
G
6
S. Savolainen
🎯 61' ↑ 59'
D
11
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
⚽ 61' ↑ 46'
F
29
A. Puukko
18
E. Tanninen
M
4
K. Adams
↑ 85'
D
3
S. Heiskanen
↑ 74'
M
13
N. Kujasalo
M
2
K. Ward
D
Inter Turku 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
E. Huuhtanen
G
5
A. Granlund
↓ 86'
D
3
J. Hamalainen
🟨 90+2'
D
21
I. Kangasniemi
2
J. Niska
D
16
C. Jephta
🎯 54'
8
J. Yli-Kokko
↓ 74'
M
4
P. Ahiabu
M
10
A. Conteh
⚽ 54' ↓ 86'
23
L. Essomba
↓ 57'
9
J. Tuominen
↓ 86'
F
Substitutes
12
E. Vuorjoki
G
18
S. Saarinen
↑ 86'
D
14
J. Laine
↑ 74'
M
11
J. Botue
↑ 86'
F
26
V. Huovila
M
19
I. Jarvinen
↑ 86'
M
24
J. Tauriainen
D
22
L. Kuittinen
D
27
V. Ulundu
↑ 57'
M
Last matches: KuPS
09.08.26
Vei
KuPS
Turku PS
1
1
D
06.08.26
UEF
KuPS
Universitatea Craiova
1
1
D
01.08.26
Vei
KuPS
Gnistan
1
0
W
28.07.26
UEF
KuPS
Sabah FA
0
2
L
25.07.26
Vei
KuPS
VPS
3
1
W
21.07.26
UEF
KuPS
Sabah FA
0
1
L
18.07.26
Vei
KuPS
SJK
2
0
W
14.07.26
UEF
KuPS
Vardar Skopje
2
3
L
07.07.26
UEF
KuPS
Vardar Skopje
2
0
W
27.06.26
Vei
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
4
0
W
23.06.26
Vei
KuPS
Ilves
4
3
W
17.06.26
Vei
KuPS
Turku PS
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vei
KuPS
VPS
1
1
D
23.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Lahti
2
1
W
20.05.26
Vei
KuPS
FF Jaro
3
0
W
16.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Mariehamn
1
1
D
08.05.26
Vei
KuPS
SJK
0
0
D
02.05.26
Vei
KuPS
AC Oulu
0
2
L
26.04.26
Vei
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
22.04.26
Vei
KuPS
AC Oulu
3
2
W
Last matches: Inter Turku
09.08.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Lahti
0
0
D
06.08.26
UEF
Inter Turku
FC Vaduz
2
1
W
02.08.26
Vei
Inter Turku
VPS
1
0
W
30.07.26
UEF
Inter Turku
Başakşehir
2
0
W
26.07.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Gnistan
1
2
L
22.07.26
UEF
Inter Turku
Başakşehir
1
1
D
19.07.26
Vei
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
0
0
D
16.07.26
UEF
Inter Turku
FK Sarajevo
2
1
W
09.07.26
UEF
Inter Turku
FK Sarajevo
1
1
D
27.06.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
2
0
W
23.06.26
Vei
Inter Turku
SJK
1
1
D
17.06.26
Vei
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
3
3
D
13.06.26
Vei
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
0
0
D
23.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Turku PS
2
1
W
20.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Ilves
3
1
W
16.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
SJK
3
1
W
09.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
2
0
W
05.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Gnistan
0
2
L
29.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
25.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
1
0
W
H2H: KuPS vs Inter Turku
30.05.26
H2H
KuPS
Inter Turku
1
1
D
02.11.25
H2H
KuPS
Inter Turku
3
2
W
05.10.25
H2H
Inter Turku
KuPS
0
3
W
17.08.25
H2H
KuPS
Inter Turku
2
1
W
05.04.25
H2H
Inter Turku
KuPS
1
1
D
21.09.24
H2H
Inter Turku
KuPS
1
2
W
01.09.24
H2H
KuPS
Inter Turku
1
2
L
19.04.24
H2H
Inter Turku
KuPS
1
1
D
30.03.24
H2H
Inter Turku
KuPS
2
2
D
23.09.23
H2H
Inter Turku
KuPS
0
1
W
17.07.23
H2H
Inter Turku
KuPS
1
1
D
05.04.23
H2H
KuPS
Inter Turku
1
2
L
09.10.22
H2H
KuPS
Inter Turku
2
0
W
17.09.22
H2H
KuPS
Inter Turku
1
0
W
27.08.22
H2H
Inter Turku
KuPS
1
2
W
Last matches: KuPS
09.08.26
Vei
KuPS
Turku PS
1
1
D
06.08.26
UEF
KuPS
Universitatea Craiova
1
1
D
28.07.26
UEF
KuPS
Sabah FA
0
2
L
25.07.26
Vei
KuPS
VPS
3
1
W
14.07.26
UEF
KuPS
Vardar Skopje
2
3
L
23.06.26
Vei
KuPS
Ilves
4
3
W
23.05.26
Vei
KuPS
Lahti
2
1
W
20.05.26
Vei
KuPS
FF Jaro
3
0
W
08.05.26
Vei
KuPS
SJK
0
0
D
26.04.26
Vei
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
22.04.26
Vei
KuPS
AC Oulu
3
2
W
11.04.26
Vei
KuPS
Gnistan
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
KuPS
JIPPO
1
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
KuPS
Mariehamn
2
0
W
19.02.26
UEF
KuPS
Lech Poznan
0
2
L
11.12.25
UEF
KuPS
Lausanne
0
0
D
06.11.25
UEF
KuPS
Slovan Bratislava
3
1
W
02.10.25
UEF
KuPS
Drita
1
1
D
28.08.25
UEF
KuPS
FC Midtjylland
0
2
L
14.08.25
UEF
KuPS
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
H2H at home: KuPS
30.05.26
H2H
KuPS
Inter Turku
1
1
D
02.11.25
H2H
KuPS
Inter Turku
3
2
W
17.08.25
H2H
KuPS
Inter Turku
2
1
W
01.09.24
H2H
KuPS
Inter Turku
1
2
L
05.04.23
H2H
KuPS
Inter Turku
1
2
L
09.10.22
H2H
KuPS
Inter Turku
2
0
W
17.09.22
H2H
KuPS
Inter Turku
1
0
W
Last matches: Inter Turku
02.08.26
Vei
Inter Turku
VPS
1
0
W
22.07.26
UEF
Inter Turku
Başakşehir
1
1
D
19.07.26
Vei
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
0
0
D
09.07.26
UEF
Inter Turku
FK Sarajevo
1
1
D
27.06.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
2
0
W
17.06.26
Vei
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
3
3
D
20.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Ilves
3
1
W
16.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
SJK
3
1
W
05.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Gnistan
0
2
L
18.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Lahti
2
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Inter Turku
Sirius
1
0
W
08.03.26
Fri
Inter Turku
ODD Ballklubb
0
1
L
H2H away: Inter Turku
30.05.26
H2H
KuPS
Inter Turku
1
1
D
02.11.25
H2H
KuPS
Inter Turku
3
2
L
17.08.25
H2H
KuPS
Inter Turku
2
1
L
01.09.24
H2H
KuPS
Inter Turku
1
2
W
05.04.23
H2H
KuPS
Inter Turku
1
2
W
09.10.22
H2H
KuPS
Inter Turku
2
0
L
17.09.22
H2H
KuPS
Inter Turku
1
0
L

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
KuPS Home
19 11 7 1 34:17 17 40
D W W W W
2 19 9 8 2 25:14 11 35
D W L D W
3 19 9 4 6 29:23 6 31
W L W W L
4 19 8 6 5 27:18 9 30
W L L L W
5 19 9 3 7 22:22 0 30
L W D L L
6 19 8 5 6 29:24 5 29
D L W W W
7 19 7 5 7 22:16 6 26
D W L W W
8 19 7 5 7 24:21 3 26
D W L L W
9 19 7 4 8 31:31 0 25
W L W W L
10 19 4 6 9 24:29 -5 18
D W L L L
11 19 3 6 10 18:38 -20 15
L L W D W
12 19 0 5 14 9:41 -32 5
L L D L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)