FINLAND › VEIKKAUSLIIGA
08.10.2026 16:00
Vare Areena

KuPS vs AC Oulu Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.1%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 76.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.1%
- ▥
BTTS No
76.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
80.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
KuPS Win 56.1%
Draw 21.5%
AC Oulu Win 22.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
KuPS1.34
AC Oulu1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
KuPS KuPS
WWDLW
52 GF / 34 GA
AC Oulu AC Oulu
WLDWL
30 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.11
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
19
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
10
2.09
Shots on Goal
1.96

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KuPS KuPS 36 matches
AC Oulu AC Oulu 27 matches
KuPS Statistic AC Oulu
17 Wins 11
12 Draws 5
7 Losses 11
52 Goals For 30
34 Goals Against 32
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
19 BTTS Yes 12
27 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 5
13 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 8
2.09 Shots On Goal 1.96
5.12 Total Shots 5.36
2.27 Corners 2
25.1% Ball Possession 21.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features KuPS's more proactive style and AC Oulu's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward AC Oulu. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. AC Oulu arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

KuPS Analysis

Placed 1 with 43 points from 22 outings, KuPS continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, while the 38:23 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Luyeye-Lutumba (3 goals), G. Engvall (1 goals), T. Jyry (1 goals), with creative support from P. Pennanen (2 assists), J. Luyeye-Lutumba (1 assists), G. Engvall (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

AC Oulu Analysis

With 34 points from 22 games and a place of 5, AC Oulu still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 25:25 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Kallio (1 goals), J. Paananen (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.5%)
Predicted formations: KuPS 4-2-3-1 / AC Oulu 4-2-3-1

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
KuPS Home
22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
W D D L L
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W W L W D
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
D D W W L
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D W D D W
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
L L L D W
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L L W L W
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
D L W W W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L D D D
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
W W W L L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
W D D D L
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
D D L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
L W L W W
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs