FINLAND YKKöNEN
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Vare Areena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 72.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
72.1%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
KuPS Akatemia Win 24.7%
Draw 3.2%
Tampere United Win 72.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
KuPS Akatemia1.12
Tampere United2.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia
WWDLW
16 GF / 26 GA
Tampere United Tampere United
WLDWL
31 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.94
2.17
Average Goals Conceded
0.81
6
BTTS Yes
2
9
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia 12 matches
Tampere United Tampere United 16 matches
KuPS Akatemia Statistic Tampere United
2 Wins 10
1 Draws 2
9 Losses 4
16 Goals For 31
26 Goals Against 13
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
2.17 Avg Goals Conceded 0.81
6 BTTS Yes 2
9 Over 1.5 11
9 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 11
5 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Tampere United's more proactive style and KuPS Akatemia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Tampere United carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 28 points while KuPS Akatemia sit 10 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Tampere United. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tampere United having the stronger overall control. Tampere United look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

KuPS Akatemia Analysis

With 7 points from 11 games and a place of 10, KuPS Akatemia still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 16:25, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tampere United Analysis

Tampere United approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 28 points after 12 outings. The return of 9 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 25:6, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, KuPS Akatemia won 3 times, Tampere United won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:5 from KuPS Akatemia's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.8%)
H2H summary: KuPS Akatemia wins 3, draws 0, Tampere United wins 1
Last matches: KuPS Akatemia
12.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
SalPa
3
4
L
05.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
KPV-j
4
1
W
29.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
0
3
L
24.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Rops
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Inter Turku II
2
4
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
FC jazz
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
VJS
0
0
D
24.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
TPV
3
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
0
4
L
10.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
OLS
2
4
L
10.01.26
Fri
KuPS Akatemia
JIPPO
0
1
L
Last matches: Tampere United
25.06.26
Ykk
Tampere United
FC jazz
1
0
W
11.06.26
Ykk
Tampere United
OLS
3
0
W
06.06.26
Ykk
Tampere United
Rops
1
0
W
29.05.26
Ykk
Tampere United
TPV
3
0
W
22.05.26
Ykk
Tampere United
JJK
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ykk
Tampere United
KPV-j
6
0
W
09.05.26
Ykk
Tampere United
PKKU
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ykk
Tampere United
Inter Turku II
2
0
W
24.04.26
Ykk
Tampere United
VJS
0
4
L
18.04.26
Ykk
Tampere United
KuPS Akatemia
4
0
W
11.04.26
Ykk
Tampere United
SalPa
0
2
L
02.04.26
Ykk
Tampere United
FC jazz
4
0
W
22.02.26
Fri
Tampere United
TPV
2
4
L
08.02.26
Fri
Tampere United
Haka
0
2
L
25.01.26
Fri
Tampere United
FC jazz
4
1
W
18.01.26
Fri
Tampere United
Inter Turku II
0
0
D
H2H: KuPS Akatemia vs Tampere United
18.04.26
H2H
Tampere United
KuPS Akatemia
4
0
L
28.09.25
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
2
0
W
15.08.25
H2H
Tampere United
KuPS Akatemia
1
2
W
08.06.25
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
5
0
W
Last matches: KuPS Akatemia
05.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
KPV-j
4
1
W
24.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Rops
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
FC jazz
1
2
L
24.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
TPV
3
0
W
10.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
OLS
2
4
L
H2H at home: KuPS Akatemia
28.09.25
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
2
0
W
08.06.25
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
5
0
W
Last matches: Tampere United
25.06.26
Ykk
Tampere United
FC jazz
1
0
W
06.06.26
Ykk
Tampere United
Rops
1
0
W
29.05.26
Ykk
Tampere United
TPV
3
0
W
16.05.26
Ykk
Tampere United
KPV-j
6
0
W
02.05.26
Ykk
Tampere United
Inter Turku II
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ykk
Tampere United
SalPa
0
2
L
H2H away: Tampere United
28.09.25
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
2
0
L
08.06.25
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
5
0
L

Standings

Ykkonen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 9 1 2 25:6 19 28
W W W W W
2 13 7 3 3 35:21 14 24
W W L D W
3 12 6 4 2 24:12 12 22
D W L D W
4 12 6 3 3 23:13 10 21
L W D L L
5 12 5 4 3 26:22 4 19
D W L W W
6 10 4 3 3 18:12 6 15
D W W L D
7 12 5 2 5 14:19 -5 14
L D D L W
8 10 3 4 3 17:12 5 13
L D D W W
9 12 3 3 6 22:36 -14 12
L D D L W
10 11 2 1 8 16:25 -9 7
L W L L L
11 11 1 4 6 11:21 -10 7
D D L L D
12 11 1 2 8 9:41 -32 5
L L W L L
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Ykkonen (Relegation Group)