FINLAND YKKöNEN
--.--.---- --:--
Vare Areena
KuPS Akatemia
Match Timeline
KPV-j
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
V. Valipakka
KPV-j
43'
D. Huttunen
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
46'
A. Arope ↔ J. Moilanen
KPV-j
55'
P. Hautakangas
KuPS Akatemia
🟨
62'
P. Hautakangas
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
64'
M. Aberg ↔ J. Maenpaa
KPV-j
🔄
64'
O. Lansipaa ↔ J. Hirvinen
KPV-j
🔄
70'
O. Moilanen ↔ V. Akerblom
KPV-j
🔄
75'
K. Prince Ume ↔ V. Mutlu
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
75'
L. Paasisalo ↔ A. Leivonen
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
75'
N. Santalo ↔ P. Kytolaakso
KPV-j
🔄
83'
D. Huttunen ↔ S. Kantelinen
KuPS Akatemia
🟨
88'
J. Hirvinen
KPV-j
🟥
90+1'
J. Adarkwa
KPV-j
90'
J. Kivijarvi
KuPS Akatemia
90'
N. Mattila
KuPS Akatemia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 51.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55%
-
BTTS BTTS No
51.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 3-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
KuPS Akatemia Win 55%
Draw 31.3%
KPV-j Win 13.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
KuPS Akatemia2.05
KPV-j1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia
WWDLW
9 GF / 21 GA
KPV-j KPV-j
WLDWL
6 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
0.67
2.1
Average Goals Conceded
3.78
4
BTTS Yes
2
7
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia 10 matches
KPV-j KPV-j 9 matches
KuPS Akatemia Statistic KPV-j
1 Wins 1
1 Draws 2
8 Losses 6
9 Goals For 6
21 Goals Against 34
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
2.1 Avg Goals Conceded 3.78
4 BTTS Yes 2
7 Over 1.5 8
7 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward KPV-j. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KPV-j having the stronger overall control.

KuPS Akatemia Analysis

From their first 9 matches, KuPS Akatemia have collected 4 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, while the 9:20 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on K. Prince Ume (2 goals), A. Leivonen (1 goals), J. Kivijarvi (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

KPV-j Analysis

KPV-j are currently 11 in the standings with 5 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 6:34 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by A. Arope (3 goals), V. Valipakka (2 goals), W. Wegye (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, KuPS Akatemia won 3 times, KPV-j won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:6 from KuPS Akatemia's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (86.4%)
H2H summary: KuPS Akatemia wins 3, draws 0, KPV-j wins 3

Lineups

KuPS Akatemia
Formation
KPV-j
K. Silen
K. Silen
O. Balde
O. Balde
L. Paasisalo
L. Paasisalo
J. Kivijarvi
J. Kivijarvi
D. Huttunen
D. Huttunen
P. Tuomainen
P. Tuomainen
P. Hautakangas
P. Hautakangas
K. Prince Ume
K. Prince Ume
N. Oksanen
N. Oksanen
N. Mattila
N. Mattila
A. Baseme
A. Baseme
F. Enqvist
F. Enqvist
D. Madut
D. Madut
E. Vesala
E. Vesala
M. Aberg
M. Aberg
V. Valipakka
V. Valipakka
J. Adarkwa
J. Adarkwa
N. Santalo
N. Santalo
O. Moilanen
O. Moilanen
O. Santalo
O. Santalo
A. Arope
A. Arope
O. Lansipaa
O. Lansipaa
KuPS Akatemia 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
K. Silen
6
O. Balde
7
L. Paasisalo
↓ 75'
8
J. Kivijarvi
⚽ 90'
9
D. Huttunen
⚽ 43' ↓ 83'
13
P. Tuomainen
14
P. Hautakangas
⚽ 55' 🟨 62'
19
K. Prince Ume
↓ 75'
21
N. Oksanen
23
N. Mattila
⚽ 90'
26
A. Baseme
Substitutes
12
J. Aimola
10
V. Mutlu
↑ 75'
11
H. Nguyen
24
A. Leivonen
↑ 75'
25
K. Haarma
30
S. Kantelinen
↑ 83'
KPV-j 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
99
F. Enqvist
3
D. Madut
4
E. Vesala
6
M. Aberg
↓ 64'
8
V. Valipakka
⚽ 14'
10
J. Adarkwa
🟥 90+1'
11
N. Santalo
↓ 75'
13
O. Moilanen
↓ 70'
22
O. Santalo
45
A. Arope
↓ 46'
87
O. Lansipaa
↓ 64'
Substitutes
12
K. Suoraniemi
7
P. Kytolaakso
↑ 75'
14
V. Akerblom
↑ 70'
20
J. Maenpaa
↑ 64'
44
J. Moilanen
↑ 46'
77
J. Hirvinen
↑ 64' 🟨 88'
Last matches: KuPS Akatemia
18.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
TPV
1
3
L
11.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
4
4
D
04.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
2
3
L
28.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
OLS
2
2
D
12.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
SalPa
3
4
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
0
3
L
24.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Rops
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Inter Turku II
2
4
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
FC jazz
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
VJS
0
0
D
24.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
TPV
3
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
0
4
L
10.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
OLS
2
4
L
10.01.26
Fri
KuPS Akatemia
JIPPO
0
1
L
Last matches: KPV-j
20.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Rops
1
1
D
11.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
TPV
1
3
L
02.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
FC jazz
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
PKKU
1
3
L
13.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
JJK
2
3
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Inter Turku II
4
2
W
23.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
VJS
0
5
L
16.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Tampere United
0
6
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
SalPa
0
6
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
OLS
0
4
L
25.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Rops
0
7
L
20.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
FC jazz
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
TPV
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
PKKU
2
2
D
H2H: KuPS Akatemia vs KPV-j
05.06.26
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
KPV-j
4
1
W
19.10.25
H2H
KPV-j
KuPS Akatemia
1
3
W
20.07.25
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
KPV-j
1
0
W
03.05.25
H2H
KPV-j
KuPS Akatemia
1
0
L
27.07.24
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
KPV-j
1
2
L
18.05.24
H2H
KPV-j
KuPS Akatemia
1
0
L
Last matches: KuPS Akatemia
04.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
2
3
L
24.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Rops
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
FC jazz
1
2
L
24.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
TPV
3
0
W
10.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
OLS
2
4
L
H2H at home: KuPS Akatemia
05.06.26
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
KPV-j
4
1
W
20.07.25
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
KPV-j
1
0
W
27.07.24
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
KPV-j
1
2
L
Last matches: KPV-j
02.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
FC jazz
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
VJS
0
5
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
SalPa
0
6
L
25.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Rops
0
7
L
11.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
TPV
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
PKKU
2
2
D
H2H away: KPV-j
05.06.26
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
KPV-j
4
1
L
20.07.25
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
KPV-j
1
0
L
27.07.24
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
KPV-j
1
2
W

Standings

Ykkonen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 1 3 29:9 20 34
W L W W W
2 15 8 5 2 31:16 15 29
D W W D W
3 15 7 5 3 31:25 6 26
W W D D W
4 16 7 4 5 40:29 11 25
L D L W W
5 15 6 5 4 28:20 8 23
W L W D W
6 16 6 5 5 30:23 7 23
D L L D L
7 15 6 4 5 28:22 6 22
L D W L W
8 15 6 2 7 18:23 -5 17
W L L L D
9 15 4 4 7 19:25 -6 16
W W W L D
10 15 4 3 8 26:41 -15 15
L L W L D
11 15 2 3 10 25:37 -12 9
L D L D L
12
KPV-j Away
15 2 3 10 13:48 -35 9
D L W L L
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Ykkonen (Relegation Group)