UKRAINE PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Girnyk
Referee: K. Zabroda
Kryvbas KR
Match Timeline
Shakhtar Donetsk
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
14'
A. Ghram ↔ I. Azarovi
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
22'
Eguinaldo ↔ P. Obah
Shakhtar Donetsk
🟨
24'
Andrusw Araujo
Kryvbas KR
🟨
32'
Volodymyr Vilivald
Kryvbas KR
🟨
35'
Isaque
Shakhtar Donetsk
41'
L. Traore · Assist: I. Azarovi
Shakhtar Donetsk
45'
P. Obah
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
46'
A. Seck ↔ B. Lin
Kryvbas KR
🔄
46'
Isaque Silva ↔ O. Ocheretko
Shakhtar Donetsk
🟨
53'
Joseph Jones
Kryvbas KR
58'
G. Mendoza
Kryvbas KR
🔄
60'
V. Mulyk ↔ T. Butenko
Kryvbas KR
🔄
60'
G. Herbert ↔ C. Paraco
Kryvbas KR
🟨
64'
Tymur Butenko
Kryvbas KR
68'
P. Obah · Assist: Lucas Ferreira
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
73'
A. Bekavac ↔ Thiago Borges
Kryvbas KR
🔄
79'
Lucas Ferreira ↔ M. Shved
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
79'
L. Traore ↔ Luca Meirelles
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
83'
J. Jones ↔ Y. Dibango
Kryvbas KR
87'
Y. Shevchenko Volodymyrovych · Assist: C. Paraco
Kryvbas KR

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 93.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
93.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
77.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kryvbas KR Win 33%
Draw 2.9%
Shakhtar Donetsk Win 64.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kryvbas KR1.38
Shakhtar Donetsk1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR
WWDLW
50 GF / 42 GA
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
WLDWL
104 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.79
Average Goals Scored
2.17
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.77
16
BTTS Yes
22
19
Over 2.5
29
3.32
Shots on Goal
3.76

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 28 matches
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 48 matches
Kryvbas KR Statistic Shakhtar Donetsk
13 Wins 31
8 Draws 12
7 Losses 5
50 Goals For 104
42 Goals Against 37
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 2.17
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.77
16 BTTS Yes 22
22 Over 1.5 36
19 Over 2.5 29
11 Over 3.5 19
7 Clean Sheets 26
8 Failed To Score 6
3.32 Shots On Goal 3.76
8 Total Shots 9.96
3.4 Corners 3.73
32.6% Ball Possession 41%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Shakhtar Donetsk. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Shakhtar Donetsk carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 66 points while Kryvbas KR sit 7 on 44, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Kryvbas KR expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Shakhtar Donetsk in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shakhtar Donetsk having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Shakhtar Donetsk look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Kryvbas KR Analysis

Kryvbas KR sit 7 with 44 points after 27 league matches. The record of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 47:41 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through G. Mendoza (10 goals), C. Paraco (8 goals), M. Zaderaka (7 goals), with creative support from G. Mendoza (9 assists), Yehor Tverdokhlib (7 assists), Jan Jurčec (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Shakhtar Donetsk Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 66 points after 27 outings. With 20 wins, 6 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 65:17, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Eguinaldo (7 goals), Kaua Elias (6 goals), L. Traore (6 goals), with creative support from Pedrinho (5 assists), A. Bondarenko (5 assists), P. Henrique (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Kryvbas KR won 0 times, Shakhtar Donetsk won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:20 from Kryvbas KR's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.88 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (97.1%)
Predicted formations: Kryvbas KR 4-3-3 / Shakhtar Donetsk 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Kryvbas KR wins 0, draws 3, Shakhtar Donetsk wins 5

Lineups

Kryvbas KR
Formation
Shakhtar Donetsk
O. Kemkin
O. Kemkin
J. Jurcec
J. Jurcec
V. Vilivald
V. Vilivald
J. Jones
J. Jones
A. Bekavac
A. Bekavac
G. Herbert
G. Herbert
A. Araujo
A. Araujo
Y. Shevchenko Volodymyrovych
Y. Shevchenko Volodymyrovych
A. Seck
A. Seck
V. Mulyk
V. Mulyk
G. Mendoza
G. Mendoza
D. Tvardovskyi
D. Tvardovskyi
A. Ghram
A. Ghram
V. Bondar
V. Bondar
Y. Nazaryna
Y. Nazaryna
P. Henrique
P. Henrique
D. Kryskiv
D. Kryskiv
Lucas Ferreira
🎯
Lucas Ferreira
A. Bondarenko
A. Bondarenko
Isaque Silva
Isaque Silva
Eguinaldo
Eguinaldo
L. Traore
L. Traore
Kryvbas KR 4-3-3
Starting XI
12
O. Kemkin
G
2
J. Jurcec
D
4
V. Vilivald
🟨 32'
D
15
J. Jones
↓ 83' 🟨 53'
D
5
A. Bekavac
↓ 73'
D
10
G. Herbert
↓ 60'
F
6
A. Araujo
🟨 24'
M
8
Y. Shevchenko Volodymyrovych
⚽ 87'
M
14
A. Seck
↓ 46'
M
24
V. Mulyk
↓ 60'
F
7
G. Mendoza
⚽ 58'
M
Substitutes
30
V. Makhankov
G
1
B. Khoma
G
19
Y. Mayakov
D
55
Y. Dibango
↑ 83'
D
18
B. Lin
↑ 46'
M
21
O. Kamensky
M
28
J. Maya
M
20
M. Bodnar
F
25
T. Butenko
↑ 60' 🟨 64'
F
3
C. Rojas
D
16
Thiago Borges
↑ 73'
D
9
C. Paraco
🎯 87' ↑ 60'
F
Shakhtar Donetsk 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
48
D. Tvardovskyi
18
A. Ghram
↓ 14'
D
5
V. Bondar
D
29
Y. Nazaryna
M
13
P. Henrique
D
8
D. Kryskiv
M
37
Lucas Ferreira
🎯 68' ↓ 79'
M
21
A. Bondarenko
M
14
Isaque Silva
↓ 46' 🟨 35'
M
7
Eguinaldo
↓ 22'
F
2
L. Traore
⚽ 41' ↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
23
K. Fesyun
G
3
D. Arroyo
6
Marlon Gomes
M
9
M. Shved
↑ 79'
M
10
Pedrinho
M
11
Newerton
M
16
I. Azarovi
🎯 41' ↑ 14'
D
27
O. Ocheretko
↑ 46'
M
49
Luca Meirelles
↑ 79'
F
68
P. Obah
⚽ 45' ⚽ 68' ↑ 22'
F
Last matches: Kryvbas KR
23.05.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Oleksandria
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Veres Rivne
3
1
W
08.05.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Karpaty
1
0
W
01.05.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
SK Poltava
3
3
D
26.04.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Dynamo Kyiv
5
6
L
19.04.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Ruh Lviv
3
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Kudrivka
2
1
W
05.04.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
LNZ Cherkasy
0
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Polessya
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Obolon'-Brovar
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Zorya Luhansk
3
1
W
21.02.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
0
D
12.02.26
Fri
Kryvbas KR
Sogndal
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Kryvbas KR
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
05.02.26
Fri
Kryvbas KR
Brentford U21
0
0
D
24.01.26
Fri
Kryvbas KR
Daejeon Citizen
3
3
D
19.01.26
Fri
Kryvbas KR
Aarhus
2
4
L
15.01.26
Fri
Kryvbas KR
FC Midtjylland
0
3
L
13.12.25
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Kolos Kovalivka
1
1
D
Last matches: Shakhtar Donetsk
21.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kolos Kovalivka
0
1
L
13.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Obolon'-Brovar
3
1
W
10.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
SK Poltava
4
0
W
07.05.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
2
1
W
30.04.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
1
3
L
26.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kudrivka
3
1
W
23.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Zorya Luhansk
2
1
W
20.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
1
0
W
16.04.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
2
2
D
13.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
LNZ Cherkasy
2
2
D
09.04.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
3
0
W
05.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ruh Lviv
3
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
3
1
W
06.03.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Oleksandria
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Veres Rivne
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
3
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Shakhtar Donetsk
Rustavi
3
0
W
H2H: Kryvbas KR vs Shakhtar Donetsk
17.05.26
H2H
Kryvbas KR
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
3
L
01.12.25
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kryvbas KR
2
2
D
16.04.25
H2H
Kryvbas KR
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
L
06.03.25
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kryvbas KR
1
1
D
03.03.24
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kryvbas KR
5
2
L
20.08.23
H2H
Kryvbas KR
Shakhtar Donetsk
3
3
D
12.03.23
H2H
Hirnyk
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
W
28.08.22
H2H
Shakhtar Donetsk
Hirnyk
1
0
L
Last matches: Kryvbas KR
08.05.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Karpaty
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Dynamo Kyiv
5
6
L
19.04.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Ruh Lviv
3
0
W
05.04.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
LNZ Cherkasy
0
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Zorya Luhansk
3
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Kryvbas KR
Brentford U21
0
0
D
24.01.26
Fri
Kryvbas KR
Daejeon Citizen
3
3
D
13.12.25
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Kolos Kovalivka
1
1
D
07.12.25
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Oleksandria
3
0
W
23.11.25
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Veres Rivne
2
2
D
01.11.25
Pre
Kryvbas KR
SK Poltava
2
2
D
05.10.25
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Kudrivka
3
1
W
14.09.25
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Polessya
0
1
L
30.08.25
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Obolon'-Brovar
2
1
W
09.08.25
Pre
Kryvbas KR
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
2
0
W
H2H at home: Kryvbas KR
17.05.26
H2H
Kryvbas KR
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
3
L
16.04.25
H2H
Kryvbas KR
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
L
20.08.23
H2H
Kryvbas KR
Shakhtar Donetsk
3
3
D
Last matches: Shakhtar Donetsk
10.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
SK Poltava
4
0
W
07.05.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kudrivka
3
1
W
23.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Zorya Luhansk
2
1
W
16.04.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
2
2
D
13.04.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
LNZ Cherkasy
2
2
D
12.03.26
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
3
1
W
06.03.26
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Oleksandria
1
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Shakhtar Donetsk
Rustavi
3
0
W
10.02.26
Fri
Shakhtar Donetsk
LNZ Cherkasy
0
1
L
11.12.25
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Hamrun Spartans
2
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kolos Kovalivka
0
0
D
27.11.25
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
W
22.11.25
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Obolon'-Brovar
6
0
W
18.10.25
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
0
0
D
02.10.25
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Aberdeen
3
2
W
28.09.25
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ruh Lviv
4
0
W
13.09.25
Pre
Shakhtar Donetsk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
1
D
28.08.25
UEF
Shakhtar Donetsk
Servette FC
2
1
W
H2H away: Shakhtar Donetsk
17.05.26
H2H
Kryvbas KR
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
3
W
16.04.25
H2H
Kryvbas KR
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
W
20.08.23
H2H
Kryvbas KR
Shakhtar Donetsk
3
3
D
12.03.23
H2H
Hirnyk
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
3
W

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 6 2 71:21 50 72
L W W W W
2 30 18 6 6 39:17 22 60
W L W D D
3 30 18 5 7 51:21 30 59
W D L W W
4 30 17 6 7 66:36 30 57
W W W D L
5 30 13 12 5 36:19 17 51
W D D D L
6 30 13 10 7 30:25 5 49
W L L W W
7 30 13 9 8 53:46 7 48
D L W W D
8 30 12 10 8 42:36 6 46
W D W D W
9 30 10 11 9 40:31 9 41
L W D L D
10 30 8 8 14 36:45 -9 32
D D W D D
11 30 7 10 13 26:40 -14 31
L L L D D
12 30 7 10 13 28:49 -21 31
L W L D D
13 30 7 7 16 32:48 -16 28
L W W L D
14 30 6 3 21 20:51 -31 21
L L L D L
15 30 3 8 19 24:58 -34 17
D W L L L
16 30 2 7 21 23:74 -51 13
D L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga