RUSSIA › PREMIER LEAGUE

25.04.2026 14:00

Krylia Sovetov

2 - 0

Lokomotiv

Samara Arena

Referee: K. Levnikov

Krylia Sovetov

Match Timeline

Lokomotiv

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Krylia Sovetov vs Lokomotiv Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

No Draw

Probability 80.2%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Probability 81.7%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 73.3%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	No Draw	80.2%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS Yes	81.7%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	73.3%	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Krylia Sovetov Win 30.2%

Draw 19.8%

Lokomotiv Win 50%

Expected Goals (xG)

Krylia Sovetov1.13

Lokomotiv1.9

Recent Form (Last 5)

Krylia Sovetov

WWDLW

27 GF / 47 GA

Lokomotiv

WLDWL

51 GF / 33 GA

Key Stats

1.04

Average Goals Scored

1.96

1.81

Average Goals Conceded

1.27

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

2.81

Shots on Goal

5.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Krylia Sovetov 26 matches

Lokomotiv 26 matches

Krylia Sovetov	Statistic	Lokomotiv
5	Wins	13
8	Draws	10
13	Losses	3
27	Goals For	51
47	Goals Against	33
1.04	Avg Goals Scored	1.96
1.81	Avg Goals Conceded	1.27
13	BTTS Yes	18
24	Over 1.5	22
12	Over 2.5	15
8	Over 3.5	9
5	Clean Sheets	6
9	Failed To Score	3
2.81	Shots On Goal	5.35
8.5	Total Shots	13.85
3.92	Corners	4.19
46.6%	Ball Possession	49.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Krylia Sovetov won 2 times, Lokomotiv won 5 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:23 from Krylia Sovetov's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (80.2%)

Predicted formations: Krylia Sovetov 4-2-3-1 / Lokomotiv 4-2-3-1

Missing players: Krylia Sovetov 5, Lokomotiv 1

H2H summary: Krylia Sovetov wins 2, draws 8, Lokomotiv wins 5

Standings

Premier League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Zenit	30	20	8	2	53:19	34	68	W W W W D
2	FC Krasnodar	30	20	6	4	60:23	37	66	W L W W W
3	Lokomotiv Away	30	14	11	5	54:39	15	53	L W D L D
4	Spartak Moscow	30	15	7	8	47:39	8	52	D W L W L
5	CSKA Moscow	30	15	6	9	44:33	11	51	W W L D D
6	Baltika	30	11	13	6	38:21	17	46	L L L L D
7	Dynamo	30	12	9	9	51:40	11	45	W W D W L
8	Rubin	30	11	10	9	29:30	-1	43	D L W D W
9	Akhmat	30	9	10	11	35:39	-4	37	D D W L D
10	FC Rostov	30	8	9	13	25:32	-7	33	L W W L D
11	Krylia Sovetov Home	30	8	8	14	35:50	-15	32	W L W W L
12	FC Orenburg	30	7	8	15	29:44	-15	29	L W L W W
13	Akron	30	6	9	15	35:53	-18	27	L W L L L
14	Dinamo Makhachkala	30	5	11	14	19:37	-18	26	W W D D L
15	Nizhny Novgorod	30	6	5	19	26:50	-24	23	D L L L L
16	FC Sochi	30	6	4	20	29:60	-31	22	D L W L W

Relegation Playoffs

Relegation