RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
18.04.2026 11:30
Samara Arena
Referee: P. Shadyhanov
Krylia Sovetov
Match Timeline
CSKA Moscow
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
18'
Henrique Carmo
CSKA Moscow
🟨
19'
Sergey Bozhin
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
40'
Danila Kozlov
CSKA Moscow
🔄
43'
K. Glebov ↔ Matheus Alves
CSKA Moscow
🔄
44'
D. Kozlov ↔ Moises
CSKA Moscow
🟨
57'
Matvey Kislyak
CSKA Moscow
🔄
62'
Henrique Carmo ↔ M. Popovic
CSKA Moscow
🔄
62'
L. Gondou ↔ T. Musaev
CSKA Moscow
🟨
65'
Fernando Costanza
Krylia Sovetov
65'
I. Oleynikov · Assist: M. Vityugov
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
66'
Dmitri Barinov
CSKA Moscow
🟨
70'
Nikita Chernov
Krylia Sovetov
75'
S. Bozhin
CSKA Moscow
🔄
76'
I. Akhmetov ↔ J. Marin
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
76'
I. Oleynikov ↔ M. Banjac
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
76'
A. Rahmanovic ↔ V. Ignatenko
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
84'
M. Vityugov ↔ K. Stolbov
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
90+1'
Mihajlo Banjac
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
90+3'
S. Babkin ↔ A. Shumansky
Krylia Sovetov

Krylia Sovetov vs CSKA Moscow Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 76.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
76.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Krylia Sovetov Win 20.1%
Draw 15.5%
CSKA Moscow Win 64.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Krylia Sovetov1.06
CSKA Moscow1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov
WWDLW
25 GF / 44 GA
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow
WLDWL
36 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
11
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
11
2.75
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov 24 matches
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 24 matches
Krylia Sovetov Statistic CSKA Moscow
5 Wins 13
7 Draws 3
12 Losses 8
25 Goals For 36
44 Goals Against 26
1.04 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
11 BTTS Yes 12
22 Over 1.5 15
11 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 7
2.75 Shots On Goal 4.67
8.21 Total Shots 14.29
3.58 Corners 5.71
47% Ball Possession 56.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by CSKA Moscow's more proactive style and Krylia Sovetov's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. CSKA Moscow carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 42 points while Krylia Sovetov sit 13 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Krylia Sovetov expected to line up in 4-4-1-1 and CSKA Moscow in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CSKA Moscow having the stronger overall control. CSKA Moscow arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring CSKA Moscow. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Krylia Sovetov Analysis

So far, Krylia Sovetov have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 22 points from 24 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 12 losses, while the 25:44 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on V. Rakov (5 goals), V. Ignatenko (4 goals), A. Rahmanovic (3 goals), with creative support from Ilzat Akhmetov (5 assists), N. Rasskazov (4 assists), V. Rakov (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with A. Sutormin, C. Geoffrey unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

CSKA Moscow Analysis

CSKA Moscow approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 42 points from 24 matches. Their record of 13 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 36:26, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through D. Krugovoy (5 goals), Ivan Oblyakov (5 goals), Kirill Glebov (5 goals), with creative support from D. Krugovoy (5 assists), Ivan Oblyakov (5 assists), M. Kislyak (5 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with I. Akinfeev, M. Lukin unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Krylia Sovetov won 0 times, CSKA Moscow won 10 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:31 from Krylia Sovetov's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.5%)
Predicted formations: Krylia Sovetov 4-4-1-1 / CSKA Moscow 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Krylia Sovetov 2, CSKA Moscow 2
H2H summary: Krylia Sovetov wins 0, draws 5, CSKA Moscow wins 10

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13 30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation