RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Samara Arena
Referee: K. Levnikov
Krylia Sovetov
Match Timeline
Akron
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Joao Escoval
Akron
12'
A. Rahmanovic
Krylia Sovetov
34'
M. Vityugov
Krylia Sovetov
41'
M. Vityugov
Krylia Sovetov
43'
N. Rasskazov · Assist: K. Pechenin
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
45+1'
Sergey Bozhin
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
45+1'
Amar Rahmanović
Krylia Sovetov
🟨
45+1'
Benchimol
Akron
🔄
46'
I. Djakovac ↔ K. Bistrovic
Akron
🟨
53'
Nikita Chernov
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
57'
M. Banjac ↔ D. Fernandez
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
57'
A. Rahmanovic ↔ V. Ignatenko
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
57'
D. Oroz ↔ T. Galdames
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
61'
Benchimol ↔ K. Khosonov
Akron
🔄
61'
R. Fernandez ↔ D. Popenkov
Akron
🔄
61'
A. Djurasovic ↔ A. Dmitriev
Akron
🔄
66'
M. Vityugov ↔ K. Stolbov
Krylia Sovetov
🔄
66'
K. Maradishvili ↔ N. Bazilevskiy
Akron
🔄
76'
S. Pesjakov ↔ E. Frolov
Krylia Sovetov
VAR
83'
Maksim Boldyrev
Akron
85'
N. Bazilevskiy
Akron
🟨
90'
Nikita Bazilevskiy
Akron

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Krylia Sovetov Win 63.5%
Draw 13.7%
Akron Win 22.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Krylia Sovetov1.32
Akron1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov
WWDLW
31 GF / 49 GA
Akron Akron
WLDWL
34 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.69
Average Goals Conceded
1.69
14
BTTS Yes
20
13
Over 2.5
14
3
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov 29 matches
Akron Akron 29 matches
Krylia Sovetov Statistic Akron
7 Wins 6
8 Draws 9
14 Losses 14
31 Goals For 34
49 Goals Against 49
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.69 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69
14 BTTS Yes 20
26 Over 1.5 25
13 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 4
10 Failed To Score 5
3 Shots On Goal 4
8.62 Total Shots 10.93
3.79 Corners 3.79
46.4% Ball Possession 43.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Krylia Sovetov expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Akron in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Akron having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Akron. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Krylia Sovetov Analysis

From their first 29 matches, Krylia Sovetov have collected 29 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. The record of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 31:49 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through I. Oleynikov (5 goals), V. Rakov (5 goals), A. Rahmanovic (4 goals), with creative support from Ilzat Akhmetov (6 assists), N. Rasskazov (4 assists), I. Oleynikov (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Akron Analysis

From their first 29 matches, Akron have collected 27 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. The record of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 34:49 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Dzyuba (8 goals), Benchimol (6 goals), D. Pestryakov (5 goals), with creative support from A. Dzyuba (5 assists), D. Pestryakov (4 assists), Ifet Đakovac (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Krylia Sovetov won 4 times, Akron won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:12 from Krylia Sovetov's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.89 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.3%)
Predicted formations: Krylia Sovetov 4-2-3-1 / Akron 4-3-3
Missing players: Krylia Sovetov 3, Akron 1
H2H summary: Krylia Sovetov wins 4, draws 1, Akron wins 4

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 8 2 53:19 34 68
W W W W D
2 30 20 6 4 60:23 37 66
W L W W W
3 30 14 11 5 54:39 15 53
L W D L D
4 30 15 7 8 47:39 8 52
D W L W L
5 30 15 6 9 44:33 11 51
W W L D D
6 30 11 13 6 38:21 17 46
L L L L D
7 30 12 9 9 51:40 11 45
W W D W L
8 30 11 10 9 29:30 -1 43
D L W D W
9 30 9 10 11 35:39 -4 37
D D W L D
10 30 8 9 13 25:32 -7 33
L W W L D
11 30 8 8 14 35:50 -15 32
W L W W L
12 30 7 8 15 29:44 -15 29
L W L W W
13
Akron Away
30 6 9 15 35:53 -18 27
L W L L L
14 30 5 11 14 19:37 -18 26
W W D D L
15 30 6 5 19 26:50 -24 23
D L L L L
16 30 6 4 20 29:60 -31 22
D L W L W
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation