SWEDEN ETTAN - SöDRA
--.--.---- --:--
Kristianstads Fotbollsarena
Kristianstad
Match Timeline
Trelleborg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
46'
V. Agardius
Kristianstad
🟨
50'
P. Lilja
Kristianstad
🔄
54'
S. Tipura ↔ I. Ellbring
Trelleborg
🔄
54'
V. Karlsson ↔ J. Kack
Trelleborg
🔄
63'
A. Kamp ↔ V. Lindberg
Kristianstad
🔄
68'
V. Poppler ↔ A. Mehmeti
Trelleborg
🔄
79'
P. Lilja ↔ A. Henningsson
Kristianstad
🔄
80'
J. Christiansen ↔ J. Gudmundsson
Trelleborg
🔄
80'
O. Sverrisson ↔ E. Lofberg
Trelleborg
🟨
90+3'
S. Wikstrom
Kristianstad

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 73.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
73.8%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kristianstad Win 22.5%
Draw 3.7%
Trelleborg Win 73.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kristianstad1.36
Trelleborg1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kristianstad Kristianstad
WWDLW
33 GF / 29 GA
Trelleborg Trelleborg
WLDWL
39 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
2.05
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
13
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kristianstad Kristianstad 21 matches
Trelleborg Trelleborg 19 matches
Kristianstad Statistic Trelleborg
8 Wins 10
6 Draws 6
7 Losses 3
33 Goals For 39
29 Goals Against 20
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 2.05
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05
13 BTTS Yes 13
18 Over 1.5 16
14 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Trelleborg's more proactive style and Kristianstad's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Trelleborg carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 31 points while Kristianstad sit 13 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Trelleborg look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Trelleborg. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Trelleborg having the stronger overall control.

Kristianstad Analysis

Kristianstad sit 13 with 13 points after 12 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, while the 14:18 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on O. Dampha (7 goals), P. Lilja (3 goals), K. Alsen (1 goals), with creative support from O. Dampha (1 assists), S. Svedin (1 assists), A. Kamp (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Trelleborg Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 31 points from 13 games, Trelleborg bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 9 wins, 4 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 33:12, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by O. Gabrielsson (6 goals), O. Ruuska (5 goals), V. Poppler (5 goals), with creative support from E. Jaf (3 assists), O. Ruuska (2 assists), V. Poppler (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Kristianstad won 0 times, Trelleborg won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:0 from Kristianstad's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
H2H summary: Kristianstad wins 0, draws 1, Trelleborg wins 0

Standings

South
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 11 6 2 41:21 20 39
W L L W D
2 19 11 3 5 38:23 15 36
W W W W W
3 19 10 5 4 40:28 12 35
L W W W L
4 19 9 7 3 41:25 16 34
W W L D D
5 19 8 7 4 31:24 7 31
W D D D W
6 19 8 6 5 37:29 8 30
D L D L D
7 19 8 5 6 27:28 -1 29
D W W L D
8 19 7 5 7 25:19 6 26
W D D W L
9 19 7 4 8 30:33 -3 25
L D W D W
10 19 7 2 10 31:40 -9 23
L L D L W
11 19 5 7 7 24:31 -7 22
L W W L W
12 19 4 9 6 18:28 -10 21
D W L D L
13 19 5 5 9 24:31 -7 20
W L L W L
14 19 5 3 11 25:34 -9 18
D L D W L
15 19 3 8 8 25:31 -6 17
L L L L D
16 19 1 4 14 16:48 -32 7
L D D L D