FINLAND YKKöNEN
--.--.---- --:--
FT
1 - 3
Kokkolan keskuskentta
KPV-j
Match Timeline
TPV
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
J. Maenpaa
KPV-j
🟨
18'
J. Yli-Rajala
TPV
25'
E. Bullock
TPV
42'
T. Toijala
TPV
🔄
46'
J. Maenpaa ↔ P. Kytolaakso
KPV-j
🔄
46'
E. Bullock ↔ S. Sipila
TPV
56'
E. Riikonen
TPV
🔄
61'
T. Toijala ↔ M. Akbal
TPV
🔄
63'
N. Santalo ↔ V. Akerblom
KPV-j
66'
A. Arope
KPV-j
🔄
75'
V. Valipakka ↔ J. Hirvinen
KPV-j
🔄
75'
M. Aberg ↔ A. Vesa
KPV-j
🔄
82'
J. Adarkwa ↔ L. Kykyri
KPV-j
🔄
83'
A. Arope ↔ P. Pensaari
KPV-j
🔄
86'
J. Yli-Rajala ↔ A. Rantanen
TPV
🔄
86'
A. Kujala ↔ T. Ylinen
TPV
🟥
90+1'
V. Puustinen
TPV
🔄
90+2'
J. Venemies ↔ T. Rantala
TPV

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 45.6%
Odds 3.96
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.40
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
45.6%
3.96
BTTS Yes
86%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.40
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.08
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
7.50
Correct Score 2-2
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
KPV-j Win 31%
Draw 45.6%
TPV Win 23.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
KPV-j1.24
TPV2.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
KPV-j KPV-j
WWDLW
11 GF / 44 GA
TPV TPV
WLDWL
23 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
0.85
Average Goals Scored
1.28
3.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
5
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KPV-j KPV-j 13 matches
TPV TPV 18 matches
KPV-j Statistic TPV
2 Wins 4
2 Draws 5
9 Losses 9
11 Goals For 23
44 Goals Against 33
0.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
3.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
5 BTTS Yes 11
11 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 12
10 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring TPV. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward TPV having the stronger overall control.

KPV-j Analysis

KPV-j sit 11 with 8 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 11:44, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

TPV Analysis

TPV approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 7 points from 12 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 12:23, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, KPV-j won 0 times, TPV won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:0 from KPV-j's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (76.6%)
H2H summary: KPV-j wins 0, draws 1, TPV wins 0
Last matches: KPV-j
02.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
FC jazz
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
PKKU
1
3
L
13.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
JJK
2
3
L
05.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
KuPS Akatemia
1
4
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Inter Turku II
4
2
W
23.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
VJS
0
5
L
16.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Tampere United
0
6
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
SalPa
0
6
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
OLS
0
4
L
25.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Rops
0
7
L
20.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
FC jazz
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
TPV
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
PKKU
2
2
D
Last matches: TPV
05.07.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
0
W
29.06.26
Ykk
TPV
VJS
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ykk
TPV
PKKU
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
TPV
Inter Turku II
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Tampere United
0
3
L
23.05.26
Ykk
TPV
SalPa
2
4
L
16.05.26
Ykk
TPV
OLS
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Rops
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ykk
TPV
FC jazz
0
2
L
24.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KuPS Akatemia
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KPV-j
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ykk
TPV
VJS
3
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
TPV
JäPS
0
1
L
22.03.26
Fri
TPV
Haka
1
3
L
22.02.26
Fri
TPV
Tampere United
4
2
W
25.01.26
Fri
TPV
Atlantis
3
2
W
18.01.26
Fri
TPV
JJK
2
2
D
H2H: KPV-j vs TPV
11.04.26
H2H
TPV
KPV-j
0
0
D
Last matches: KPV-j
28.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
PKKU
1
3
L
13.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
JJK
2
3
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Inter Turku II
4
2
W
16.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Tampere United
0
6
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
OLS
0
4
L
20.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
FC jazz
0
2
L
Last matches: TPV
29.06.26
Ykk
TPV
VJS
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ykk
TPV
PKKU
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ykk
TPV
SalPa
2
4
L
09.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Rops
0
1
L
24.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KuPS Akatemia
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
TPV
JäPS
0
1
L
22.03.26
Fri
TPV
Haka
1
3
L
22.02.26
Fri
TPV
Tampere United
4
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.82
Draw 3.96
Home 3.62
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.26
Draw 2.60
Home 3.79
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.40
Over 2.75 1.49
Over 3.0 1.62
Over 3.25 1.85
Over 3.5 2.04
Over 3.75 2.27
Over 4.0 2.66
Over 4.25 2.85
Under 2.5 2.80
Under 2.75 2.52
Under 3.0 2.26
Under 3.25 1.96
Under 3.5 1.75
Under 3.75 1.59
Under 4.0 1.44
Under 4.25 1.39
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.80
Draw 3.80
Home 3.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.30
Draw 2.60
Home 3.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.05
Draw 2.88
Home 3.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.11
Over 2.5 1.40
Over 3.5 1.91
Over 4.5 3.25
Over 5.5 6.00
Over 6.5 11.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Over 8.5 41.00
Under 0.5 21.00
Under 1.5 6.50
Under 2.5 2.88
Under 3.5 1.80
Under 4.5 1.33
Under 5.5 1.12
Under 6.5 1.05
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.78
Draw 3.92
Home 3.54
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.27
Draw 2.47
Home 3.84
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.08
Draw 2.90
Home 3.58
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.5 1.08
Over 1.75 1.10
Over 2.0 1.12
Over 2.25 1.25
Over 2.5 1.36
Over 2.75 1.46
Over 3.0 1.56
Over 3.25 1.79
Over 3.5 1.99
Over 3.75 2.20
Over 4.0 2.56
Over 4.25 2.85
Over 4.5 3.08
Over 4.75 3.73
Over 5.0 4.80
Over 5.25 5.10
Over 5.5 5.35
Over 6.0 8.80
Over 6.5 11.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Over 8.5 41.00
Under 0.5 17.00
Under 1.0 12.50
Under 1.5 5.55
Under 1.75 5.16
Under 2.0 4.75
Under 2.25 3.36
Under 2.5 2.70
Under 2.75 2.46
Under 3.0 2.15
Under 3.25 1.92
Under 3.5 1.73
Under 3.75 1.57
Under 4.0 1.40
Under 4.25 1.34
Under 4.5 1.28
Under 4.75 1.20
Under 5.0 1.12
Under 5.25 1.10
Under 5.5 1.09
Under 6.0 1.01
Under 6.5 1.05
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.86
Draw 3.65
Home 3.30
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.32
Draw 2.55
Home 3.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.15
Draw 2.85
Home 3.35
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.11
Over 2.5 1.42
Over 3.5 2.05
Over 4.5 3.30
Over 5.5 5.40
Under 1.5 5.10
Under 2.5 2.55
Under 3.5 1.64
Under 4.5 1.26
Under 5.5 1.09

Standings

Ykkonen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 1 3 28:9 19 31
L W W W W
2 14 8 4 2 30:15 15 28
W W D W L
3 15 7 4 4 39:26 13 25
D L W W L
4 14 6 5 3 29:24 5 23
W D D W L
5 15 6 4 5 29:22 7 22
L L D L W
6 13 6 3 4 26:18 8 21
W L W D W
7 13 5 5 3 25:18 7 20
W D W L D
8 14 4 3 7 25:39 -14 15
L W L D D
9 14 5 2 7 15:22 -7 14
L L L D D
10
TPV Away
14 3 4 7 16:24 -8 13
W W L D D
11 14 2 3 9 24:34 -10 9
D L D L W
12
KPV-j Home
14 2 2 10 12:47 -35 8
L W L L L
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Ykkonen (Relegation Group)