FINLAND YKKöNEN
--.--.---- --:--
Kokkolan keskuskentta
KPV-j
Match Timeline
SalPa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
W. Wegye
KPV-j
23'
E. Vesala
KPV-j
🔄
46'
O. Moilanen ↔ M. Aberg
KPV-j
54'
P. Kytolaakso
KPV-j
🔄
56'
V. Valipakka ↔ J. Maenpaa
KPV-j
🔄
62'
N. Jokiniemi ↔ J. Kostian
SalPa
🔄
63'
Y. Miyazaki ↔ L. Pan
SalPa
🔄
63'
E. Rrustemi ↔ M. Mohammadi
SalPa
🔄
73'
A. Arope ↔ J. Pensaari
KPV-j
🔄
73'
N. Santalo ↔ L. Kykyri
KPV-j
🔄
74'
T. Dementjeff ↔ R. Ruponen
SalPa
🔄
83'
S. Kadowaki ↔ A. Ranta
SalPa
🔄
85'
W. Wegye ↔ V. Akerblom
KPV-j
🟨
86'
M. Mohammadi
SalPa
🟨
90+1'
F. Friberg
KPV-j

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71.3%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
KPV-j Win 24.1%
Draw 4.7%
SalPa Win 71.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
KPV-j1.18
SalPa2.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
KPV-j KPV-j
WWDLW
14 GF / 50 GA
SalPa SalPa
WLDWL
31 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.94
3.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
8
BTTS Yes
10
12
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KPV-j KPV-j 16 matches
SalPa SalPa 16 matches
KPV-j Statistic SalPa
2 Wins 7
3 Draws 5
11 Losses 4
14 Goals For 31
50 Goals Against 26
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
3.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
8 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 14
12 Over 2.5 10
11 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by SalPa's more proactive style and KPV-j's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward SalPa. SalPa carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 26 points while KPV-j sit 12 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. KPV-j have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward SalPa having the stronger overall control.

KPV-j Analysis

With 9 points from 15 games and a place of 12, KPV-j still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 13:48, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

SalPa Analysis

SalPa approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 26 points after 15 outings. They have recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a 31:25 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, KPV-j won 2 times, SalPa won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:10 from KPV-j's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
H2H summary: KPV-j wins 2, draws 1, SalPa wins 2

Lineups

SalPa
Formation
KPV-j
A. Munukka
A. Munukka
O. Jakonen
O. Jakonen
N. Jokiniemi
N. Jokiniemi
J. Meura
J. Meura
J. Ndakala
J. Ndakala
S. Seidu
S. Seidu
T. Dementjeff
T. Dementjeff
E. Rrustemi
E. Rrustemi
M. Lulli
M. Lulli
S. Kadowaki
S. Kadowaki
Y. Miyazaki
Y. Miyazaki
E. Vesala
E. Vesala
F. Friberg
F. Friberg
F. Enqvist
F. Enqvist
D. Madut
D. Madut
P. Kytolaakso
P. Kytolaakso
V. Valipakka
V. Valipakka
W. Wegye
W. Wegye
J. Adarkwa
J. Adarkwa
N. Santalo
N. Santalo
O. Moilanen
O. Moilanen
A. Arope
A. Arope
SalPa 1-2-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
30
A. Munukka
G
20
O. Jakonen
F
19
N. Jokiniemi
↓ 62'
M
3
J. Meura
6
J. Ndakala
D
28
S. Seidu
M
4
T. Dementjeff
↓ 74'
7
E. Rrustemi
↓ 63'
9
M. Lulli
22
S. Kadowaki
↓ 83'
24
Y. Miyazaki
↓ 63'
Substitutes
12
O. Rintamaki
5
L. Pan
↑ 63'
13
J. Kostian
↑ 62'
14
A. Ranta
↑ 83'
17
M. Mohammadi
↑ 63' 🟨 86'
23
R. Ruponen
↑ 74'
KPV-j 3 (estimated)
Starting XI
4
E. Vesala
⚽ 23'
D
17
F. Friberg
🟨 90+1'
D
99
F. Enqvist
3
D. Madut
D
7
P. Kytolaakso
⚽ 54'
8
V. Valipakka
↓ 56'
9
W. Wegye
⚽ 18' ↓ 85'
10
J. Adarkwa
11
N. Santalo
↓ 73'
13
O. Moilanen
↓ 46'
45
A. Arope
↓ 73'
Substitutes
1
P. Kytolaakso
6
M. Aberg
↑ 46'
14
V. Akerblom
↑ 85'
15
J. Pensaari
↑ 73'
16
A. Vesa
20
J. Maenpaa
↑ 56'
21
W. Koivisto
27
L. Kykyri
↑ 73'
77
J. Hirvinen
Last matches: KPV-j
21.08.26
Ykk
KPV-j
KuPS Akatemia
2
4
L
16.08.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Inter Turku II
3
2
W
09.08.26
Ykk
KPV-j
VJS
1
2
L
05.08.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Tampere United
0
6
L
26.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
OLS
1
2
L
20.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Rops
1
1
D
11.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
TPV
1
3
L
02.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
FC jazz
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
PKKU
1
3
L
13.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
JJK
2
3
L
05.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
KuPS Akatemia
1
4
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Inter Turku II
4
2
W
23.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
VJS
0
5
L
16.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Tampere United
0
6
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
SalPa
0
6
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
OLS
0
4
L
25.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Rops
0
7
L
20.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
FC jazz
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
TPV
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
PKKU
2
2
D
Last matches: SalPa
22.08.26
Ykk
SalPa
OLS
4
1
W
15.08.26
Ykk
SalPa
FC jazz
0
2
L
11.08.26
Ykk
SalPa
TPV
1
1
D
05.08.26
Ykk
SalPa
JJK
2
1
W
25.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
PKKU
0
1
L
18.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
Inter Turku II
2
1
W
10.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
Tampere United
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
VJS
2
2
D
27.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
Rops
2
2
D
12.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
KuPS Akatemia
4
3
W
06.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
OLS
0
5
L
28.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
FC jazz
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
TPV
4
2
W
16.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
JJK
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
KPV-j
6
0
W
02.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
PKKU
0
2
L
24.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Inter Turku II
2
3
L
18.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
VJS
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Tampere United
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
Rops
1
1
D
H2H: KPV-j vs SalPa
01.08.26
H2H
KPV-j
SalPa
3
0
W
09.05.26
H2H
SalPa
KPV-j
6
0
L
27.09.23
H2H
SalPa
KPV-j
2
0
L
19.08.23
H2H
SalPa
KPV-j
2
2
D
08.06.23
H2H
KPV-j
SalPa
1
0
W
Last matches: KPV-j
21.08.26
Ykk
KPV-j
KuPS Akatemia
2
4
L
09.08.26
Ykk
KPV-j
VJS
1
2
L
20.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Rops
1
1
D
11.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
TPV
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
PKKU
1
3
L
13.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
JJK
2
3
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Inter Turku II
4
2
W
16.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Tampere United
0
6
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
OLS
0
4
L
20.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
FC jazz
0
2
L
H2H at home: KPV-j
01.08.26
H2H
KPV-j
SalPa
3
0
W
08.06.23
H2H
KPV-j
SalPa
1
0
W
Last matches: SalPa
11.08.26
Ykk
SalPa
TPV
1
1
D
18.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
Inter Turku II
2
1
W
10.07.26
Ykk
SalPa
Tampere United
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
Rops
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
SalPa
OLS
0
5
L
28.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
FC jazz
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
JJK
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ykk
SalPa
PKKU
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ykk
SalPa
VJS
1
1
D
H2H away: SalPa
01.08.26
H2H
KPV-j
SalPa
3
0
L
08.06.23
H2H
KPV-j
SalPa
1
0
L

Standings

Group Stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 13 5 3 46:16 30 44
W D D W D
2 21 10 7 4 45:32 13 37
L D W D L
3
SalPa Away
21 9 6 6 38:34 4 33
W L D W L
4 21 8 8 5 38:30 8 32
D D W D D
5 21 7 10 4 38:29 9 31
D D W D D
6 21 8 7 6 41:34 7 31
L D D W W
7 21 8 6 7 30:29 1 30
D W D D D
8 21 7 7 7 47:41 6 28
D D D L L
9 21 6 6 9 30:38 -8 24
W D D L W
10 21 5 5 11 32:49 -17 20
L L L W D
11 21 3 6 12 36:48 -12 15
W D L L D
12
KPV-j Home
21 4 3 14 23:64 -41 15
L W L L W