FINLAND YKKöNEN
--.--.---- --:--
Kokkolan keskuskentta
KPV-j
Match Timeline
PKKU
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+1'
J. Sivunen
PKKU
53'
W. Wegye
KPV-j
55'
V. Azemi
PKKU
🟨
62'
M. Aberg
KPV-j
🔄
63'
E. Lappalainen ↔ J. Norss
PKKU
🔄
65'
N. Santalo ↔ J. Adarkwa
KPV-j
🔄
66'
M. Aberg ↔ O. Moilanen
KPV-j
🟨
75'
O. Santalo
KPV-j
🔄
76'
A. Arope ↔ P. Kytolaakso
KPV-j
78'
J. Norss
PKKU
🟨
81'
H. Toivonen
PKKU
🔄
82'
N. Lokake ↔ S. Tiainen
PKKU
🔄
82'
V. Azemi ↔ L. Azhar
PKKU
🔄
83'
O. Lansipaa ↔ V. Akerblom
KPV-j
🔄
83'
J. Maenpaa ↔ J. Hirvinen
KPV-j
🟨
90'
J. Adarkwa
KPV-j
90'
O. Niemi
PKKU

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 77.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
77.7%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
KPV-j Win 16.1%
Draw 6.2%
PKKU Win 77.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
KPV-j0.97
PKKU2.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
KPV-j KPV-j
WWDLW
9 GF / 41 GA
PKKU PKKU
WLDWL
18 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
1.8
3.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
4
BTTS Yes
5
9
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KPV-j KPV-j 11 matches
PKKU PKKU 10 matches
KPV-j Statistic PKKU
1 Wins 4
2 Draws 3
8 Losses 3
9 Goals For 18
41 Goals Against 12
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
3.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
4 BTTS Yes 5
10 Over 1.5 9
9 Over 2.5 6
9 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by PKKU's more proactive style and KPV-j's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors PKKU. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward PKKU having the stronger overall control. KPV-j have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. PKKU carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 15 points while KPV-j sit 12 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

KPV-j Analysis

KPV-j sit 12 with 5 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 9:41 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on V. Valipakka (4 goals), A. Arope (3 goals), W. Wegye (2 goals), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

PKKU Analysis

From their first 10 matches, PKKU have collected 15 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 18:12 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by H. Toivonen (6 goals), J. Sivunen (3 goals), O. Niemi (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, KPV-j won 3 times, PKKU won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:14 from KPV-j's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)
H2H summary: KPV-j wins 3, draws 1, PKKU wins 2

Lineups

PKKU
Formation
KPV-j
R. Barton
R. Barton
O. Niemela
O. Niemela
R. Makila
R. Makila
V. Azemi
V. Azemi
O. Minkkinen
O. Minkkinen
J. Sivunen
J. Sivunen
H. Toivonen
H. Toivonen
N. Lokake
N. Lokake
O. Niemi
O. Niemi
E. Lappalainen
E. Lappalainen
A. Barraza
A. Barraza
F. Enqvist
F. Enqvist
D. Madut
D. Madut
M. Aberg
M. Aberg
V. Valipakka
V. Valipakka
W. Wegye
W. Wegye
N. Santalo
N. Santalo
J. Maenpaa
J. Maenpaa
O. Santalo
O. Santalo
J. Moilanen
J. Moilanen
A. Arope
A. Arope
O. Lansipaa
O. Lansipaa
PKKU 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
R. Barton
4
O. Niemela
5
R. Makila
6
V. Azemi
⚽ 55' ↓ 82'
9
O. Minkkinen
13
J. Sivunen
🟨 45+1'
15
H. Toivonen
🟨 81'
19
N. Lokake
↓ 82'
25
O. Niemi
⚽ 90'
26
E. Lappalainen
↓ 63'
28
A. Barraza
Substitutes
56
O. Tikkanen
7
M. Ahmed
16
J. Norss
⚽ 78' ↑ 63'
17
S. Tiainen
↑ 82'
29
L. Azhar
↑ 82'
KPV-j 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
99
F. Enqvist
3
D. Madut
6
M. Aberg
↓ 66' 🟨 62'
8
V. Valipakka
9
W. Wegye
⚽ 53'
11
N. Santalo
↓ 65'
20
J. Maenpaa
↓ 83'
22
O. Santalo
🟨 75'
44
J. Moilanen
45
A. Arope
↓ 76'
87
O. Lansipaa
↓ 83'
Substitutes
12
M. Vuotila
1
P. Kytolaakso
7
P. Kytolaakso
↑ 76'
10
J. Adarkwa
↑ 65' 🟨 90'
13
O. Moilanen
↑ 66'
14
V. Akerblom
↑ 83'
16
A. Vesa
77
J. Hirvinen
↑ 83'
Last matches: KPV-j
20.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Rops
1
1
D
11.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
TPV
1
3
L
02.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
FC jazz
1
0
W
13.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
JJK
2
3
L
05.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
KuPS Akatemia
1
4
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Inter Turku II
4
2
W
23.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
VJS
0
5
L
16.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Tampere United
0
6
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
SalPa
0
6
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
OLS
0
4
L
25.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Rops
0
7
L
20.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
FC jazz
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
TPV
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
PKKU
2
2
D
Last matches: PKKU
18.07.26
Ykk
PKKU
OLS
1
1
D
11.07.26
Ykk
PKKU
FC jazz
2
1
W
05.07.26
Ykk
PKKU
Rops
3
4
L
14.06.26
Ykk
PKKU
TPV
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
PKKU
JJK
3
1
W
29.05.26
Ykk
PKKU
KuPS Akatemia
3
0
W
24.05.26
Ykk
PKKU
Inter Turku II
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ykk
PKKU
Tampere United
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ykk
PKKU
SalPa
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
PKKU
OLS
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ykk
PKKU
Rops
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
PKKU
FC jazz
5
1
W
04.04.26
Ykk
PKKU
KPV-j
2
2
D
H2H: KPV-j vs PKKU
28.06.26
H2H
KPV-j
PKKU
1
3
L
04.04.26
H2H
PKKU
KPV-j
2
2
D
12.07.25
H2H
PKKU
KPV-j
3
1
L
19.04.25
H2H
KPV-j
PKKU
1
0
W
13.07.24
H2H
PKKU
KPV-j
4
5
W
04.05.24
H2H
KPV-j
PKKU
3
2
W
Last matches: KPV-j
20.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Rops
1
1
D
11.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
TPV
1
3
L
13.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
JJK
2
3
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Inter Turku II
4
2
W
16.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Tampere United
0
6
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
OLS
0
4
L
20.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
FC jazz
0
2
L
H2H at home: KPV-j
28.06.26
H2H
KPV-j
PKKU
1
3
L
19.04.25
H2H
KPV-j
PKKU
1
0
W
04.05.24
H2H
KPV-j
PKKU
3
2
W
Last matches: PKKU
05.07.26
Ykk
PKKU
Rops
3
4
L
06.06.26
Ykk
PKKU
JJK
3
1
W
24.05.26
Ykk
PKKU
Inter Turku II
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ykk
PKKU
Tampere United
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ykk
PKKU
OLS
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
PKKU
FC jazz
5
1
W
H2H away: PKKU
28.06.26
H2H
KPV-j
PKKU
1
3
W
19.04.25
H2H
KPV-j
PKKU
1
0
L
04.05.24
H2H
KPV-j
PKKU
3
2
L

Standings

Ykkonen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 1 3 29:9 20 34
W L W W W
2 15 8 5 2 31:16 15 29
D W W D W
3 15 7 5 3 31:25 6 26
W W D D W
4 16 7 4 5 40:29 11 25
L D L W W
5 16 6 5 5 30:23 7 23
D L L D L
6
PKKU Away
14 6 4 4 27:19 8 22
D W L W D
7 14 5 5 4 25:19 6 20
L W D W L
8 15 6 2 7 18:23 -5 17
W L L L D
9 15 4 4 7 19:25 -6 16
W W W L D
10 15 4 3 8 26:41 -15 15
L L W L D
11 15 2 3 10 25:37 -12 9
L D L D L
12
KPV-j Home
15 2 3 10 13:48 -35 9
D L W L L
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Ykkonen (Relegation Group)