FINLAND YKKöNEN
--.--.---- --:--
FT
2 - 3
Kokkolan keskuskentta
KPV-j
Match Timeline
JJK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
S. Osso
JJK
20'
A. Goljahanpoor
JJK
🔄
46'
N. Santalo ↔ P. Kytolaakso
KPV-j
53'
W. Wegye
KPV-j
🔄
57'
N. Liimatainen ↔ M. Lundell
JJK
61'
V. Valipakka
KPV-j
🟨
65'
O. Lansipaa
KPV-j
🔄
76'
J. Moilanen ↔ V. Akerblom
KPV-j
🔄
76'
O. Veikko ↔ A. Tolra
JJK
79'
A. Aaltonen
JJK
🔄
86'
V. Valipakka ↔ M. Aberg
KPV-j
🔄
89'
T. Pahkala ↔ B. Montonen
JJK
🔄
90+2'
O. Moilanen ↔ A. Vesa
KPV-j

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 82.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
82.3%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
KPV-j Win 12.1%
Draw 5.5%
JJK Win 82.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
KPV-j1.08
JJK2.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
KPV-j KPV-j
WWDLW
7 GF / 38 GA
JJK JJK
WLDWL
25 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.7
Average Goals Scored
1.79
3.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
3
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KPV-j KPV-j 10 matches
JJK JJK 14 matches
KPV-j Statistic JJK
1 Wins 5
2 Draws 5
7 Losses 4
7 Goals For 25
38 Goals Against 23
0.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.79
3.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
3 BTTS Yes 11
9 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 6
1 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by JJK's more proactive style and KPV-j's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward JJK. JJK carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 18 points while KPV-j sit 12 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward JJK having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

KPV-j Analysis

KPV-j sit 12 with 5 points after 10 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, while the 7:38 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on A. Arope (3 goals), V. Valipakka (3 goals), W. Wegye (1 goals), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

JJK Analysis

JJK arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 18 points after 11 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 21:18 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by A. Goljahanpoor (5 goals), A. Aaltonen (4 goals), S. Osso (3 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, KPV-j won 6 times, JJK won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:15 from KPV-j's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
H2H summary: KPV-j wins 6, draws 2, JJK wins 4

Lineups

JJK
Formation
KPV-j
L. Vetri
L. Vetri
B. Akdogan
B. Akdogan
S. Osso
S. Osso
A. Ciriaco
A. Ciriaco
T. Pahkala
T. Pahkala
A. Goljahanpoor
A. Goljahanpoor
J. Dunyin
J. Dunyin
N. Liimatainen
N. Liimatainen
O. Veikko
O. Veikko
A. Aaltonen
A. Aaltonen
J. Heimonen
J. Heimonen
F. Enqvist
F. Enqvist
D. Madut
D. Madut
V. Valipakka
V. Valipakka
W. Wegye
W. Wegye
N. Santalo
N. Santalo
O. Moilanen
O. Moilanen
J. Maenpaa
J. Maenpaa
O. Santalo
O. Santalo
J. Moilanen
J. Moilanen
A. Arope
A. Arope
O. Lansipaa
O. Lansipaa
JJK 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
L. Vetri
3
B. Akdogan
5
S. Osso
⚽ 9'
6
A. Ciriaco
8
T. Pahkala
↓ 89'
9
A. Goljahanpoor
⚽ 20'
10
J. Dunyin
19
N. Liimatainen
↓ 57'
25
O. Veikko
↓ 76'
35
A. Aaltonen
⚽ 79'
52
J. Heimonen
Substitutes
30
A. Oikarinen
4
V. Kangasniemi
7
B. Montonen
↑ 89'
11
E. Sainila
16
N. Patjas
17
P. U. Imonioro
23
V. Maunuksela
26
M. Lundell
↑ 57'
33
A. Tolra
↑ 76'
KPV-j 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
99
F. Enqvist
3
D. Madut
8
V. Valipakka
⚽ 61' ↓ 86'
9
W. Wegye
⚽ 53'
11
N. Santalo
↓ 46'
13
O. Moilanen
↓ 90+2'
20
J. Maenpaa
22
O. Santalo
44
J. Moilanen
↓ 76'
45
A. Arope
87
O. Lansipaa
🟨 65'
Substitutes
1
P. Kytolaakso
12
M. Vuotila
6
M. Aberg
↑ 86'
7
P. Kytolaakso
↑ 46'
14
V. Akerblom
↑ 76'
16
A. Vesa
↑ 90+2'
Last matches: KPV-j
20.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Rops
1
1
D
11.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
TPV
1
3
L
02.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
FC jazz
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
PKKU
1
3
L
05.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
KuPS Akatemia
1
4
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Inter Turku II
4
2
W
23.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
VJS
0
5
L
16.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Tampere United
0
6
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
SalPa
0
6
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
OLS
0
4
L
25.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Rops
0
7
L
20.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
FC jazz
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
TPV
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
PKKU
2
2
D
Last matches: JJK
18.07.26
Ykk
JJK
FC jazz
1
3
L
11.07.26
Ykk
JJK
KuPS Akatemia
4
4
D
05.07.26
Ykk
JJK
TPV
0
1
L
25.06.26
Ykk
JJK
Inter Turku II
11
1
W
06.06.26
Ykk
JJK
PKKU
1
3
L
02.06.26
Ykk
JJK
VJS
2
2
D
28.05.26
Ykk
JJK
OLS
1
0
W
22.05.26
Ykk
JJK
Tampere United
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ykk
JJK
SalPa
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ykk
JJK
OLS
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
JJK
Rops
3
3
D
25.04.26
Ykk
JJK
FC jazz
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
JJK
TPV
2
1
W
10.04.26
Ykk
JJK
KuPS Akatemia
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ykk
JJK
Inter Turku II
5
3
W
28.03.26
Fri
JJK
MP
1
1
D
24.01.26
Fri
JJK
JIPPO
1
2
L
18.01.26
Fri
JJK
TPV
2
2
D
H2H: KPV-j vs JJK
13.06.26
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
2
3
L
13.09.25
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
4
0
W
26.07.25
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
3
0
W
11.05.25
H2H
JJK
KPV-j
3
0
L
20.07.24
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
0
2
L
13.05.24
H2H
JJK
KPV-j
0
3
W
07.10.23
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
3
1
W
28.06.23
H2H
JJK
KPV-j
0
0
D
15.04.23
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
0
0
D
28.01.23
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
1
0
W
19.03.22
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
2
1
W
22.03.12
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
0
5
L
Last matches: KPV-j
20.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Rops
1
1
D
11.07.26
Ykk
KPV-j
TPV
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ykk
KPV-j
PKKU
1
3
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Inter Turku II
4
2
W
16.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
Tampere United
0
6
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KPV-j
OLS
0
4
L
20.04.26
Ykk
KPV-j
FC jazz
0
2
L
H2H at home: KPV-j
13.06.26
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
2
3
L
13.09.25
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
4
0
W
26.07.25
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
3
0
W
20.07.24
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
0
2
L
07.10.23
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
3
1
W
15.04.23
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
0
0
D
28.01.23
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
1
0
W
19.03.22
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
2
1
W
22.03.12
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
0
5
L
Last matches: JJK
05.07.26
Ykk
JJK
TPV
0
1
L
22.05.26
Ykk
JJK
Tampere United
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ykk
JJK
OLS
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ykk
JJK
FC jazz
2
0
W
10.04.26
Ykk
JJK
KuPS Akatemia
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ykk
JJK
Inter Turku II
5
3
W
28.03.26
Fri
JJK
MP
1
1
D
24.01.26
Fri
JJK
JIPPO
1
2
L
18.01.26
Fri
JJK
TPV
2
2
D
H2H away: JJK
13.06.26
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
2
3
W
13.09.25
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
4
0
L
26.07.25
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
3
0
L
20.07.24
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
0
2
W
07.10.23
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
3
1
L
15.04.23
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
0
0
D
28.01.23
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
1
0
L
19.03.22
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
2
1
L
22.03.12
H2H
KPV-j
JJK
0
5
W

Standings

Ykkonen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 1 3 29:9 20 34
W L W W W
2 15 8 5 2 31:16 15 29
D W W D W
3 15 7 5 3 31:25 6 26
W W D D W
4
JJK Away
16 7 4 5 40:29 11 25
L D L W W
5 16 6 5 5 30:23 7 23
D L L D L
6 14 6 4 4 27:19 8 22
D W L W D
7 14 5 5 4 25:19 6 20
L W D W L
8 15 6 2 7 18:23 -5 17
W L L L D
9 15 4 4 7 19:25 -6 16
W W W L D
10 15 4 3 8 26:41 -15 15
L L W L D
11 15 2 3 10 25:37 -12 9
L D L D L
12
KPV-j Home
15 2 3 10 13:48 -35 9
D L W L L
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Ykkonen (Relegation Group)