Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
74.7%
|
1.36 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.9%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
1.78 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.6%
|
1.26 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.60 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Korona Kielce
Raków Częstochowa
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Korona Kielce
16 matches
Raków Częstochowa
26 matches
| Korona Kielce | Statistic | Raków Częstochowa |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 9 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 3 | Losses | 11 |
| 19 | Goals For | 47 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.81 |
| 0.69 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.63 | Shots On Goal | 3.71 |
| 12.5 | Total Shots | 9.86 |
| 4.25 | Corners | 3.86 |
| 48% | Ball Possession | 42% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Korona Kielce's more proactive style and Raków Częstochowa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Raków Częstochowa. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Korona Kielce expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Raków Częstochowa in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Raków Częstochowa having the stronger overall control. Korona Kielce arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 9 points compared to Raków Częstochowa in 18 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Raków Częstochowa arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
Korona Kielce sit 9 with 9 points after 6 league matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 7:5 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Stępiński (3 goals), M. Faßbender (1 goals), O. Lingr (1 goals), with creative support from W. Długosz (3 assists), M. Remacle (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Raków Częstochowa sit 18 with 3 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 8:15, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through P. Makuch (4 goals), M. Emreli (2 goals), J. Jendryka (1 goals), with creative support from V. Kochergin (2 assists), M. Emreli (1 assists), Jean Carlos (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Korona Kielce won 3 times, Raków Częstochowa won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:18 from Korona Kielce's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 22 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:8 | 11 | 19 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 10 | 19 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 |
Korona Kielce
Home
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 15 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 13 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 12 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 12 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 9 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 8 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:20 | -13 | 8 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 6 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 6 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | -6 | 5 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 |
Raków Częstochowa
Away
|
9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12:21 | -9 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|