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POLAND › EKSTRAKLASA
24.10.2026 12:45
Exbud Arena

Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 63.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
63.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Korona Kielce Win 36.1%
Draw 18.6%
GKS Katowice Win 45.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Korona Kielce1.23
GKS Katowice1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
WWDLW
23 GF / 20 GA
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice
WLDWL
52 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.93
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
8
BTTS Yes
15
6
Over 2.5
18
4.2
Shots on Goal
4.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 19 matches
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 27 matches
Korona Kielce Statistic GKS Katowice
8 Wins 15
6 Draws 2
5 Losses 10
23 Goals For 52
20 Goals Against 34
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.93
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
8 BTTS Yes 15
14 Over 1.5 24
6 Over 2.5 18
4 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 6
4.2 Shots On Goal 4.13
13.9 Total Shots 12.07
4.8 Corners 3.87
47.8% Ball Possession 41.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between GKS Katowice's more proactive style and Korona Kielce's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring GKS Katowice. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Korona Kielce expected to line up in 4-5-1 and GKS Katowice in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward GKS Katowice having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Korona Kielce Analysis

Korona Kielce sit 8 with 15 points after 10 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 12:12 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Stępiński (6 goals), M. Faßbender (1 goals), O. Lingr (1 goals), with creative support from W. Długosz (4 assists), Kamil Jakubczyk (1 assists), M. Remacle (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

GKS Katowice Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 18 points from 10 games, GKS Katowice bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 22:15, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by I. Shkurin (8 goals), B. Nowak (4 goals), A. Jędrych (2 goals), with creative support from B. Nowak (6 assists), Borja Galán (3 assists), I. Shkurin (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Korona Kielce won 2 times, GKS Katowice won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Korona Kielce's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.4%)
Predicted formations: Korona Kielce 4-5-1 / GKS Katowice 3-4-3
H2H summary: Korona Kielce wins 2, draws 1, GKS Katowice wins 4

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 19:9 10 25
W D W W W
2 11 6 5 0 22:9 13 23
D W W D W
3 9 7 1 1 21:8 13 22
W W L W W
4 10 6 3 1 15:6 9 21
W W W W D
5 11 6 0 5 22:16 6 18
L W W W L
6 11 5 3 3 17:14 3 18
D L W W D
7 10 5 1 4 18:16 2 16
W L W W W
8 10 4 3 3 12:12 0 15
L W L W D
9 10 4 3 3 12:13 -1 15
L L W W D
10 9 4 0 5 13:16 -3 12
L L L W L
11 11 3 3 5 13:16 -3 12
D W L L L
12 11 3 3 5 15:19 -4 12
W W D L L
13 9 3 2 4 9:15 -6 11
L W W D L
14 11 1 7 3 14:15 -1 10
D L D D D
15 11 2 2 7 16:21 -5 8
L L W D L
16 10 2 2 6 9:23 -14 8
L L L D W
17 11 1 3 7 14:22 -8 6
L L L L L
18 11 2 0 9 15:26 -11 6
W L L L W
Qualifying
EL Qualification
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