FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
11.09.2026 15:30
Arto Tolsa Areena

Kooteepee vs JäPS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.3%
Odds 1.37
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.46
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.3%
1.37
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
1.46
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.12
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Kooteepee Win 82.3%
Draw 4.9%
JäPS Win 12.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kooteepee1.56
JäPS0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kooteepee Kooteepee
WWDLW
41 GF / 23 GA
JäPS JäPS
WLDWL
26 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
0.96
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
12
BTTS Yes
8
11
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kooteepee Kooteepee 24 matches
JäPS JäPS 27 matches
Kooteepee Statistic JäPS
17 Wins 13
4 Draws 2
3 Losses 12
41 Goals For 26
23 Goals Against 36
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 0.96
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
12 BTTS Yes 8
15 Over 1.5 16
11 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 5
10 Clean Sheets 11
3 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Kooteepee's more proactive style and JäPS's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward JäPS. Kooteepee arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 48 points compared to JäPS in 5 on 29, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Kooteepee come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward JäPS having the stronger overall control.

Kooteepee Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 48 points from 21 games, Kooteepee bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 15 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 36:21, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

JäPS Analysis

With 29 points from 21 games and a place of 5, JäPS still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 18:29, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kooteepee won 8 times, JäPS won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:13 from Kooteepee's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
H2H summary: Kooteepee wins 8, draws 4, JäPS wins 3

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 3 3 38:21 17 51
W W W W W
2 22 13 6 3 37:14 23 45
D W W D W
3 22 12 4 6 41:24 17 40
L L W W W
4 22 10 7 5 29:19 10 37
L W W L L
5
JäPS Away
22 10 2 10 21:31 -10 32
W D L L W
6 22 8 3 11 26:33 -7 27
D L L W W
7 22 7 3 12 24:33 -9 24
W L L L L
8 22 4 8 10 27:31 -4 20
D W W D L
9 22 4 6 12 23:37 -14 18
D D L L L
10 22 2 6 14 13:36 -23 12
L L L W L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen