NORWAY 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Gjemselund Stadion
Referee: M. Kellerhals
Kongsvinger
Match Timeline
Stromsgodset
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
S. Pingel · Assist: H. Stengel
Stromsgodset
26'
R. Christiansen · Assist: M. Flores
Kongsvinger
28'
S. Pingel · Assist: K. Antonsen
Stromsgodset
46'
M. Sande · Assist: D. Job
Kongsvinger
🟨
51'
L. Langrekken
Kongsvinger
54'
J. Taaje · Assist: K. Antonsen
Stromsgodset
57'
L. Langrekken · Assist: D. Job
Kongsvinger
62'
V. Fors · Assist: M. Flores
Kongsvinger
🔄
65'
E. Melkersen ↔ O. Enersen
Stromsgodset
🔄
65'
K. Antonsen ↔ M. Mehnert
Stromsgodset
🔄
65'
L. Vilsvik ↔ G. Wikheim
Stromsgodset
🔄
66'
E. Nielsen ↔ D. Lysgard
Kongsvinger
🔄
72'
F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa ↔ M. Spiten
Stromsgodset
🔄
73'
M. Flores ↔ V. Lysell
Kongsvinger
🔄
73'
R. Christiansen ↔ P. Udnaes
Kongsvinger
78'
S. Pingel · Assist: K. Krasniqi
Stromsgodset
🟨
83'
D. Lysgard
Kongsvinger
🔄
90'
S. Pingel ↔ A. Heredia-Randen
Stromsgodset

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.4%
Odds 2.63
0 agree / 1 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.33
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.36
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.4%
2.63
BTTS Yes
75%
1.33
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.36
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.04
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Kongsvinger Win 56.4%
Draw 7.4%
Stromsgodset Win 36.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kongsvinger1.95
Stromsgodset2.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kongsvinger Kongsvinger
WWDLW
41 GF / 27 GA
Stromsgodset Stromsgodset
WLDWL
46 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
2.16
Average Goals Scored
2.42
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
15
BTTS Yes
12
15
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 19 matches
Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 19 matches
Kongsvinger Statistic Stromsgodset
12 Wins 9
4 Draws 5
3 Losses 5
41 Goals For 46
27 Goals Against 31
2.16 Avg Goals Scored 2.42
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
15 BTTS Yes 12
19 Over 1.5 18
15 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Stromsgodset having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Stromsgodset. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Kongsvinger Analysis

Kongsvinger come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 23 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, while the 23:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on D. Job (5 goals), L. Langrekken (5 goals), A. Dybevik (3 goals), with creative support from L. Langrekken (3 assists), A. Dybevik (3 assists), D. Job (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Stromsgodset Analysis

Stromsgodset come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 23 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, while the 26:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on S. Pingel (9 goals), H. Stengel (5 goals), F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa (4 goals), with creative support from V. Dedes (5 assists), H. Stengel (2 assists), M. Mehnert (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Kongsvinger won 0 times, Stromsgodset won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:6 from Kongsvinger's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.6%)
H2H summary: Kongsvinger wins 0, draws 2, Stromsgodset wins 0

Lineups

Kongsvinger
Formation
Stromsgodset
A. Gorodovoy
A. Gorodovoy
V. Fors
V. Fors
S. Norheim
S. Norheim
M. Mbow
M. Mbow
E. Nielsen
E. Nielsen
M. Flores
🎯
M. Flores
F. Christensen
F. Christensen
M. Sande
M. Sande
R. Christiansen
R. Christiansen
L. Langrekken
L. Langrekken
D. Job
🎯
D. Job
M. Lamhauge
M. Lamhauge
L. Vilsvik
L. Vilsvik
J. Taaje
J. Taaje
G. Valsvik
G. Valsvik
V. Dedes
V. Dedes
K. Krasniqi
🎯
K. Krasniqi
K. Antonsen
🎯
K. Antonsen
F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa
F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa
H. Stengel
🎯
H. Stengel
E. Melkersen
E. Melkersen
S. Pingel
⚽ 3
S. Pingel
Kongsvinger 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
93
A. Gorodovoy
2
V. Fors
⚽ 62'
3
S. Norheim
12
M. Mbow
19
E. Nielsen
↓ 66'
18
M. Flores
🎯 26' 🎯 62' ↓ 73'
23
F. Christensen
27
M. Sande
⚽ 46'
28
R. Christiansen
⚽ 26' ↓ 73'
22
L. Langrekken
⚽ 57' 🟨 51'
11
D. Job
🎯 46' 🎯 57'
Substitutes
1
W. Da Rocha
5
D. Lysgard
↑ 66' 🟨 83'
7
E. Pajic
15
V. Lysell
↑ 73'
16
P. Udnaes
↑ 73'
21
A. Chaminta
29
P. Fjellman
43
A. Wilhelmsen
Stromsgodset 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Lamhauge
26
L. Vilsvik
↓ 65'
25
J. Taaje
⚽ 54'
71
G. Valsvik
3
V. Dedes
8
K. Krasniqi
🎯 78'
22
K. Antonsen
🎯 28' 🎯 54' ↓ 65'
16
F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa
↓ 72'
10
H. Stengel
🎯 13'
9
E. Melkersen
↓ 65'
11
S. Pingel
⚽ 13' ⚽ 28' ⚽ 78' ↓ 90'
Substitutes
12
S. Lampinen-Skaug
5
B. Sormo
14
O. Enersen
↑ 65'
15
A. Heredia-Randen
↑ 90'
37
S. A. Marcello Silalahi
39
M. Spiten
↑ 72'
47
S. Andresen
77
M. Mehnert
↑ 65'
80
G. Wikheim
↑ 65'
Last matches: Kongsvinger
14.06.26
1.
Kongsvinger
hodd
2
1
W
31.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Asane
3
1
W
25.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Stabaek
0
2
L
20.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
ODD Ballklubb
4
2
W
16.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Lyn
3
0
W
08.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Ranheim
1
1
D
01.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Egersund
2
1
W
25.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Strommen
2
2
D
18.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Moss
2
1
W
13.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Raufoss
3
1
W
07.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Bryne
3
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Hammarby FF
3
3
D
21.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Stabaek
3
2
W
18.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Grorud
2
1
W
14.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Strommen
1
3
L
24.02.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Lillestrom
4
2
W
21.02.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Haugesund
2
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
KFUM Oslo
1
1
D
06.02.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Ham-Kam
0
2
L
Last matches: Stromsgodset
14.06.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Raufoss
6
1
W
31.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Egersund
5
0
W
25.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Bryne
1
0
W
20.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Moss
1
1
D
16.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Ranheim
5
4
W
10.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Asane
3
0
W
01.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Strommen
3
0
W
26.04.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Sandnes ULF
1
1
D
18.04.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Sogndal
3
0
W
11.04.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Haugesund
2
4
L
05.04.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Stabaek
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Sandefjord
2
2
D
20.03.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Hønefoss
3
1
W
13.03.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Mjondalen
1
1
D
07.03.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Valerenga
3
4
L
28.02.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
KFUM Oslo
0
3
L
18.02.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
0
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Lillestrom
4
4
D
27.01.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Polessya
1
2
L
H2H: Kongsvinger vs Stromsgodset
21.06.26
H2H
Kongsvinger
Stromsgodset
4
4
D
18.02.23
H2H
Kongsvinger
Stromsgodset
2
2
D
Last matches: Kongsvinger
31.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Asane
3
1
W
20.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
ODD Ballklubb
4
2
W
01.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Egersund
2
1
W
18.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Moss
2
1
W
07.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Bryne
3
0
W
18.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Grorud
2
1
W
14.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Strommen
1
3
L
H2H at home: Kongsvinger
21.06.26
H2H
Kongsvinger
Stromsgodset
4
4
D
18.02.23
H2H
Kongsvinger
Stromsgodset
2
2
D
Last matches: Stromsgodset
31.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Egersund
5
0
W
20.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Moss
1
1
D
10.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Asane
3
0
W
26.04.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Sandnes ULF
1
1
D
11.04.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Haugesund
2
4
L
07.03.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Valerenga
3
4
L
28.02.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
KFUM Oslo
0
3
L
18.02.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
0
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Lillestrom
4
4
D
27.01.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Polessya
1
2
L
H2H away: Stromsgodset
21.06.26
H2H
Kongsvinger
Stromsgodset
4
4
D
18.02.23
H2H
Kongsvinger
Stromsgodset
2
2
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.35
Draw 4.04
Home 2.63
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.80
Draw 2.65
Home 3.09
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 2.5 1.36
Over 3.0 1.51
Over 3.25 1.69
Over 3.5 1.87
Over 3.75 2.07
Over 4.0 2.40
Over 4.25 2.52
Over 4.5 2.93
Over 5.5 5.20
Under 1.5 6.96
Under 2.5 3.12
Under 3.0 2.56
Under 3.25 2.18
Under 3.5 1.94
Under 3.75 1.76
Under 4.0 1.57
Under 4.25 1.51
Under 4.5 1.40
Under 5.5 1.16
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.30
Draw 3.90
Home 2.60
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.62
Home 3.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.50
Draw 2.88
Home 2.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 2.5 1.36
Over 3.5 1.83
Over 4.5 3.00
Over 5.5 5.50
Over 6.5 11.00
Over 7.5 19.00
Over 8.5 41.00
Under 0.5 26.00
Under 1.5 7.00
Under 2.5 3.10
Under 3.5 1.83
Under 4.5 1.36
Under 5.5 1.14
Under 6.5 1.05
Under 7.5 1.02
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.31
Draw 3.94
Home 2.55
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.69
Draw 2.51
Home 2.94
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.50
Draw 2.92
Home 2.71
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.5 1.04
Over 1.75 1.06
Over 2.0 1.07
Over 2.25 1.19
Over 2.5 1.29
Over 2.75 1.38
Over 3.0 1.45
Over 3.25 1.67
Over 3.5 1.86
Over 3.75 2.03
Over 4.0 2.33
Over 4.25 2.60
Over 4.5 2.83
Over 4.75 3.36
Over 5.0 4.33
Over 5.25 4.65
Over 5.5 4.95
Over 6.0 8.60
Over 6.5 11.00
Over 7.5 19.00
Over 8.5 41.00
Under 0.5 19.00
Under 1.0 13.50
Under 1.5 6.85
Under 1.75 6.39
Under 2.0 5.80
Under 2.25 3.92
Under 2.5 3.04
Under 2.75 2.78
Under 3.0 2.46
Under 3.25 2.13
Under 3.5 1.89
Under 3.75 1.69
Under 4.0 1.50
Under 4.25 1.41
Under 4.5 1.33
Under 4.75 1.25
Under 5.0 1.14
Under 5.25 1.12
Under 5.5 1.11
Under 6.0 1.01
Under 6.5 1.05
Under 7.5 1.02
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.43
Draw 3.75
Home 2.45
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.85
Draw 2.60
Home 2.85
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.60
Draw 2.95
Home 2.65
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.09
Over 2.0 1.12
Over 2.5 1.35
Over 2.75 1.42
Over 3.0 1.52
Over 3.5 1.90
Over 4.0 2.50
Over 4.25 2.75
Over 4.5 3.05
Over 5.0 4.60
Over 5.25 4.90
Over 5.5 5.10
Under 1.5 5.80
Under 2.0 5.10
Under 2.5 2.88
Under 2.75 2.60
Under 3.0 2.33
Under 3.5 1.79
Under 4.0 1.46
Under 4.25 1.38
Under 4.5 1.32
Under 5.0 1.15
Under 5.25 1.13
Under 5.5 1.12

Standings

OBOS-ligaen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 3 1 36:16 20 27
D W W W D
2 12 8 3 1 29:16 13 27
D W W L W
3 12 8 1 3 36:23 13 25
L W W W W
4 12 7 2 3 24:14 10 23
D L W W L
5 12 6 3 3 25:14 11 21
L W D W D
6 12 6 2 4 32:26 6 20
W L D W L
7 12 5 2 5 21:26 -5 17
L W D L D
8 12 5 1 6 18:19 -1 16
W W L W L
9 12 5 1 6 19:21 -2 16
W L L L D
10 12 5 1 6 18:20 -2 16
W W W L L
11 12 4 3 5 14:15 -1 15
D L L W L
12 12 3 3 6 20:29 -9 12
L L W L D
13 12 3 1 8 16:28 -12 10
W L L L W
14 12 3 1 8 10:24 -14 10
L L L W D
15 12 3 1 8 15:24 -9 9
L W L W W
16 12 2 2 8 15:33 -18 8
W L D L L
Promotion - Eliteserien
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)
Relegation