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NORWAY › 1. DIVISION
18.10.2026 15:00
Gjemselund Stadion

Kongsvinger vs Sandnes ULF Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Kongsvinger Win 78.7%
Draw 3.8%
Sandnes ULF Win 17.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kongsvinger2.35
Sandnes ULF1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kongsvinger Kongsvinger
WWDLW
93 GF / 57 GA
Sandnes ULF Sandnes ULF
WLDWL
51 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
2.74
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.68
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
28
BTTS Yes
18
27
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 34 matches
Sandnes ULF Sandnes ULF 33 matches
Kongsvinger Statistic Sandnes ULF
21 Wins 10
7 Draws 8
6 Losses 15
93 Goals For 51
57 Goals Against 58
2.74 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.76
28 BTTS Yes 18
33 Over 1.5 29
27 Over 2.5 17
19 Over 3.5 12
4 Clean Sheets 8
2 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Kongsvinger's more proactive style and Sandnes ULF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Kongsvinger arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 53 points compared to Sandnes ULF in 12 on 25, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Sandnes ULF. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sandnes ULF having the stronger overall control.

Kongsvinger Analysis

Kongsvinger approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 53 points after 24 outings. The return of 16 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 70:35, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Sandnes ULF Analysis

Sandnes ULF are currently 12 in the standings with 25 points from 24 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses, while the 35:45 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kongsvinger won 11 times, Sandnes ULF won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 36:12 from Kongsvinger's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
H2H summary: Kongsvinger wins 11, draws 1, Sandnes ULF wins 3

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 17 5 3 76:37 39 56
W W W D W
2 25 18 2 5 75:40 35 56
D W W W W
3 25 16 6 3 66:32 34 54
W W W W D
4 25 14 4 7 59:33 26 46
D L W L L
5 25 12 6 7 52:39 13 42
W W W L D
6 25 12 2 11 34:33 1 38
L W W W L
7 25 10 4 11 41:51 -10 34
L L L L D
8 25 9 5 11 39:50 -11 32
W L L D D
9 25 9 4 12 63:64 -1 31
L W W D D
10 26 8 6 12 46:58 -12 30
W D D L D
11 25 8 4 13 40:54 -14 28
L L L W D
12 25 8 4 13 40:55 -15 28
W L W L W
13 25 7 5 13 36:46 -10 26
D D L L D
14 24 6 5 13 39:55 -16 23
L L D L L
15 26 6 5 15 37:60 -23 23
L W L L D
16 24 6 1 17 27:63 -36 19
L L W L L
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