NORWAY 1. DIVISION
05.09.2026 14:00
Gjemselund Stadion
Referee: H. Sletner
Kongsvinger
Match Timeline
Raufoss
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
A. Dybevik · Assist: F. Christensen
Kongsvinger
23'
A. Dybevik · Assist: G. Johnson
Kongsvinger
35'
R. Christiansen · Assist: M. Sande
Kongsvinger
51'
F. Christensen · Assist: G. Johnson
Kongsvinger
🔄
55'
G. Johnson ↔ V. Lysell
Kongsvinger
🔄
55'
R. Christiansen ↔ M. Flores
Kongsvinger
🔄
57'
H. Karlsen ↔ A. Rogulj
Raufoss
🔄
57'
E. Sildnes ↔ U. Danbolt
Raufoss
🔄
57'
Y. Agyeman ↔ M. Camara
Raufoss
59'
M. Flores · Assist: F. Christensen
Kongsvinger
61'
V. Fors · Assist: A. Dybevik
Kongsvinger
64'
A. Dybevik
Kongsvinger
🔄
68'
M. Mbow ↔ A. Hansen
Kongsvinger
🔄
68'
M. Gjerstrom ↔ E. Nielsen
Kongsvinger
70'
A. Rogulj · Assist: U. Danbolt
Raufoss
🔄
71'
S. Coulibaly ↔ J. Dalen Korsaksel
Raufoss
73'
M. Flores
Kongsvinger
🔄
82'
A. Chaminta ↔ L. Hovland
Kongsvinger
83'
E. Gartig
Kongsvinger
🔄
84'
R. Zekhnini ↔ N. Fremstad
Raufoss

Kongsvinger vs Raufoss Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 86.1%
Odds 1.24
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.19
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
86.1%
1.24
BTTS Yes
86%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.19
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.78
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.67
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Kongsvinger Win 86.1%
Draw 4.5%
Raufoss Win 9.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kongsvinger2.3
Raufoss1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kongsvinger Kongsvinger
WWDLW
69 GF / 47 GA
Raufoss Raufoss
WLDWL
42 GF / 60 GA
Key Stats
2.46
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.68
Average Goals Conceded
2.07
23
BTTS Yes
17
23
Over 2.5
21
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 28 matches
Raufoss Raufoss 29 matches
Kongsvinger Statistic Raufoss
17 Wins 10
6 Draws 4
5 Losses 15
69 Goals For 42
47 Goals Against 60
2.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.68 Avg Goals Conceded 2.07
23 BTTS Yes 17
27 Over 1.5 25
23 Over 2.5 21
15 Over 3.5 11
3 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Kongsvinger's more proactive style and Raufoss's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Raufoss. Kongsvinger come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Raufoss having the stronger overall control. Kongsvinger arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 42 points compared to Raufoss in 16 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Kongsvinger Analysis

Kongsvinger approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 42 points after 19 outings. With 13 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 49:28, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Raufoss Analysis

With 16 points from 19 games and a place of 16, Raufoss still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 23:46, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kongsvinger won 6 times, Raufoss won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:21 from Kongsvinger's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
H2H summary: Kongsvinger wins 6, draws 6, Raufoss wins 3

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 1 5 72:39 33 52
W W W W W
2 23 15 5 3 68:35 33 50
W D W D W
3 23 14 6 3 60:31 29 48
W W D W W
4 23 14 3 6 57:29 28 45
W L L L W
5 23 10 6 7 47:36 11 36
W L D W L
6 23 11 2 10 32:31 1 35
W W L L W
7 23 10 4 9 38:45 -7 34
L L D W L
8 23 8 5 10 36:44 -8 29
L D D D L
9 23 8 4 11 56:58 -2 28
W D D L L
10 23 8 4 11 39:48 -9 28
L W D D W
11 23 7 4 12 38:52 -14 25
W L W L D
12 23 7 4 12 35:52 -17 25
L D W W W
13 23 7 3 13 32:42 -10 24
L L D W L
14 23 6 5 12 38:53 -15 23
L D L L D
15 23 5 5 13 34:52 -18 20
L D D D L
16 23 6 1 16 26:61 -35 19
L W L L L
Promotion
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