NORWAY 1. DIVISION
20.09.2026 15:00
Gjemselund Stadion
Referee: A. Al Fahad

Kongsvinger vs hodd Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.8%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.23
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.8%
1.28
BTTS Yes
88%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.23
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
2.04
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.73
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Kongsvinger Win 66.8%
Draw 3.8%
hodd Win 29.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kongsvinger2.29
hodd1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kongsvinger Kongsvinger
WWDLW
79 GF / 49 GA
hodd hodd
WLDWL
41 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
2.63
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.79
25
BTTS Yes
17
24
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 30 matches
hodd hodd 29 matches
Kongsvinger Statistic hodd
18 Wins 12
7 Draws 5
5 Losses 12
79 Goals For 41
49 Goals Against 52
2.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.79
25 BTTS Yes 17
29 Over 1.5 22
24 Over 2.5 17
16 Over 3.5 12
3 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Kongsvinger's more proactive style and hodd's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Kongsvinger come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Kongsvinger arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 46 points compared to hodd in 5 on 34, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors hodd. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward hodd having the stronger overall control.

Kongsvinger Analysis

Kongsvinger come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 46 points after 21 matches. With 14 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 62:33, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the split of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

hodd Analysis

hodd come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 34 points after 21 matches. They have recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a 37:38 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Kongsvinger won 5 times, hodd won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:9 from Kongsvinger's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.44 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
H2H summary: Kongsvinger wins 5, draws 2, hodd wins 2

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 1 5 68:37 31 49
W W W W L
2 22 14 5 3 63:34 29 47
D W D W W
3 22 13 6 3 58:31 27 45
W D W W W
4 22 13 3 6 55:28 27 42
L L L W W
5 23 11 2 10 32:31 1 35
W W L L W
6
hodd Away
22 10 4 8 37:40 -3 34
L D W L W
7 22 9 6 7 42:35 7 33
L D W L L
8 22 8 5 9 35:39 -4 29
D D D L L
9 22 8 4 10 38:44 -6 28
W D D W W
10 22 7 4 11 52:57 -5 25
D D L L L
11 22 7 4 11 33:48 -15 25
D W W W L
12 22 7 3 12 31:40 -9 24
L D W L L
13 22 6 5 11 37:51 -14 23
D L L D W
14 22 6 4 12 36:51 -15 22
L W L D L
15 23 5 5 13 34:52 -18 20
L D D D L
16 22 6 1 15 26:59 -33 19
W L L L L
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