TURKEY SüPER LIG
18.04.2026 14:00
Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu
Referee: A. Yilmaz
Kocaelispor
Match Timeline
Göztepe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
Janderson · Assist: E. Bekiroglu
Göztepe
VAR
4'
Janderson
Göztepe
🟨
25'
Janderson
Göztepe
🔄
26'
O. Bayrak ↔ A. Kurtulan
Göztepe
🟨
45+3'
Arda Kurtulan
Göztepe
🟨
49'
Massadio Haidara
Kocaelispor
🟨
52'
Show
Kocaelispor
🟨
64'
Anthony Junior Dennis
Göztepe
🔄
64'
R. Rivas ↔ S. Dursun
Kocaelispor
🔄
72'
E. Bekiroglu ↔ A. Antunes
Göztepe
🔄
72'
A. Dennis ↔ M. Mohammed
Göztepe
🔄
74'
T. Bingol ↔ D. Churlinov
Kocaelispor
🟨
77'
Show
Kocaelispor
🟥
77'
Show
Kocaelispor
🔄
78'
Juan Santos ↔ Guilherme Luiz
Göztepe
🔄
78'
Janderson ↔ Jeh
Göztepe
🟨
86'
Guilherme Luiz
Göztepe
🟨
89'
Karol Linetty
Kocaelispor
🔄
89'
A. Oguz ↔ M. Susoho
Kocaelispor
🔄
89'
H. Keita ↔ K. Linetty
Kocaelispor
🟨
90+1'
Darko Churlinov
Kocaelispor
VAR
90+5'
Karol Linetty
Kocaelispor
🟨
90+7'
Héliton
Göztepe
🟨
90+4'
Alexis Antunes
Göztepe
🟨
90+2'
Novatus Miroshi
Göztepe
90'
S. Dursun
Kocaelispor

Kocaelispor vs Göztepe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 75.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 67.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
75.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
67.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Kocaelispor Win 37.2%
Draw 24.2%
Göztepe Win 38.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kocaelispor0.86
Göztepe1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor
WWDLW
24 GF / 33 GA
Göztepe Göztepe
WLDWL
36 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
11
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
12
3.1
Shots on Goal
4.52

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 29 matches
Göztepe Göztepe 29 matches
Kocaelispor Statistic Göztepe
9 Wins 12
8 Draws 11
12 Losses 6
24 Goals For 36
33 Goals Against 26
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
11 BTTS Yes 12
17 Over 1.5 19
9 Over 2.5 12
4 Over 3.5 6
10 Clean Sheets 15
12 Failed To Score 8
3.1 Shots On Goal 4.52
10.17 Total Shots 13.76
4.1 Corners 4.62
48% Ball Possession 38.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Göztepe's more proactive style and Kocaelispor's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Kocaelispor expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Göztepe in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Göztepe having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Göztepe.

Kocaelispor Analysis

Kocaelispor sit 10 with 35 points after 29 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses, while the 24:33 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on B. Petkovic (7 goals), Serdar Dursun (5 goals), Tayfur Bingöl (5 goals), with creative support from D. Churlinov (3 assists), Tayfur Bingöl (2 assists), H. Keita (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with A. Jovanovic, M. Cinan, R. Rivas unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Göztepe Analysis

So far, Göztepe have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 47 points from 29 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 11 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 36:26 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Juan (9 goals), Janderson (5 goals), J. Olaitan (4 goals), with creative support from Juan (4 assists), A. Cherni (4 assists), Janderson (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with I. Koybasi, M. Bokele, F. Bayir, E. Komur, I. Malak unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Kocaelispor won 2 times, Göztepe won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Kocaelispor's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.8%)
Predicted formations: Kocaelispor 4-3-3 / Göztepe 3-4-1-2
Missing players: Kocaelispor 4, Göztepe 5
H2H summary: Kocaelispor wins 2, draws 2, Göztepe wins 0

Standings

Super Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 5 5 77:30 47 77
L W L W W
2 34 21 11 2 77:37 40 74
D W W L D
3 34 20 9 5 61:39 22 69
L W D L D
4 34 17 9 8 59:40 19 60
D L W D L
5 34 16 9 9 58:35 23 57
W W L W D
6 34 14 13 7 42:32 10 55
L W D W D
7 34 13 12 9 46:45 1 51
W L W W W
8 34 10 11 13 46:52 -6 41
D L W L D
9 34 10 10 14 43:50 -7 40
L L L W W
10 34 9 10 15 26:38 -12 37
L L D L D
11 34 7 16 11 41:41 0 37
L W D L L
12 34 9 10 15 43:58 -15 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 33:49 -16 35
W L D L W
14 34 9 7 18 36:47 -11 34
W W L W L
15 34 8 9 17 33:48 -15 33
D W D W W
16 34 8 8 18 33:55 -22 32
W L D L L
17 34 6 12 16 27:62 -35 30
W L D W L
18 34 8 6 20 31:54 -23 30
W W W D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation