Login Register
21.11.2026 16:00
Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu

Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahçe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 77.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
77.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Kocaelispor Win 22.6%
Draw 28.7%
Fenerbahçe Win 48.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kocaelispor1.14
Fenerbahçe1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor
W D W W L
8 GF / 3 GA
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
W W L L D
12 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
2.24
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
12
5
Over 2.5
16
4.55
Shots on Goal
6.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 13 matches
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 25 matches
Kocaelispor Statistic Fenerbahçe
7 Wins 15
1 Draws 5
5 Losses 5
16 Goals For 56
11 Goals Against 25
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 2.24
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 12
10 Over 1.5 22
5 Over 2.5 16
0 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 12
4 Failed To Score 2
4.55 Shots On Goal 6.1
12.82 Total Shots 15.33
4 Corners 5.29
48.9% Ball Possession 54%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Fenerbahçe.

Kocaelispor Analysis

So far, Kocaelispor have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 19 points from 11 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 13:9 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Berkan Kutlu (4 goals), Dan Agyei (2 goals), Show (1 goals), with creative support from Gonçalo Sousa (2 assists), Rigoberto Rivas (2 assists), Berkan Kutlu (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Fenerbahçe Analysis

Fenerbahçe sit 6 with 19 points after 11 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 29:10 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Vedat Muriqi (7 goals), Mason Greenwood (6 goals), İrfan Can Kahveci (5 goals), with creative support from Oğuz Aydın (5 assists), Kerem Aktürkoğlu (4 assists), İrfan Can Kahveci (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Kocaelispor won 0 times, Fenerbahçe won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:5 from Kocaelispor's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (77.4%)
Predicted formations: Kocaelispor 4-2-3-1 / Fenerbahçe 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Kocaelispor wins 0, draws 0, Fenerbahçe wins 2

Standings

Süper Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 9 1 1 27:15 12 28
W W W W W
2 11 8 1 2 26:8 18 25
W W W W W
3 11 7 2 2 28:15 13 23
L W W W D
4 11 7 1 3 23:12 11 22
W D W L W
5 11 5 5 1 17:11 6 20
W D W W L
6 11 6 1 4 29:10 19 19
W L L W W
7 11 6 1 4 13:9 4 19
W D W L L
8 11 5 2 4 19:17 2 17
W W L W D
9 11 5 1 5 21:21 0 16
L W L W W
10 11 4 3 4 22:19 3 15
L W W W W
11 11 4 2 5 13:16 -3 14
W D L L L
12 11 4 2 5 10:17 -7 14
L L W W D
13 11 3 3 5 9:18 -9 12
L L L L D
14 11 3 2 6 12:21 -9 11
L W L L D
15 11 2 2 7 6:14 -8 8
L L W L D
16 11 2 2 7 9:19 -10 8
L L L L L
17 11 2 1 8 11:26 -15 7
W L L L L
18 11 1 0 10 3:30 -27 3
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig