Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
90.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
50%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
72.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Kocaelispor
Fatih Karagümrük
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Kocaelispor
32 matches
Fatih Karagümrük
32 matches
| Kocaelispor | Statistic | Fatih Karagümrük |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 6 |
| 10 | Draws | 6 |
| 13 | Losses | 20 |
| 26 | Goals For | 28 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 53 |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.88 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.66 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 2.97 | Shots On Goal | 3.28 |
| 10.25 | Total Shots | 10.66 |
| 4.22 | Corners | 3.69 |
| 48.9% | Ball Possession | 45.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Fatih Karagümrük. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Kocaelispor arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 10 with 37 points compared to Fatih Karagümrük in 18 on 24, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Kocaelispor expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Fatih Karagümrük in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fatih Karagümrük having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Kocaelispor sit 10 with 37 points after 32 league matches. The record of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 26:36 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through B. Petkovic (7 goals), Serdar Dursun (6 goals), D. Agyei (5 goals), with creative support from D. Churlinov (3 assists), Serdar Dursun (2 assists), Tayfur Bingöl (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Fatih Karagümrük approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 24 points from 32 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 20 losses, together with goals at 28:53, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Serginho (8 goals), D. D. Fofana (6 goals), A. Cinar (3 goals), with creative support from Tiago Çukur (3 assists), D. Johnson (3 assists), D. Verde (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Kocaelispor won 1 times, Fatih Karagümrük won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:8 from Kocaelispor's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Kocaelispor
0
1
8
4
0
1
Lineups
Kocaelispor
Antalyaspor
Kocaelispor
Kasımpaşa
Kocaelispor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kocaelispor
Göztepe
Kocaelispor
Galatasaray
Kocaelispor
Başakşehir
Kocaelispor
Alanyaspor
Kocaelispor
Konyaspor
Kocaelispor
Eyüpspor
Kocaelispor
Beşiktaş
Kocaelispor
Rizespor
Kocaelispor
Gaziantep FK
Kocaelispor
Kayserispor
Kocaelispor
Fenerbahçe
Kocaelispor
Samsunspor
Kocaelispor
Trabzonspor
Kocaelispor
Kasımpaşa
Kocaelispor
Antalyaspor
Kocaelispor
Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor
Kasımpaşa
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Fatih Karagümrük
Beşiktaş
Fatih Karagümrük
Eyüpspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Konyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Rizespor
Fatih Karagümrük
Kayserispor
Fatih Karagümrük
Fenerbahçe
Fatih Karagümrük
Gaziantep FK
Fatih Karagümrük
Trabzonspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Samsunspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Kasımpaşa
Fatih Karagümrük
Antalyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Göztepe
Fatih Karagümrük
Galatasaray
Fatih Karagümrük
Başakşehir
Fatih Karagümrük
Petrolul Ploiesti
Fatih Karagümrük
Universitatea Cluj
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor
Göztepe
Kocaelispor
Başakşehir
Kocaelispor
Konyaspor
Kocaelispor
Beşiktaş
Kocaelispor
Gaziantep FK
Kocaelispor
Fenerbahçe
Kocaelispor
Trabzonspor
Kocaelispor
Antalyaspor
Kocaelispor
Kasımpaşa
Kocaelispor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Kocaelispor
Galatasaray
Kocaelispor
Alanyaspor
Kocaelispor
Eyüpspor
Kocaelispor
Rizespor
Kocaelispor
Kayserispor
Kocaelispor
Samsunspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Beşiktaş
Fatih Karagümrük
Konyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Kayserispor
Fatih Karagümrük
Gaziantep FK
Fatih Karagümrük
Trabzonspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Kasımpaşa
Fatih Karagümrük
Göztepe
Fatih Karagümrük
Başakşehir
Fatih Karagümrük
Alanyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Fatih Karagümrük
Eyüpspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Rizespor
Fatih Karagümrük
Fenerbahçe
Fatih Karagümrük
Samsunspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Antalyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Galatasaray
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77:30 | 47 | 77 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 77:37 | 40 | 74 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 61:39 | 22 | 69 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 59:40 | 19 | 60 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58:35 | 23 | 57 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 42:32 | 10 | 55 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 46:45 | 1 | 51 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 40 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 |
Kocaelispor
Home
|
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 26:38 | -12 | 37 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
| 11 | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 37 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43:58 | -15 | 37 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 33:49 | -16 | 35 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 36:47 | -11 | 34 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 33:55 | -22 | 32 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 27:62 | -35 | 30 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 |
Fatih Karagümrük
Away
|
34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 31:54 | -23 | 30 |
W
W
W
D
L
|