KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kisumu All Stars Win 30.4%
Draw 15.6%
MOFA Win 54.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kisumu All Stars0.68
MOFA1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kisumu All Stars Kisumu All Stars
WWDLW
20 GF / 44 GA
MOFA MOFA
WLDWL
48 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.61
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
10
BTTS Yes
15
8
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kisumu All Stars Kisumu All Stars 33 matches
MOFA MOFA 33 matches
Kisumu All Stars Statistic MOFA
8 Wins 16
8 Draws 12
17 Losses 5
20 Goals For 48
44 Goals Against 26
0.61 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
10 BTTS Yes 15
21 Over 1.5 19
8 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 8
10 Clean Sheets 13
17 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by MOFA's more proactive style and Kisumu All Stars's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward MOFA having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward MOFA. MOFA carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 60 points while Kisumu All Stars sit 15 on 32, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Kisumu All Stars have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Kisumu All Stars Analysis

Kisumu All Stars approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 32 points from 33 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 20:44 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

MOFA Analysis

MOFA arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 60 points after 33 matches. Their overall return of 16 wins, 12 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 48:26 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Kisumu All Stars won 3 times, MOFA won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:2 from Kisumu All Stars's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.4%)
H2H summary: Kisumu All Stars wins 3, draws 1, MOFA wins 0
Last matches: Kisumu All Stars
13.06.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Vihiga United FC
1
0
W
07.06.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Darajani Gogo
1
2
L
01.06.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Migori Youth
0
1
L
28.05.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Soy United
0
0
D
17.05.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Equity Bank
0
0
D
10.05.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
01.05.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Naivas
0
4
L
26.04.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Luanda Villa
0
2
L
19.04.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Fortune Sacco
1
2
L
12.04.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
03.04.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
MCF
0
2
L
29.03.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Gucha Stars
2
0
W
21.03.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
14.03.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Mwatate United
1
0
W
08.03.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Nzoia Sugar
0
1
L
28.02.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Talanta
1
5
L
21.02.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
3K
0
2
L
15.02.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Mombasa Elite
0
4
L
01.02.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Mwatate United
0
0
D
25.01.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
MCF
2
1
W
Last matches: MOFA
13.06.26
Sup
MOFA
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
07.06.26
Sup
MOFA
Soy United
0
0
D
01.06.26
Sup
MOFA
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
28.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D
16.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Gucha Stars
2
1
W
10.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Migori Youth
0
1
L
02.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Talanta
3
3
D
25.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Mwatate United
3
2
W
18.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Equity Bank
0
0
D
14.04.26
Sup
MOFA
MCF
3
0
W
10.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Luanda Villa
1
1
D
04.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
21.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Vihiga United FC
3
2
W
15.03.26
Sup
MOFA
3K
0
1
L
07.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Naivas
1
0
W
27.02.26
Sup
MOFA
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
15.02.26
Sup
MOFA
Fortune Sacco
1
0
W
31.01.26
Sup
MOFA
3K
1
0
W
25.01.26
Sup
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
1
1
D
H2H: Kisumu All Stars vs MOFA
24.05.26
H2H
Kisumu All Stars
MOFA
1
0
W
17.12.25
H2H
MOFA
Kisumu All Stars
1
1
D
17.05.25
H2H
Kisumu All Stars
MOFA
2
0
W
01.12.24
H2H
MOFA
Kisumu All Stars
1
3
W
Last matches: Kisumu All Stars
13.06.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Vihiga United FC
1
0
W
01.06.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Migori Youth
0
1
L
10.05.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Luanda Villa
0
2
L
12.04.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Gucha Stars
2
0
W
08.03.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Nzoia Sugar
0
1
L
21.02.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
3K
0
2
L
01.02.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Mwatate United
0
0
D
25.01.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
MCF
2
1
W
10.01.26
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Fortune Sacco
2
1
W
12.12.25
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Naivas
1
0
W
03.12.25
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Equity Bank
1
1
D
30.11.25
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Talanta
1
0
W
15.11.25
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Mombasa Elite
2
0
W
03.11.25
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Darajani Gogo
0
1
L
26.10.25
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Soy United
0
0
D
05.10.25
Sup
Kisumu All Stars
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
H2H at home: Kisumu All Stars
24.05.26
H2H
Kisumu All Stars
MOFA
1
0
W
17.05.25
H2H
Kisumu All Stars
MOFA
2
0
W
Last matches: MOFA
07.06.26
Sup
MOFA
Soy United
0
0
D
28.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D
10.05.26
Sup
MOFA
Migori Youth
0
1
L
18.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Equity Bank
0
0
D
04.04.26
Sup
MOFA
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
MOFA
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
15.03.26
Sup
MOFA
3K
0
1
L
27.02.26
Sup
MOFA
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
15.02.26
Sup
MOFA
Fortune Sacco
1
0
W
18.01.26
Sup
MOFA
Luanda Villa
4
2
W
21.12.25
Sup
MOFA
Mwatate United
4
0
W
13.12.25
Sup
MOFA
Talanta
0
0
D
03.12.25
Sup
MOFA
Gucha Stars
3
2
W
22.11.25
Sup
MOFA
Naivas
0
0
D
08.11.25
Sup
MOFA
MCF
0
1
L
30.10.25
Sup
MOFA
Kabati Youth FC
1
1
D
12.10.25
Sup
MOFA
Kibera Black Stars
0
1
L
05.10.25
Sup
MOFA
Vihiga United FC
1
0
W
H2H away: MOFA
24.05.26
H2H
Kisumu All Stars
MOFA
1
0
L
17.05.25
H2H
Kisumu All Stars
MOFA
2
0
L

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2 38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5
MOFA Away
38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation