SCOTLAND PREMIERSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Rugby Park
Referee: G. Irvine
Kilmarnock
Match Timeline
ST Mirren
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
K. Phillips · Assist: M. Mandron
ST Mirren
🟨
11'
David Watson
Kilmarnock
🟨
40'
Richard King
ST Mirren
43'
G. Kiltie · Assist: F. Curtis
Kilmarnock
45'
T. John-Jules
Kilmarnock
🔄
46'
J. Richardson ↔ D. N'Lundulu
ST Mirren
48'
K. Phillips
ST Mirren
🔄
65'
B. Lyons ↔ A. Tshibola
Kilmarnock
🔄
65'
B. Anderson ↔ J. Hugill
Kilmarnock
🟨
74'
Alexander Gogić
ST Mirren
76'
T. John-Jules
Kilmarnock
🔄
79'
F. Curtis ↔ J. Brandon
Kilmarnock
🔄
80'
D. Watson ↔ J. Thomson
Kilmarnock
82'
T. John-Jules · Assist: R. Deas
Kilmarnock
🔄
84'
L. Polworth ↔ R. McKenzie
Kilmarnock
🔄
84'
D. John ↔ S. Tanser
ST Mirren
🔄
84'
R. Idowu ↔ C. McMenamin
ST Mirren
🔄
84'
K. Phillips ↔ J. Calvin
ST Mirren
🟨
86'
Miguel Freckleton
ST Mirren
90'
S. Tanser · Assist: A. Gogic
ST Mirren

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Kilmarnock Win 0%
Draw 0%
ST Mirren Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kilmarnock1.09
ST Mirren1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
WWDLW
24 GF / 48 GA
ST Mirren ST Mirren
WLDWL
18 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
0.75
1.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
14
BTTS Yes
9
16
Over 2.5
7
3.64
Shots on Goal
3.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 25 matches
ST Mirren ST Mirren 24 matches
Kilmarnock Statistic ST Mirren
3 Wins 5
8 Draws 8
14 Losses 11
24 Goals For 18
48 Goals Against 31
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
1.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
14 BTTS Yes 9
21 Over 1.5 15
16 Over 2.5 7
10 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 11
3.64 Shots On Goal 3.54
10.52 Total Shots 12.42
4.24 Corners 5.92
39.5% Ball Possession 45.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kilmarnock won 8 times, ST Mirren won 1 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:15 from Kilmarnock's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Kilmarnock 4-3-1-2 / ST Mirren 3-5-2
H2H summary: Kilmarnock wins 8, draws 6, ST Mirren wins 1
Stats
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
ST Mirren ST Mirren
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
5
9 Corner Kicks 4
10 Fouls 19
3 Offsides 4
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Goal 7
5 Shots off Goal 3
8 Blocked Shots 5
12 Shots insidebox 11
8 Shots outsidebox 4
5 Goalkeeper Saves 4
431 Total passes 329
349 Passes accurate 231
2.70 expected_goals 1.88
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Kilmarnock
Formation
ST Mirren
K. Roos
K. Roos
F. Curtis
🎯
F. Curtis
E. Schilte-Brown
E. Schilte-Brown
R. Deas
🎯
R. Deas
M. Schjonning-Larsen
M. Schjonning-Larsen
D. Watson
D. Watson
B. Lyons
B. Lyons
L. Polworth
L. Polworth
G. Kiltie
G. Kiltie
T. John-Jules
⚽ 3
T. John-Jules
B. Anderson
B. Anderson
S. George
S. George
M. Fraser
M. Fraser
R. King
R. King
M. Freckleton
M. Freckleton
J. Richardson
J. Richardson
K. Phillips
⚽ 2
K. Phillips
J. Devaney
J. Devaney
A. Gogic
🎯
A. Gogic
D. John
D. John
M. Mandron
🎯
M. Mandron
R. Idowu
R. Idowu
Kilmarnock 4-3-1-2
Starting XI
13
K. Roos
G
52
F. Curtis
🎯 43' ↓ 79'
D
25
E. Schilte-Brown
D
6
R. Deas
🎯 82'
D
21
M. Schjonning-Larsen
D
12
D. Watson
↓ 80' 🟨 11'
M
8
B. Lyons
↓ 65'
M
31
L. Polworth
↓ 84'
M
11
G. Kiltie
⚽ 43'
M
24
T. John-Jules
⚽ 45' ⚽ 76' ⚽ 82'
F
19
B. Anderson
↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Stryjek
G
7
R. McKenzie
↑ 84'
M
22
J. Thomson
↑ 80'
2
J. Brandon
↑ 79'
D
9
M. Dackers
F
36
A. Tshibola
↑ 65'
M
4
Z. Williams
D
14
G. Stanger
D
44
J. Hugill
↑ 65'
F
ST Mirren 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
S. George
G
22
M. Fraser
D
5
R. King
🟨 40'
D
21
M. Freckleton
🟨 86'
D
2
J. Richardson
↓ 46'
M
88
K. Phillips
⚽ 8' ⚽ 48' ↓ 84'
M
8
J. Devaney
M
13
A. Gogic
🎯 90' 🟨 74'
M
24
D. John
↓ 84'
M
9
M. Mandron
🎯 8'
F
7
R. Idowu
↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
31
R. Mullen
G
19
T. Sobowale
D
3
S. Tanser
⚽ 90' ↑ 84'
D
4
L. Donnelly
M
16
A. Campbell
M
10
C. McMenamin
↑ 84'
F
17
J. Calvin
↑ 84'
F
29
K. Etete
F
14
D. N'Lundulu
↑ 46'
F
Last matches: Kilmarnock
09.08.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
5
L
02.08.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Johnstone
3
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
Kilmarnock
Linfield
3
2
W
01.07.26
Fri
Kilmarnock
Glentoran
4
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
4
1
W
12.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
3
1
W
09.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
3
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
0
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
1
5
L
21.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
15.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
3
L
04.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Rangers
1
5
L
31.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
3
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
0
4
L
10.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
1
1
D
Last matches: ST Mirren
08.08.26
Pre
ST Mirren
ST Johnstone
1
0
W
01.08.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Falkirk
2
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
ST Mirren
Arbroath
4
2
W
25.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Partick
1
0
W
21.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Partick
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
0
3
L
02.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Livingston
0
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Celtic
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Falkirk
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Rangers
0
1
L
03.03.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Livingston
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Motherwell
0
5
L
14.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Hibernian
0
2
L
03.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0
W
31.01.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee
0
0
D
H2H: Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren
09.05.26
H2H
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
0
3
W
11.02.26
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
4
3
W
27.12.25
H2H
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
0
0
D
04.10.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2
0
W
19.09.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2
2
D
29.03.25
H2H
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
5
1
L
02.01.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2
0
W
14.09.24
H2H
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
2
2
D
11.05.24
H2H
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
0
1
W
16.03.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
5
2
W
27.12.23
H2H
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
0
1
W
30.09.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
1
1
D
22.04.23
H2H
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
0
2
W
02.01.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
0
0
D
15.10.22
H2H
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
0
0
D
Last matches: Kilmarnock
09.08.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
5
L
12.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
3
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
3
L
31.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
3
0
W
03.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
1
3
L
20.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
0
1
L
06.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Rangers
0
3
L
29.11.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
22.11.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
3
L
29.10.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
0
1
L
18.10.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
0
3
L
04.10.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2
0
W
14.09.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
2
L
23.08.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
0
0
D
02.08.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
2
2
D
H2H at home: Kilmarnock
11.02.26
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
4
3
W
04.10.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2
0
W
19.09.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2
2
D
02.01.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2
0
W
16.03.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
5
2
W
30.09.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
1
1
D
02.01.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
0
0
D
Last matches: ST Mirren
01.08.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Falkirk
2
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
ST Mirren
Arbroath
4
2
W
21.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Partick
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Celtic
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Falkirk
2
1
W
03.03.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Livingston
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Hibernian
0
2
L
20.01.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Livingston
1
1
D
14.01.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
0
2
L
03.01.26
Pre
ST Mirren
Motherwell
0
2
L
30.12.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Rangers
1
2
L
03.12.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
3
3
D
29.11.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee
1
3
L
25.10.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Dundee Utd
1
3
L
04.10.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Kilmarnock
0
2
L
13.09.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Falkirk
2
1
W
31.08.25
Pre
ST Mirren
Hibernian
1
1
D
H2H away: ST Mirren
11.02.26
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
4
3
L
04.10.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2
0
L
19.09.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2
2
D
02.01.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2
0
L
16.03.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
5
2
L
30.09.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
1
1
D
02.01.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
0
0
D

Standings

Premiership
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 21 7 5 58:28 30 70
L W D W W
2 33 19 12 2 66:31 35 69
W L L L L
3 33 21 4 8 59:35 24 67
W W W W W
4 33 14 12 7 52:29 23 54
W L D L W
5 33 13 12 8 51:37 14 51
L W W L L
6 33 13 7 13 45:48 -3 46
L L L W L
7 33 9 13 11 45:54 -9 40
D D L L W
8 33 9 6 18 33:48 -15 33
L L W D W
9 33 8 9 16 34:53 -19 33
W L W W L
10 33 7 9 17 27:48 -21 30
W D D W L
11 33 6 10 17 37:65 -28 28
W W W W L
12 33 1 13 19 35:66 -31 16
L D L D W
Championship round
Relegation Round