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--.--.---- --:--
Kilmarnock
FT
1 - 3
Hibernian
Rugby Park
Referee: D. Dickinson
Kilmarnock
Match Timeline
Hibernian
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
T. Youan · Assist: D. Barlaser
Hibernian
🔄
34'
K. Megwa ↔ C. Cadden
Hibernian
🟨
45+2'
Thody Elie Youan
Hibernian
🔄
46'
B. Lyons ↔ J. Thomson
Kilmarnock
🔄
52'
J. Hoilett ↔ J. Obita
Hibernian
🔄
52'
J. Iredale ↔ Z. Mitchell
Hibernian
⚽
57'
T. John-Jules
Kilmarnock
🔄
61'
D. Thompson ↔ M. Schjonning-Larsen
Kilmarnock
🟨
69'
Robbie Deas
Kilmarnock
⚽
71'
T. Youan
Hibernian
🔄
73'
B. Anderson ↔ M. Watkins
Kilmarnock
🔄
73'
T. Klidje ↔ K. Bowie
Hibernian
🔄
73'
T. Youan ↔ R. Molotnikov
Hibernian
🟨
77'
Raphael Sallinger
Hibernian
🟥
80'
David Watson
Kilmarnock
🔄
85'
↔ M. Dackers
Kilmarnock
🔄
85'
L. Polworth ↔ S. Tiffoney
Kilmarnock
🟨
87'
Marcus Dackers
Kilmarnock
🟨
90'
Jack Thomson
Kilmarnock
🟨
90+5'
Jordan Obita
Hibernian
⚽
90'
J. McGrath
Hibernian

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Kilmarnock Win 0%
Draw 0%
Hibernian Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kilmarnock1.05
Hibernian1.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
WWDLW
18 GF / 35 GA
Hibernian Hibernian
WLDWL
43 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
11
BTTS Yes
15
12
Over 2.5
15
3.7
Shots on Goal
4.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 20 matches
Hibernian Hibernian 26 matches
Kilmarnock Statistic Hibernian
2 Wins 9
7 Draws 9
11 Losses 8
18 Goals For 43
35 Goals Against 33
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
11 BTTS Yes 15
16 Over 1.5 22
12 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 5
3.7 Shots On Goal 4.54
10.6 Total Shots 11.62
4.35 Corners 4.54
39.6% Ball Possession 40.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kilmarnock won 1 times, Hibernian won 9 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:24 from Kilmarnock's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Kilmarnock 5-3-2 / Hibernian 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Kilmarnock wins 1, draws 5, Hibernian wins 9
Stats
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
Hibernian Hibernian
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
9
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
5 Corner Kicks 3
13 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 2
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Goal 9
4 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 9
2 Shots outsidebox 6
6 Goalkeeper Saves 0
383 Total passes 500
267 Passes accurate 405
0.70 expected_goals 2.65
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Kilmarnock
Formation
Hibernian
T. Oluwayemi
T. Oluwayemi
B. Brannan
B. Brannan
L. Mayo
L. Mayo
E. Schilte-Brown
E. Schilte-Brown
R. Deas
R. Deas
D. Thompson
↓
D. Thompson
D. Watson
D. Watson
B. Lyons
↓
B. Lyons
L. Polworth
↓
L. Polworth
B. Anderson
↓
B. Anderson
T. John-Jules
⚽
T. John-Jules
R. Sallinger
R. Sallinger
W. O'Hora
W. O'Hora
G. Hanley
G. Hanley
J. Iredale
↓
J. Iredale
K. Megwa
↓
K. Megwa
J. Mulligan
J. Mulligan
D. Barlaser
🎯
D. Barlaser
J. McGrath
⚽
J. McGrath
J. Hoilett
↓
J. Hoilett
T. Klidje
↓
T. Klidje
T. Youan
⚽ 2 ↓
T. Youan
Kilmarnock 5-3-2
Starting XI
20
T. Oluwayemi
G
26
B. Brannan
D
5
L. Mayo
D
25
E. Schilte-Brown
D
6
R. Deas
🟨 69'
D
3
D. Thompson
↓ 61'
D
12
D. Watson
🟥 80'
M
8
B. Lyons
↓ 46'
M
31
L. Polworth
↓ 85'
M
19
B. Anderson
↓ 73'
F
24
T. John-Jules
⚽ 57'
F
Substitutes
30
E. Beach
G
4
Z. Williams
D
9
M. Dackers
↑ 85' 🟨 87'
F
14
G. Stanger
D
17
S. Tiffoney
↑ 85'
F
21
M. Schjonning-Larsen
↑ 61'
D
22
J. Thomson
↑ 46'
23
M. Watkins
↑ 73'
F
27
K. Leslie
F
Hibernian 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
R. Sallinger
🟨 77'
G
5
W. O'Hora
D
4
G. Hanley
D
15
J. Iredale
↓ 52'
D
27
K. Megwa
↓ 34'
M
20
J. Mulligan
M
22
D. Barlaser
🎯 5'
M
17
J. McGrath
⚽ 90'
M
23
J. Hoilett
↓ 52'
F
18
T. Klidje
↓ 73'
F
7
T. Youan
⚽ 5' ⚽ 71' ↓ 73' 🟨 45+2'
F
Substitutes
13
J. Smith
G
6
D. Levitt
M
8
A. Manneh
M
9
K. Bowie
↑ 73'
F
11
J. Newell
M
12
C. Cadden
↑ 34'
D
21
J. Obita
↑ 52' 🟨 90+5'
D
24
Z. Mitchell
↑ 52'
D
35
R. Molotnikov
↑ 73'
Last matches: Kilmarnock
09.08.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
5
L
02.08.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Johnstone
3
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
Kilmarnock
Linfield
3
2
W
01.07.26
Fri
Kilmarnock
Glentoran
4
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
4
1
W
12.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
3
1
W
09.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
3
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
0
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
1
5
L
21.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
15.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
4
3
W
04.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Rangers
1
5
L
31.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
3
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
0
4
L
Last matches: Hibernian
13.08.26
UEF
Hibernian
Shkendija
0
0
D
09.08.26
Pre
Hibernian
Rangers
2
1
W
06.08.26
UEF
Hibernian
Shkendija
2
1
W
02.08.26
Pre
Hibernian
Motherwell
1
2
L
30.07.26
UEF
Hibernian
Malisheva
4
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Hibernian
Malisheva
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Hibernian
Brondby
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Hibernian
Cliftonville FC
5
1
W
30.06.26
Fri
Hibernian
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pre
Hibernian
Motherwell
0
1
L
13.05.26
Pre
Hibernian
Rangers
2
1
W
09.05.26
Pre
Hibernian
Falkirk
3
1
W
03.05.26
Pre
Hibernian
Celtic
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pre
Hibernian
Heart Of Midlothian
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
Hibernian
Aberdeen
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pre
Hibernian
Kilmarnock
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Hibernian
Motherwell
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pre
Hibernian
Livingston
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Hibernian
Dundee
3
3
D
22.02.26
Pre
Hibernian
Celtic
2
1
W
H2H: Kilmarnock vs Hibernian
04.04.26
H2H
Hibernian
Kilmarnock
3
0
L
03.01.26
H2H
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
1
3
L
10.08.25
H2H
Hibernian
Kilmarnock
2
2
D
15.03.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
1
1
D
29.12.24
H2H
Hibernian
Kilmarnock
1
0
L
01.09.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
1
1
D
27.01.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
2
2
D
11.11.23
H2H
Hibernian
Kilmarnock
1
0
L
16.09.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
2
2
D
18.02.23
H2H
Hibernian
Kilmarnock
2
0
L
12.11.22
H2H
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
1
0
W
03.09.22
H2H
Hibernian
Kilmarnock
1
0
L
15.08.21
H2H
Hibernian
Kilmarnock
2
0
L
16.01.21
H2H
Hibernian
Kilmarnock
2
0
L
24.10.20
H2H
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
0
1
L
Last matches: Kilmarnock
09.08.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
5
L
12.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
3
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
2
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
4
3
W
31.01.26
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
3
0
W
20.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Falkirk
0
1
L
06.12.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Rangers
0
3
L
29.11.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
22.11.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
1
3
L
29.10.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
0
1
L
18.10.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
0
3
L
04.10.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
2
0
W
14.09.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Celtic
1
2
L
23.08.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Dundee
0
0
D
02.08.25
Pre
Kilmarnock
Livingston
2
2
D
H2H at home: Kilmarnock
03.01.26
H2H
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
1
3
L
15.03.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
1
1
D
01.09.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
1
1
D
27.01.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
2
2
D
16.09.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
2
2
D
12.11.22
H2H
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
1
0
W
24.10.20
H2H
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
0
1
L
Last matches: Hibernian
13.08.26
UEF
Hibernian
Shkendija
0
0
D
09.08.26
Pre
Hibernian
Rangers
2
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Hibernian
Malisheva
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Hibernian
Cliftonville FC
5
1
W
30.06.26
Fri
Hibernian
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
13.05.26
Pre
Hibernian
Rangers
2
1
W
09.05.26
Pre
Hibernian
Falkirk
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pre
Hibernian
Aberdeen
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Hibernian
Motherwell
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Hibernian
Dundee
3
3
D
22.02.26
Pre
Hibernian
Celtic
2
1
W
10.02.26
Pre
Hibernian
Heart Of Midlothian
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pre
Hibernian
Falkirk
1
4
L
20.12.25
Pre
Hibernian
Dundee Utd
1
1
D
15.12.25
Pre
Hibernian
Rangers
0
1
L
25.11.25
Pre
Hibernian
Motherwell
0
2
L
08.11.25
Pre
Hibernian
ST Mirren
3
0
W
01.11.25
Pre
Hibernian
Livingston
2
2
D
26.10.25
Pre
Hibernian
Aberdeen
2
1
W
04.10.25
Pre
Hibernian
Heart Of Midlothian
0
1
L
H2H away: Hibernian
03.01.26
H2H
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
1
3
W
15.03.25
H2H
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
1
1
D
01.09.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
1
1
D
27.01.24
H2H
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
2
2
D
16.09.23
H2H
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
2
2
D
12.11.22
H2H
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
1
0
L
24.10.20
H2H
Kilmarnock
Hibernian
0
1
W

Standings

Premiership
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Heart Of Midlothian
33 21 7 5 58:28 30 70
L W D W W
2
Rangers
33 19 12 2 66:31 35 69
W L L L L
3
Celtic
33 21 4 8 59:35 24 67
W W W W W
4
Motherwell
33 14 12 7 52:29 23 54
W L D L W
5
Hibernian Away
33 13 12 8 51:37 14 51
L W W L L
6
Falkirk
33 13 7 13 45:48 -3 46
L L L W L
7
Dundee Utd
33 9 13 11 45:54 -9 40
D D L L W
8
Aberdeen
33 9 6 18 33:48 -15 33
L L W D W
9
Dundee
33 8 9 16 34:53 -19 33
W L W W L
10
ST Mirren
33 7 9 17 27:48 -21 30
W D D W L
11
Kilmarnock Home
33 6 10 17 37:65 -28 28
W W W W L
12
Livingston
33 1 13 19 35:66 -31 16
L D L D W
Championship round
Relegation Round