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SCOTLAND › PREMIERSHIP
03.01.2026 15:00
Rugby Park
Referee: D. Dickinson
Kilmarnock
Match Timeline
Hibernian
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
T. Youan · Assist: D. Barlaser
Hibernian
🔄
34'
K. Megwa ↔ C. Cadden
Hibernian
🟨
45+2'
Thody Elie Youan
Hibernian
🔄
46'
B. Lyons ↔ J. Thomson
Kilmarnock
🔄
52'
J. Hoilett ↔ J. Obita
Hibernian
🔄
52'
J. Iredale ↔ Z. Mitchell
Hibernian
⚽
57'
T. John-Jules
Kilmarnock
🔄
61'
D. Thompson ↔ M. Schjonning-Larsen
Kilmarnock
🟨
69'
Robbie Deas
Kilmarnock
⚽
71'
T. Youan
Hibernian
🔄
73'
B. Anderson ↔ M. Watkins
Kilmarnock
🔄
73'
T. Klidje ↔ K. Bowie
Hibernian
🔄
73'
T. Youan ↔ R. Molotnikov
Hibernian
🟨
77'
Raphael Sallinger
Hibernian
🟥
80'
David Watson
Kilmarnock
🔄
85'
↔ M. Dackers
Kilmarnock
🔄
85'
L. Polworth ↔ S. Tiffoney
Kilmarnock
🟨
87'
Marcus Dackers
Kilmarnock
🟨
90'
Jack Thomson
Kilmarnock
🟨
90+5'
Jordan Obita
Hibernian
⚽
90'
J. McGrath
Hibernian

Kilmarnock vs Hibernian Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Kilmarnock Win 0%
Draw 0%
Hibernian Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kilmarnock1.05
Hibernian1.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
WWDLW
18 GF / 35 GA
Hibernian Hibernian
WLDWL
43 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
11
BTTS Yes
15
12
Over 2.5
15
3.7
Shots on Goal
4.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 20 matches
Hibernian Hibernian 26 matches
Kilmarnock Statistic Hibernian
2 Wins 9
7 Draws 9
11 Losses 8
18 Goals For 43
35 Goals Against 33
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
11 BTTS Yes 15
16 Over 1.5 22
12 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 5
3.7 Shots On Goal 4.54
10.6 Total Shots 11.62
4.35 Corners 4.54
39.6% Ball Possession 40.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kilmarnock won 1 times, Hibernian won 9 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:24 from Kilmarnock's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Kilmarnock 5-3-2 / Hibernian 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Kilmarnock wins 1, draws 5, Hibernian wins 9

Standings

Premiership
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 21 7 5 58:28 30 70
L W D W W
2 33 19 12 2 66:31 35 69
W L L L L
3 33 21 4 8 59:35 24 67
W W W W W
4 33 14 12 7 52:29 23 54
W L D L W
5 33 13 12 8 51:37 14 51
L W W L L
6 33 13 7 13 45:48 -3 46
L L L W L
7 33 9 13 11 45:54 -9 40
D D L L W
8 33 9 6 18 33:48 -15 33
L L W D W
9 33 8 9 16 34:53 -19 33
W L W W L
10 33 7 9 17 27:48 -21 30
W D D W L
11 33 6 10 17 37:65 -28 28
W W W W L
12 33 1 13 19 35:66 -31 16
L D L D W
Championship round
Relegation Round