KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Kibera Black Stars Win 100%
Draw 0%
Nairobi City Stars Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kibera Black Stars0.91
Nairobi City Stars0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kibera Black Stars Kibera Black Stars
WWDLW
29 GF / 28 GA
Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars
WLDWL
26 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
0.85
Average Goals Scored
0.79
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
1
11
BTTS Yes
12
8
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kibera Black Stars Kibera Black Stars 34 matches
Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars 33 matches
Kibera Black Stars Statistic Nairobi City Stars
15 Wins 8
6 Draws 11
13 Losses 14
29 Goals For 26
28 Goals Against 33
0.85 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1
11 BTTS Yes 12
16 Over 1.5 17
8 Over 2.5 7
1 Over 3.5 4
14 Clean Sheets 11
12 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Kibera Black Stars's more proactive style and Nairobi City Stars's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nairobi City Stars having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nairobi City Stars. Nairobi City Stars arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Kibera Black Stars Analysis

Kibera Black Stars sit 9 with 51 points after 34 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses, while the 29:28 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Nairobi City Stars Analysis

Nairobi City Stars approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 38 points from 34 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 11 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 29:33 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Kibera Black Stars won 1 times, Nairobi City Stars won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:5 from Kibera Black Stars's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
H2H summary: Kibera Black Stars wins 1, draws 1, Nairobi City Stars wins 1
Last matches: Kibera Black Stars
01.06.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
MOFA
1
1
D
23.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Migori Youth
0
1
L
16.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
3K
1
2
L
10.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Mwatate United
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Gucha Stars
0
0
D
25.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Fortune Sacco
1
1
D
19.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
11.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Mombasa Elite
2
0
W
03.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Naivas
1
2
L
29.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Talanta
2
1
W
21.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
07.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
28.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
22.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Equity Bank
1
2
L
14.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Soy United
1
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Vihiga United FC
1
2
L
24.01.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Naivas
1
1
D
18.01.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Mombasa Elite
0
2
L
11.01.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Luanda Villa
2
1
W
Last matches: Nairobi City Stars
01.06.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kabati Youth FC
1
2
L
23.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
MCF
0
0
D
17.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Mombasa Elite
1
2
L
09.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
03.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Equity Bank
0
1
L
26.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Soy United
1
2
L
18.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Gucha Stars
2
0
W
12.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kisumu All Stars
0
1
L
03.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
3K
0
3
L
28.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
MOFA
1
1
D
22.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Luanda Villa
0
1
L
14.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Naivas
1
3
L
07.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Mwatate United
1
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Nzoia Sugar
0
0
D
21.02.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Fortune Sacco
3
2
W
15.02.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Migori Youth
0
1
L
31.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Naivas
0
0
D
25.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
3K
1
1
D
18.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kisumu All Stars
1
1
D
10.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Gucha Stars
2
2
D
H2H: Kibera Black Stars vs Nairobi City Stars
26.10.25
H2H
Nairobi City Stars
Kibera Black Stars
2
3
W
12.08.18
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
25.03.18
H2H
Nairobi City Stars
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
L
Last matches: Kibera Black Stars
16.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
3K
1
2
L
02.05.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Gucha Stars
0
0
D
25.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Fortune Sacco
1
1
D
11.04.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Mombasa Elite
2
0
W
21.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Kisumu All Stars
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
28.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
14.02.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Soy United
1
0
W
24.01.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Naivas
1
1
D
11.01.26
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Luanda Villa
2
1
W
17.12.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Migori Youth
1
0
W
07.12.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Mwatate United
2
1
W
23.11.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Darajani Gogo
0
1
L
09.11.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Equity Bank
0
1
L
29.10.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Nzoia Sugar
0
0
D
12.10.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
MOFA
1
0
W
28.09.25
Sup
Kibera Black Stars
Talanta
0
1
L
H2H at home: Kibera Black Stars
12.08.18
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
Last matches: Nairobi City Stars
17.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Mombasa Elite
1
2
L
03.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Equity Bank
0
1
L
26.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Soy United
1
2
L
12.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kisumu All Stars
0
1
L
22.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Luanda Villa
0
1
L
14.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Naivas
1
3
L
01.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Nzoia Sugar
0
0
D
15.02.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Migori Youth
0
1
L
25.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
3K
1
1
D
10.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Gucha Stars
2
2
D
07.12.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
MCF
0
0
D
22.11.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Mwatate United
2
0
W
09.11.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Fortune Sacco
1
1
D
30.10.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Darajani Gogo
0
1
L
12.10.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
28.09.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
MOFA
0
1
L
H2H away: Nairobi City Stars
12.08.18
H2H
Kibera Black Stars
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 24 5 7 54:27 27 77
W W W L W
2 36 22 7 7 58:25 33 73
W D D W W
3 36 23 3 10 49:31 18 72
L D W W L
4 36 20 11 5 53:26 27 71
W W D D W
5 36 16 14 6 50:29 21 62
D D L W L
6 36 17 9 10 45:27 18 60
W W W W D
7 36 16 9 11 57:41 16 57
L L L W L
8 36 15 9 12 46:37 9 54
L W W W W
9 36 15 8 13 31:30 1 53
D D L L D
10 36 13 9 14 30:27 3 48
L D W L D
11 36 11 14 11 36:35 1 47
W L L L D
12 36 12 6 18 29:49 -20 42
W L L W D
13 36 11 8 17 32:38 -6 41
W L W L D
14 36 9 12 15 31:36 -5 39
L D D L L
15 36 9 9 18 21:45 -24 36
L D W D D
16 36 9 8 19 29:50 -21 35
W W L L D
17 36 8 8 20 22:47 -25 32
L D W L L
18 36 8 10 18 22:38 -16 31
W L D W L
19 36 9 8 19 28:53 -25 29
L W L W W
20 36 6 7 23 27:59 -32 25
L L L L D